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EIA
OrganisationUS

EIA

US Energy Information Administration; publishes weekly petroleum status reports and the monthly STEO price forecasts.

The EIA's weekly petroleum status report for the week to 24 July, released 29 July, showed US crude stocks fall 7.2 million barrels to 404.5 million, about 7% below the five-year average, while refineries ran at 97.2% on 17.3 million barrels a day of crude.

Last refreshed: 31 July 2026 · Appears in 2 active topics

Key Question

Does the first US distillate build in weeks signal the ICE Gasoil crack has peaked?

Timeline for EIA

#21 28 Jul

Reported a 7.2 million barrel crude stock draw for the week to 24 July

European Oil Markets: US crude drew 7.2mb as WTI round-tripped
#19 22 Jul

Reported the first US crude stock build in this desk's tracking window

European Oil Markets: US crude posts first build since May
#17 16 Jul

Reported the US distillate deficit widened to 11% despite a 4.6mb build

European Oil Markets: US distillate deficit widens to 11%
#13 1 Jul

Reported the crude stock draw and import decline

European Oil Markets: US crude draws on thinning imports
View full timeline →

Background

EIA is the statistical Arm of the US Department of Energy, established in 1977 in Washington DC. It publishes the Weekly Petroleum Status Report (WPSR) every Wednesday at 10:30 ET and the monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the reference crude and product stock dataset European trading desks price transatlantic arbitrage against.

The WPSR's weekly crude and distillate draws or builds function as an Atlantic-basin supply signal: a run of consecutive crude draws alongside a widening distillate deficit tightens the trans-Atlantic gasoil and gasoline arbitrage windows that Northwest European refiners trade against, while a distillate build eases that pull.

The STEO's demand-growth and price forecasts sit alongside the IEA's Oil Market Report as the two reference points OPEC+ weighs when setting production policy, and its OECD stock-level projections are the baseline against which physical market tightness is measured.

Key Issues
Weekly petroleum report

US crude stocks kept drawing down

The EIA published its weekly petroleum status report for the week to 24 July on 29 July, recording a national commercial crude draw of 7.2 million barrels that Left stocks at 404.5 million, roughly 7% under the five-year seasonal average. Distillate stocks rose 1.1 million barrels to 110.6 million, still around 10% below average, while refiners ran at 97.2% utilisation processing 17.3 million barrels a day of crude.

That release fell the same week WTI at Cushing spiked to $91.74 before giving most of the gain back by 27 July, a reminder that a single EIA print can move futures pricing even while the broader distillate trend barely shifts week to week.

Distillate deficit arc

The weekly report tracked a widening gap

Through May and June, the EIA's Weekly Petroleum Status Report charted a US distillate deficit that repeatedly widened even as crude drew down: 13% below the five-year average in the week to 12 June, still 11% below by 10 July after a partial build, before narrowing slightly to 10% by 17 July.

Crude stocks meanwhile logged nine consecutive weekly draws before posting a single build on 17 July, the first sign in that report that the drawdown supporting Brent and WTI gains might be slowing. The two series, crude and distillate, moved in opposite directions across several of the EIA's own releases in this stretch, a divergence the report itself made visible week by week.

Common Questions

Reference

How do US distillate stock levels affect European oil prices?
When US distillate stocks draw, the trans-Atlantic product arb tightens as US domestic demand competes with European buyers, sustaining the ICE Gasoil crack. The first distillate build of late June 2026 began easing that pull-east signal.Source: EIA WPSR
When is the EIA petroleum status report published each week?
The EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report is released every Wednesday at 10:30 ET, covering US crude and product inventory data for the prior week.
What did the EIA WPSR show for US distillate stocks in June 2026?
The 24 June 2026 EIA WPSR recorded the first US distillate build in weeks at +3.1mb, lifting the deficit to 10% below the five-year average from 13%, alongside a ninth consecutive crude draw of 6.088mb to 412.1mb at 96.1% utilisation.Source: EIA WPSR 24 June 2026
What did the EIA June 2026 STEO forecast for oil demand?
The EIA June 2026 STEO cut 2026 global oil demand growth by 1.3mbd month-on-month (largest recent revision), forecast OECD stocks at a 23-year low of ~2.3bn barrels by December 2026, and set a 2027 Brent average of $79/BBL.Source: EIA STEO June 2026
What did the latest EIA WPSR show for US gasoline stocks in May 2026?
The EIA's WPSR for the three weeks to 22 May 2026 showed US gasoline drew 8.2mb to 211.6mb, even as refinery utilisation surged to 94.5% from 90.1% in early May. This confirms end-demand is outpacing refinery throughput, tightening the TC2 transatlantic gasoline arb.Source: EIA WPSR
How tight were US distillate stocks in May 2026?
For the week ending 8 May 2026, the EIA reported US distillates were 6% below the five-year seasonal average, with a 4.1mb gasoline draw against a 2.9mb expectation, confirming Atlantic Basin product tightness.Source: EIA WPSR
What does the EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook predict for Brent in 2026?
The EIA's forecasts have moved twice since May: the June 2026 STEO set a 2027 Brent average of $79/BBL, and the July 2026 STEO cut the Q4 2026 Brent forecast further to $70/BBL, down 14-18% from June's roughly $89/BBL projection, after a US-Iran Ceasefire reopened the Strait of Hormuz and let shut-in production return. The EIA expects most of that supply back online by early 2027.Source: EIA STEO May 2026
Why did the US distillate deficit widen in July 2026 despite a stock build?
The EIA's mid-July WPSR showed distillate stocks widening to roughly 11% below the five-year average even as the week posted a build. The EIA attributes this to refiners running gasoline-Max summer yield sets that under-produce diesel relative to seasonal demand, a structural rather than volume-driven tightness.Source: EIA WPSR, mid-July 2026
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