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Bab al-Mandeb
Nation / PlaceYE

Bab al-Mandeb

Red Sea strait between Yemen and Djibouti, closed to Saudi shipping by Houthi radio warnings.

Bab al-Mandeb, the 29km Red Sea chokepoint, closed to Saudi-linked shipping on 20 July when Houthi radio warnings turned back six tankers, then saw the Encelia and Layla struck two days later as Brent crude topped $100.

Last refreshed: 24 July 2026 · Appears in 2 active topics

Key Question

Why did six tankers turn back from Bab al-Mandeb without a shot fired?

Timeline for Bab al-Mandeb

#19 23 Jul
#160 22 Jul
#160 21 Jul
#160 21 Jul
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Background

Bab al-Mandeb is a roughly 30km-wide strait separating Yemen from Djibouti and Eritrea, carrying an estimated 10% of global seaborne oil and around a quarter of the world's container traffic, making it the third-busiest oil chokepoint on Earth. The only alternative, sailing around Africa's Cape of Good Hope, adds roughly 60% to a voyage's length.

Houthi forces have controlled the strait's eastern approach since Yemen's civil war, and the group ran a sustained campaign against shipping there from 2023 to 2025 that taught owners to reroute on threat alone. Iran formally treated the strait as a second chokepoint alongside Hormuz from 1 June 2026, formalising months of prior Houthi threats.

That reputation for closing the strait through deterrence rather than direct engagement remains its defining feature, and it leaves Europe exposed given that over a quarter of Asia-Europe container traffic depends on this one crossing.

Key Issues
Chokepoint closure

The strait closes without a shot fired

A single radio broadcast on 20 July did what missiles had not yet needed to: six vessels bound for the strait, among them a Chinese VLCC, reversed course within 48 hours rather than risk the crossing, none of them fired upon. Two days later the threat became fact when Houthi missiles and drones struck the tanker Encelia inside the strait itself, with a second claimed hit on the Layla unconfirmed by Riyadh.

Traffic through the 29km narrows fell fast: seven ships diverted for the Cape of Good Hope within a day of the strikes, and Saudi crude loadings that depend on the crossing dropped 36% in a fortnight. The strait now sits closed by reputation as much as by force, a repeat of the pattern it set against Israeli shipping in 2023.

Common Questions

Reference

How much global trade passes through Bab al-Mandeb?
The strait carries roughly 10% of global seaborne oil and around a quarter of the world's container traffic between the Red Sea and Indian Ocean.Source: Lowdown reporting
Did the Houthis close Bab al-Mandeb in 2023 or 2024?
The Houthis did not fully close Bab al-Mandeb in 2023-25 but conducted over 100 attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, halving transit volumes and triggering the largest naval escort operation since the Cold War. Full closure was not achieved but disruption was extensive.
Where is the Bab al-Mandeb strait?
Bab al-Mandeb is a 30km-wide strait between Yemen to the east and Djibouti and Eritrea to the west, connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and Indian Ocean. It sits at Latitude 12.6°N.
What is the alternate route if Bab al-Mandeb closes?
Ships would divert via the Cape of Good Hope, adding approximately 60% to Asia-Europe journey times and roughly 10-14 days per voyage, significantly raising freight rates.
How wide is the Bab al-Mandeb strait?
The Bab al-Mandeb is approximately 30 kilometres wide at its narrowest point, between Yemen and Djibouti and Eritrea.
Why did the Houthis blockade Saudi shipping in July 2026?
Spokesman Yahya Saree framed the 20 July maritime embargo as 'an eye for an eye' retaliation for Saudi actions against Yemeni ports and Sanaa airport.Source: Lowdown reporting
What happens to oil prices if Bab al-Mandeb is blocked?
Closure of Bab al-Mandeb combined with the existing Hormuz blockade would cut approximately 25% of global seaborne energy supply — a scenario without modern precedent. Markets began pricing the threat on 1 June 2026 when Brent spiked nearly 7% intraday before the Lebanon Ceasefire pared the gain.Source: Lowdown Iran Conflict 2026
Has Iran blocked Bab al-Mandeb?
Yes. Iran authorised Bab al-Mandeb as a second chokepoint on 1 June 2026, and Houthi forces enforced a full maritime embargo on Saudi shipping from 20 July, turning back six vessels including the VLCC Xin Long Yang by 21 July using open-frequency radio warnings alone, without firing a shot.Source: Lowdown Iran Conflict 2026
Which ships were turned back from Bab al-Mandeb in July 2026?
Six vessels reversed course by 21 July, including the Chinese VLCC Xin Long Yang, after Houthi forces warned them off by open-frequency radio alone.Source: Lowdown reporting
Source Material