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Iran Conflict 2026
22OCT

Iran demands guarantees before US talks

2 min read
17:22UTC

Iran's foreign minister told the OIC in Baghdad on 17 October that Tehran will talk only with credible guarantees against new attacks.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Tehran answered Washington's reply with a new condition: credible guarantees against fresh attacks.

Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi addressed the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation, the main bloc of Muslim-majority states, in Baghdad on 17 October. He said Iran will talk only with "credible guarantees" against new attacks⁠1. He said Iran "does not accept coercion, threats and intimidation". He pointed back to the Hormuz plan Qatar carried for Tehran. Washington's written answer came back through Doha on 29 September. Tehran has answered it so far only with this new condition.

Araghchi said Iran could help broker dialogue on Yemen, and met the Turkish and Egyptian foreign ministers, Hakan Fidan and Badr Abdelatty, on the sidelines⁠2⁠3. In the same week Mohammad Mokhber, an adviser to the Supreme Leader, called the war with Yemen "nothing but fratricide", state-affiliated Mehr reported⁠4. Tehran is offering itself as a Yemen broker while a Leader's adviser calls the war fratricide.

Foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei denied on 4 October that Iran had offered International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspections for sanctions relief⁠5. "Iran has not put forward any issue in exchange for sanctions relief," he said. Inspectors have reached only certain operations at the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant since the 2025 strikes. The Wall Street Journal, citing officials it does not name, reports that Iran is strengthening defences around sensitive sites, nuclear ones included⁠6.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Iran and the US are not talking face to face. Messages pass through mediators, chiefly Qatar and Oman. In September Washington sent a written answer to an Iranian plan for reopening the strait of Hormuz. Iran has not replied in public. Now its foreign minister says Iran wants firm promises it will not be attacked again before it negotiates. The OIC (Organisation of Islamic Cooperation) is a body of 57 mostly Muslim-majority states. Its foreign ministers met in Baghdad.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Iran's demand rests on a record: Oman-mediated nuclear talks with Washington were still scheduled when Israel struck on 13 June 2025. Tehran argues that negotiating without protection invites attack mid-process.

US law gives the president wide room to withdraw from executive agreements without Congress. Any guarantee short of a Senate-ratified treaty can be undone, which is why Tehran keeps asking for something Washington struggles to give.

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    A guarantees demand moves the bargaining from Hormuz terms to US conduct, which lengthens any path to a deal.

  • Opportunity

    Iraq's OIC chair and Turkish and Egyptian contacts give Tehran forums outside Qatar and Oman to shop its position.

First Reported In

Update #181 · Houthi missiles kill 13 at Riyadh's airport

Middle East Monitor· 17 Oct 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
Wang Yi
Wang Yi
China's foreign minister and Djibouti's issued a joint communique on 21 October saying the war should not reach the Horn of Africa and stressing free navigation through Bab al-Mandeb. The text names neither Iran nor the Houthis, and Djibouti hosts China's only overseas military base, opposite the Yemeni coast.
Ministry of External Affairs
Ministry of External Affairs
India's foreign ministry called the attacks on Saudi civilian and energy sites "unacceptable" on 22 October and said they must stop at once. An Indian died at Dammam, Indians were injured there and at Shaybah, and about 4,000 Umrah pilgrims remain stranded by one MP's count.
Iraq
Iraq
Iraq closed the al-Sheeb crossing with Iran to travellers and trucks from 21 October and said other crossings would close gradually. Unlike September's closure, which ended on a staged timetable, this one has none, and Iran's interior ministry said it received no notice.
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Egypt's president said on 21 October that Cairo's support would "defend Saudi territory, and does not include an attack on Yemen". Araghchi warned that Egyptian involvement would further complicate the situation, and Cairo's limit matches the one Ankara set on 8 October against attacking another state's soil.
UK Ministry of Defence
UK Ministry of Defence
The MoD said on 20 October that RAF Typhoons over Saudi Arabia will not strike the Houthis, but extended tanker support to Saudi operations including against Houthi targets in Yemen. The tanker line sets no limit on strikes, so British aircraft may now refuel Saudi jets on bombing runs.
Turkey
Turkey
Ankara sent the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement to parliament around 20 October, and its published text treats an attack on one party as an attack on all. Article 16 brings it into force only on the last ratification, so the 5 October invocation in Riyadh could not yet bind Turkey.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.