
Red Sea
Strategic shipping lane between Africa and Arabia; Bab al-Mandeb is a critical world-trade chokepoint.
Houthi radio warnings shut the Red Sea's Bab al-Mandab narrows to Saudi-linked shipping from 20 July, turning back six tankers, and the tanker Encelia was struck two days later as Brent crude broke back above $100.
Last refreshed: 24 July 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic
With both Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb under hostile authority at once, where can Israeli-linked shipping safely go?
Timeline for Red Sea
Mentioned in: Houthi blockade cuts Saudi loadings 36%
European Oil MarketsMentioned in: Brent clears $100 first time since May
European Oil MarketsMentioned in: Brent tops $100 as the reroute closes
Iran Conflict 2026Mentioned in: Houthis fire on the Saudi tanker Encelia
Iran Conflict 2026Mentioned in: Med aframax freight doubles in a week
European Oil MarketsBackground
The Red Sea runs roughly 2,250km between the Gulf of Aden and the Suez Canal, bordered by Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Yemen, Sudan, Eritrea and Djibouti. Its strategic weight rests on two chokepoints, Suez in the north and the 29km Bab al-Mandeb narrows in the south, through which about 12% of world trade passes.
The sea has long served as a structural hedge against trouble at the region's other chokepoint, the Strait of Hormuz: Saudi Arabia's East-West Petroline, brought back to its full capacity of 7 million barrels a day in April 2026, carries crude from the Eastern Province to Yanbu on the Red Sea specifically to bypass Hormuz.
Egypt and Djibouti depend on Suez Canal and port revenues that collapse whenever traffic diverts around the Cape of Good Hope, a detour adding ten to fourteen days to Asia-Europe voyages and stripping hundreds of millions from already fragile budgets with every month of rerouting.
A blockade shuts a second sea
The blockade closed the sea's southern approach rather than the sea itself: Houthi radio warnings on 20 July turned back six vessels, and two days later missiles and drones struck the Saudi tanker Encelia inside Bab al-Mandab. Mediterranean-bound Aframax freight rates through the sea's northern stretch doubled within a week as owners priced in the risk.
For a waterway that already carries Saudi Arabia's own bypass route around the Strait of Hormuz, the closure removes the very alternative Riyadh built to avoid exactly this kind of chokepoint risk. Brent Crude broke back above $100 a barrel on 23 July for the first time in nearly two months, as the market treated the sea's southern gateway as shut.