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UK Local Elections 2026
3AUG

Day 89: Bev Craig wins under a revived voting system

2 min read
15:31UTC

Bev Craig took Greater Manchester on 30 July with 66.3% after the first second-round count in the mayoralty's history, run under a voting system Parliament restored in April. A second pollster confirms Labour's lead over Reform UK. Scottish Labour opens nominations today, and the crypto donation ban still runs on a minister's word rather than a statute.

Key takeaway

Britain is rewriting how its elections and councils work faster than the results of any single contest can settle what that means.

This briefing mapped
Domestic
Legal
Diplomatic

Bev Craig led the first count by 26 points and still could not win outright. Second preferences carried her to 66.3% against Reform UK's Sian Astley.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources from Ireland
Ireland
LeftRight

Bev Craig won Greater Manchester's mayoralty on 30 July. She beat Reform's Sian Astley in the first count sent to a second round under the restored Supplementary Vote.

Craig's support rose from 47.1% to 66.3% on transfers. Turnout fell to 25.1%, testing whether transfer-based wins carry the same legitimacy at low turnout. 

The English Devolution and Community Empowerment Act 2026 received Royal Assent on 29 April and quietly reversed the Elections Act 2022 for every mayoral and PCC contest called after 18 June.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

More in Common gave Labour 28% to Reform UK's 24% in fieldwork from 24 to 27 July, its first Labour lead since March 2025.

Sources profile:This story draws on centre-left-leaning sources from United States
United States

More in Common polled 2,061 adults between 24 and 27 July. It found Labour on 28% against Reform UK's 24%, Labour's first lead since March 2025.

Deltapoll found a similar shift weeks earlier. YouGov's tracker still shows the two parties tied at 22% each, so pollsters have not converged. 

Sources:Bloomberg

Nominations opened on 3 August to replace Anas Sarwar, who quit Holyrood on 22 July for a life peerage and a trade brief in Burnham's government.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

Scottish Labour opened nominations on 3 August to replace Anas Sarwar, who quit as leader on 22 July for a life peerage and a UK ministerial post.

Nominations close 17 August. Monica Lennon has said she will stand; if the contest is contested, members vote from 28 August with a result on 19 September. 

Sources:LabourList

The National Crime Agency referred itself to the police watchdog over the leak of Reform figures' bank data. The watchdog sent the complaints straight back for the agency to handle internally.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

The National Crime Agency referred itself to the police watchdog over a leak of Reform figures' bank data. The leak included an £80,000 loan and a £1m donation tied to George Cottrell.

The watchdog sent the complaints back to the agency's own Professional Standards Unit. That is a local, internal investigation, not an outside inquiry. 

Sources:GB News·LBC

West Sussex and Cambridgeshire and Peterborough will not learn their fate until October, while the May 2027 elections to their successor authorities stay exactly where they were.

Sources profile:This story draws on mixed-leaning sources from United Arab Emirates
United Arab Emirates

Council officers in West Sussex and Cambridgeshire and Peterborough must recruit staff for new shadow authorities. They do not yet know their own boundaries, after ministers pushed the decision to October.

Five counties, most recently Harlow on 22 July, still have judicial reviews pending against the reorganisation. A successful challenge could still redraw boundaries the government confirmed for 14 other counties in July. 

Thirty-four names appear on the statutory nomination paper for the 13 August by-election, four of them from parties standing to Nigel Farage's right.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

Conor Murphy said on 31 July that power-sharing is faltering and blamed the DUP. Gavin Robinson rejected it and said his party would not be goaded.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources
Closing comments

Sideways. Nothing here forces a national contest before 2029, but two dated triggers could sharpen the picture: the 13 August Clacton count, which tests whether a four-way split on Reform's own flank costs Farage real margin, and October's boundary ruling for West Sussex and Cambridgeshire and Peterborough, which could hand a second reorganisation grievance to councils already in court over the first fourteen.

Different Perspectives
Restore Britain
Restore Britain
Restore Britain beat the Conservatives into fifth place in its first mayoral attempt, evidence Rupert Lowe's party has already displaced the Tories as the default home for voters leaving the Conservative column on Reform's right flank.
Reform UK
Reform UK
Reform lost Greater Manchester on transfers under a system restored months after it last stood there, and now has bank data belonging to Farage and Tice sitting inside a leak the NCA is investigating itself rather than an outside watchdog examining it.
Labour Party
Labour Party
Labour held Manchester and posted its first More in Common lead over Reform since March 2025, evidence Andy Burnham's government is stabilising the party's position, though the 25.1% turnout that delivered Craig's win was the lowest the mayoralty has recorded.
Conservative Party
Conservative Party
The Conservatives finished fifth in Greater Manchester, beaten by Restore Britain, a party founded this year, in a contest the Tories once treated as a two-horse race against Labour.
Scottish National Party
Scottish National Party
The SNP, through deputy leader Keith Brown, calls Sarwar's peerage exit "the most undemocratic trick in the Westminster book", arguing Scottish Labour now runs on a caretaker leader chosen by patronage rather than by Scottish voters.
Council leaders in West Sussex and Cambridgeshire and Peterborough
Council leaders in West Sussex and Cambridgeshire and Peterborough
Officers must recruit staff and set shadow budgets through the autumn for boundaries Whitehall has not yet drawn, after October's deferral cost three months of planning time without settling anything, while their May 2027 election date has not moved.