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Red Sea
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Red Sea

Strategic shipping lane between Africa and Arabia; Bab al-Mandeb is a critical world-trade chokepoint.

On 12 September, the Houthis took Yemen's entire Red Sea coast, including Mayun Island inside Bab al-Mandeb, tightening their hold over the southern gateway of a corridor linking The Gulf of Aden and the Suez Canal.

Last refreshed: 22 October 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic

Key Question

With both Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb under hostile authority at once, where can Israeli-linked shipping safely go?

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Background

The Red Sea is a long, narrow sea between north-East Africa and the Arabian Peninsula. It stretches about 2,250 kilometres from the Bab al-Mandeb in the south to The Gulf of Suez and Gulf of Aqaba in the north. Egypt, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Yemen and Saudi Arabia border it.

The Suez Canal links the sea to the Mediterranean, creating a major route between Asian and European markets. Ships entering from The Gulf of Aden must pass the narrow Bab al-Mandeb before travelling north. Ports, energy terminals and coastal military sites line both shores. This geography makes the Red Sea commercially valuable and vulnerable to disruption, because threats near either gateway can divert traffic around southern Africa.

Key Issues
Southern blockade

Its southern gate remains contested

Bab al-Mandeb's southern approach drew Houthi radio warnings to Saudi vessels on 20 July. Six vessels changed course within 48 hours, showing that the Red Sea's southern entrance could be disrupted without a naval engagement.

The pressure later became territorial. On 12 September, Yemeni officers and a Houthi official said the group controlled Yemen's entire Red Sea coast, including Mayun Island inside the strait. The campaign therefore held the eastern shore as well as the ability to deter traffic.

Common Questions

Reference

What is Bab al-Mandeb and why does it matter?
Bab al-Mandeb is a 29-kilometre narrows between Yemen and Djibouti at the southern end of the Red Sea. It is the gateway between the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean; Houthi-held Yemeni coastline flanks it on both sides, giving Ansar Allah the capability to interdict or ban passage.
How much of world trade passes through the Red Sea?
Approximately 12 per cent of global trade transits the Red Sea and Suez Canal corridor annually. Major shipping lines including CMA CGM had rerouted around the Cape of Good Hope before the June 2026 Houthi total navigation ban formalised the closure.
Why are Houthis attacking ships in the Red Sea?
Ansar Allah (Houthis) have targeted Commercial shipping to pressure Israel and the US over regional conflicts. Their control of Yemen's western coast gives them access to the Bab al-Mandeb chokepoint.Source: editorial
What's the difference between the Red Sea and the Suez Canal?
The Red Sea is the body of water; the Suez Canal is the man-made channel at its northern end connecting it to the Mediterranean. Both must be navigable for the route to function.Source: editorial
What is the Bab al-Mandeb chokepoint?
The Bab al-Mandeb is the southern entrance to the Red Sea, separating Yemen from Djibouti and Eritrea. Ansar Allah forces in Yemen have threatened to close it to shipping linked to Israel and its allies.
Has a ship been destroyed on the Red Sea diversion route around Hormuz?
Yes. UKMTO reported that multiple projectiles struck a cargo ship off Yemen's west coast on 19 August 2026 and assessed it as a constructive total loss.Source: UKMTO / Anadolu Agency
What happens to global shipping if both the Red Sea and Strait of Hormuz are closed?
The double-chokepoint condition returned in July 2026. Lloyd's-market war-risk cover was withdrawn from Saudi-linked hulls crossing Bab el-Mandeb effective 24 July, cutting Bab el-Mandeb tanker transits 39% overall (46% for Saudi-linked vessels) to roughly 7.5 a day, while Hormuz has cycled between contested and reduced-traffic states over the same period. Both chokepoints are again under simultaneous pressure, though neither is confirmed fully closed.Source: event
Why did the Houthis ban Israeli ships from the Red Sea in June 2026?
On 8 June 2026, Ansar Allah declared a complete ban on Israeli maritime navigation in the Red Sea and fired rockets at Jaffa, their first strike on Israel since the April Ceasefire. The group linked the move to Israeli operations across Gaza, Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen and Iran.Source: event
Why is the Red Sea dangerous for shipping right now?
Ansar Allah forces in Yemen are threatening to interdict traffic through the Bab al-Mandeb strait, creating a double chokepoint crisis alongside the Hormuz PGSA toll regime.Source: event
What happens to oil prices if the Red Sea closes?
Sustained closure forces tankers around the Cape of Good Hope, adding two weeks to delivery. Brent Crude spiked to over $92 in March 2026 on fears of combined Red Sea and Hormuz disruption.Source: editorial
Are ships going around Africa instead of through the Red Sea?
Yes, and the picture sharpened in July 2026: Lloyd's-market war-risk cover was withdrawn from Saudi-linked hulls crossing Bab el-Mandeb effective 24 July 2026, and Bab el-Mandeb tanker transits fell 39% overall (46% for Saudi-linked vessels specifically) to roughly 7.5 a day, evidence the diversion around the Cape of Good Hope has intensified rather than eased.
Source Material

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Updated 22 October 2026. Editorial standards.