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Ukraine
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Ukraine

Eastern European country under Russian full-scale invasion since February 2022.

Russia answered NATO's 8 July pledge of EUR70bn in support with a 10-11 July barrage of ballistic and cruise missiles and 121 drones, while the front line held its grinding baseline at Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka even as Ukraine's own strikes cut Azov tanker traffic by roughly 55%.

Last refreshed: 19 July 2026 · Appears in 7 active topics

Key Question

How far into Russia can Ukraine now strike, and does Kronstadt change the war's logic?

Timeline for Ukraine

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Background

Ukraine is a sovereign Eastern European state of approximately 44 million people before the war, bordered by Russia to the north-east and east. It has been under Russian full-scale invasion since 24 February 2022, building on the Donbas conflict that began in 2014 following Russia's annexation of Crimea, and holds roughly 80% of its internationally recognised territory after four years of war along a front line of around 1,000 km.

Ukraine now fights on military, diplomatic and economic fronts simultaneously. Its Unmanned Systems Forces struck the Baltic Fleet at Kronstadt on 5-6 June 2026, sending more than 400 drones roughly 1,000 km into Russia to hit the missile corvette Boikyi and oil infrastructure, the first confirmed Ukrainian naval strike in the Baltic Sea. Its economic campaign shifted target class in early July, from static Russian refineries to the tankers moving fuel through the Sea of Azov, where AIS tracking recorded a possible 55% drop in vessel crossings between 30 June and 11 July.

NATO leaders meeting in Ankara on 7-8 July pledged EUR70bn in equipment, assistance and training for 2026, committing to sustain at least equivalent levels in 2027, and launched a $40bn, five-year Drone Edge counter-drone initiative; the summit text itself records that European Allies and Canada now finance the vast majority of Ukraine's security assistance.

Beyond the front line, Ukraine has turned three years of drone-defence experience into diplomatic capital, deploying counter-drone specialists to six partner states, including Jordan, since March 2026.

Common Questions
Are Ukraine peace talks happening in 2026?
Talks are largely frozen. Putin rejected Zelenskyy's June 2026 proposal for direct talks at SPIEF. The E3 (UK, France, Germany) backed a five-point framework on 7 June accepting the current line of contact as a negotiating baseline, not Ukraine's 1991 borders.Source: SPIEF / E3 summit
How many Russian drones hit Ukraine in May 2026?
Russia fired a record 8,150 long-range drones at Ukraine across May 2026. A single 2 June barrage of 656 drones and 73 missiles killed 22 people.Source: Ukrainian Air Force / Zelenskyy
Did Ukraine strike the Baltic Fleet at Kronstadt?
Yes. On 5-6 June 2026, Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces sent over 400 drones roughly 1,000 km to Kronstadt, striking the missile corvette Boikyi and nearby oil and naval infrastructure.Source: Ukrainian military
Did Ukraine sabotage the TurkStream pipeline in April 2026?
No. Ukraine's Foreign Ministry denied any involvement in the 5 April 2026 explosives discovery near the TurkStream pipeline. Serbia's Military Security Agency (VBA) director Djuro Jovanic publicly confirmed that Ukrainians did not organise the sabotage attempt, contradicting Hungary's framing.Source: Serbian VBA / Ukraine MFA
Has Ukraine been striking Russia's oil exports?
Yes. Ukrainian drone strikes on Russia's two largest Baltic export terminals in late March and early April 2026 cut Russian seaborne crude exports by 43% in a single week, costing Moscow roughly \ billion. The impact was partially reversed when the Iran war drove oil prices sharply higher.Source: Ukrainian General Staff / ISW
What did NATO pledge to Ukraine at the Ankara summit?
At the 7-8 July 2026 Ankara summit, NATO leaders pledged EUR 70bn in military equipment, assistance and training for Ukraine across 2026, committed to sustaining at least equivalent levels in 2027, and launched a $40bn, five-year Drone Edge counter-drone initiative.Source: NATO summit declaration
Why did Ukraine start striking tankers in the Sea of Azov?
In early July 2026 Ukraine shifted its long-range drone campaign from static Russian refineries to the tankers moving fuel out through the Sea of Azov. Starboard Maritime Intelligence AIS data recorded a possible 55% drop in vessel crossings between 30 June and 11 July, backing fuel up at ports Russia's domestic market also relies on.Source: Starboard Maritime Intelligence
How much of Ukraine does Russia occupy?
Russia occupies approximately 20% of Ukraine's internationally recognised territory, including Crimea and parts of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson oblasts.
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