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Texas
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Texas

Second-largest US state; top crude producer, ERCOT grid operator, 2026 midterm battleground.

On 21 September, Governor Greg Abbott halted Texas data-centre permits amid a 438 GW grid queue, requiring developers to show they can fund their power and water needs.

Last refreshed: 24 September 2026 · Appears in 4 active topics

Key Question

Does the Texas Senate shift to a tossup threaten Republican control of the chamber?

Timeline for Texas

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Background

Texas is a US state whose durable weight comes from its scale and energy economy. The Permian Basin lies in Texas, and West Texas Intermediate is the US crude benchmark linked to Texan production and Gulf Coast refinery demand.

Most of the state's electricity grid is run by the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, or ERCOT. Its large-load connection system makes Texas important to decisions about generation, transmission and industrial demand.

Together, oil production and a distinct power market give Texas influence over commodity pricing and power-intensive development. That relevance rests on physical output, refinery demand and the ability to connect major new electricity loads.

Key Issues
Data centre power

Texas tightens data-centre permits

On 21 September, Governor Greg Abbott ordered Texas's environmental regulator to halt permits for new and pending data-centre projects. Developers must show they can pay for the grid and water their sites require. The order followed a 438 GW connection queue, of which data centres account for about 90 per cent.

Texas had already approved an ERCOT process on 18 June to clear the queue, with a final transmission plan due in autumn 2027. Projects needing power before then face a choice between waiting for grid capacity and arranging their own generation. The permit halt adds state environmental scrutiny to a connection problem that had already become central to Texas's data-centre investment case.

Senate funding

Texas Senate race draws opaque funding

On 15 September, TEXAS PAC and No Going Back PAC Inc. reported more than $85m spent on Texas's Senate race without naming a donor in their Schedule A filings. The filings disclosed spending through 48-hour notices, which reveal the amount and purpose before later donor reports are due.

By 21 September, TEXAS PAC's reported spending had reached $69.32m, split between $36.75m supporting Ken Paxton and $32.57m opposing James Talarico. For Texas, the contest now carries a transparency question alongside its electoral stakes, because voters can see the volume and direction of advertising before they know who financed it.

Common Questions

Texas tightens data-centre permits

How big is the ERCOT data centre grid queue in 2026?
The ERCOT large-load interconnection queue stood at 438 GW in June 2026, roughly 90 per cent attributable to data centres, up from 225 GW in April 2026.Source: Lowdown
What is ERCOT's Batch Zero large-load interconnection process?
ERCOT's Batch Zero is the first formal study process for managing its 438 GW large-load interconnection queue, approved by the Texas Public Utility Commission on 18 June 2026. The final transmission plan is due autumn 2027, with Batch 1 applications opening summer 2027.Source: Lowdown
Why does xAI need 41 gas turbines for Colossus?
xAI won an emergency procurement of 41 Siemens Energy gas turbines for the Colossus supercomputer cluster in Texas after the facility's power demand outstripped grid supply. The turbines provide on-site generation to support the cluster's load.Source: Lowdown

Reference

What is the ERCOT grid and why does it matter for data centres?
ERCOT is Texas's Independent electricity grid, outside FERC jurisdiction, making it uniquely attractive for large-load operators WHO can avoid the federal interconnection queue.Source: ERCOT
What is PlanC2333 and why did SCOTUS clear it?
PlanC2333 is Texas's 2026 congressional map. the Supreme Court reversed a lower-court racial-gerrymandering ruling on 27 April 2026, clearing the map for use with the same six-justice majority that gutted the VRA two days later.Source: Supreme Court ruling
Where is the Stargate AI data centre in Texas?
The Stargate US programme's site in Abilene, Texas runs approximately 1.2 GW. The nominal US programme target is 10 GW; SemiAnalysis has questioned whether SoftBank can finance the full commitment.Source: Lowdown
Does Texas lose tax revenue from data centre exemptions?
Yes. Good Jobs First calculated that Texas loses more than $1 billion per year in data centre sales-and-use tax abatements, placing it alongside Georgia and Virginia as the three states with the largest identified abatements.Source: Lowdown / Good Jobs First
How much oil does Texas produce?
Texas is the largest US oil-producing state; its Permian Basin drives US crude output above 13 million Barrels Per Day. WTI Crude, the US benchmark, originates from West Texas Permian production.Source: EIA
Why did the Texas Senate seat become competitive in 2026?
Ken Paxton's 63.8% primary win over incumbent John Cornyn shifted forecasters to Leans Republican; Democratic candidate James Talarico is contesting a seat Republicans had treated as SAFE.Source: Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball
How many congressional seats does Texas have in 2026?
Texas holds 38 seats, the second-largest delegation, currently 25 Republican and 13 Democratic, under the SCOTUS-cleared PlanC2333 map.Source: Texas SOS
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