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Iraq
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Iraq

Federal parliamentary republic and OPEC+ producer with oil-dependent public finances.

Iraq closed the al-Sheeb border crossing with Iran on 21 October 2026 without announcing a reopening date. Officials cited work on roads and scanners, little more than a month after the crossing reopened following a security inquiry.

Last refreshed: 22 October 2026 · Appears in 3 active topics

Key Question

Is Iraq's chronic OPEC+ non-compliance undermining Saudi Arabia's market management?

Timeline for Iraq

#182 21 Oct

Closed the al-Sheeb crossing with Iran indefinitely

Iran Conflict 2026: Iraq shuts al-Sheeb crossing with Iran
View full timeline →

Background

Iraq's constitution establishes a federal parliamentary republic with Baghdad as its capital and Arabic and Kurdish as official languages. The Council of Representatives legislates, approves The National budget and oversees the executive. The constitution recognises the Kurdistan Region and gives its institutions powers outside the federal government's exclusive remit. Federal authorities control Foreign Policy, national security and border policy. Iraqi constitution.

Oil supplies most of Iraq's government revenue and merchandise export earnings. That dependence exposes public finances to changes in oil prices and export volumes. The World Bank also identifies water scarcity and electricity shortages as constraints on activity outside the oil sector. World Bank country profile.

Key Issues
Border security

Iraq closes an Iranian border crossing

Iraq shut al-Sheeb in Maysan province on 21 October 2026, stopping passage through a crossing on its border with Iran. Officials announced no reopening date. The government cited technical readiness, while the Border Ports Commission described planned roads and scanners. Iran said it had received no advance warning.

Baghdad had reopened al-Sheeb on 17 September, completing a staged reopening of three Iranian crossings after a security inquiry. At that point, Iraqi statements had named no group responsible for the drone launches traced to Maysan, and the joint inquiry with Iran had published no findings.

Common Questions

Reference

What is the Popular Mobilisation Forces' role in Iraq?
The PMF are Iranian-backed militias formally integrated into Iraq's security forces after the 2014 ISIS campaign, numbering an estimated 100,000 fighters with close ties to Tehran. They operate freely on Iraqi soil, creating a sovereignty paradox for Baghdad: expelling them risks civil war, tolerating them risks US retaliation.Source: entity background
What are the Popular Mobilisation Forces in Iraq?
The PMF (also known as Hashd al-Shaabi) are Iranian-backed militias formally integrated into Iraq's security forces after the 2014 ISIS campaign. They number an estimated 100,000 fighters and maintain close ties to Tehran, operating from Iraqi territory throughout the 2026 conflict.
How is Iraq exporting oil with the Strait of Hormuz closed?
Iraq negotiated bilateral transit for a Very Large Crude Carrier of approximately 2 million barrels through direct engagement with Tehran in May 2026, bypassing Persian Gulf Strait Authority yuan tolls in favour of political accommodation. Additional VLCC transits were under negotiation. Iraq had previously declared Force majeure on all foreign-operated oilfields when Hormuz closed in March 2026.Source: entity background
Did Iraqi militias shoot down a US aircraft in 2026?
Iraqi militias claimed responsibility for the KC-135 crash near Turaibil in March 2026 that killed six US personnel. CENTCOM said the crash was not caused by hostile fire; the Baghdad government condemned the claim.Source: CENTCOM
Why did Iran's foreign minister announce the Hormuz claim from Baghdad in June 2026?
On 28 June 2026, Foreign Minister Araghchi declared Iran's 'sole oversight' of the strait of Hormuz from Baghdad, using Iraq's capital as the platform for a maximalist statement. The choice of Baghdad underscores Iraq's position as a venue it cannot control: the country hosts 2,500 US troops while Iranian-backed militias and Tehran's officials operate freely on the same soil.Source: Lowdown Iran Conflict 2026 Update 141
Who is the Prime Minister of Iraq?
Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has been Prime Minister of Iraq since October 2022, governing a Coalition government that must balance US military presence and Iranian-backed militia influence.Source: Iran Conflict 2026 briefing
What is Basra crude and who buys it in Europe?
Basra Medium is a medium-sour Iraqi export crude that competes with Urals in the European refining slate. European refineries previously configured for Russian crude hold residual preference for Basra-type barrels.Source: EIA, market data
How is Iraq affected by the Iran-US conflict?
Iraq hosts US troops and Iranian-backed PMF militias simultaneously. It declared Force majeure on foreign-operated oilfields after Hormuz closure, then negotiated bilateral VLCC passage directly with Iran in May 2026 to partially restore oil revenues.Source: Iran Conflict 2026 briefing
Why does Iraq keep exceeding its OPEC production quota?
Iraq's federal budget is almost entirely dependent on oil revenues; it consistently produces above its OPEC+ quota to fund public spending. In mid-2026 Iraq remains chronically non-compliant even as group-wide output has collapsed 9.58 mbd below quota on Hormuz constraints.Source: European Oil Markets briefing
Did Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup despite the Iran conflict?
Iraq qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but airspace closures disrupted travel preparations. FIFA intervened with emergency visa assistance to enable transit through alternative corridors for the Iraqi Football Association.Source: entity background
What US military bases are in Iraq?
The main US bases are Al-Asad Airbase in Anbar province and Erbil in the Kurdish region. About 2,500 US troops remain under an ongoing security arrangement.
How has the Iran-US conflict affected Iraq's oil exports?
Iraq declared Force majeure on all foreign-operated oilfields in March 2026 after the strait of Hormuz was blocked, halting exports and filling storage to capacity.Source: Iraqi oil ministry letter, 17 March 2026
Source Material

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Updated 22 October 2026. Editorial standards.