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ERCOT
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ERCOT

Texas grid operator; 438 GW data-centre queue as Batch Zero interconnection studies get underway.

ERCOT's large-load interconnection queue reached 438 GW on 18 June 2026, about 90% of it data centres, nearly five times the state's 85 GW peak demand, as the Texas Public Utility Commission approved the grid operator's first formal Batch Zero study process.

Last refreshed: 4 August 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic

Key Question

Batch Zero is live at 438 GW queued: is Texas managing growth or watching it?

Timeline for ERCOT

#13 2 Aug

Suspended its Batch Zero classification and will seek a PUCT good-cause exception

Data Centres: Boom and Backlash: ERCOT freezes its 205 GW sorting job
#13 2 Aug

Received Abbott's directive to audit data-centre projects

Data Centres: Boom and Backlash: Abbott orders a full data centre audit
#31 30 Jul
#12 24 Jul

Closed Batch Zero interconnection submissions

Data Centres: Boom and Backlash: ERCOT closes its Batch Zero queue window
#11 22 Jul
View full timeline →

Background

ERCOT (the Electric Reliability Council of Texas) operates the electric grid for approximately 90% of Texas, the largest electricity market of any US state. Established in 1970 and operating independently since 1996, it is unusual among US grid operators in being electrically isolated, with limited interconnection capacity to neighbouring regions, so its demand-supply balance is a localised rather than a national problem.

The organisation is the canonical example of AI-driven grid stress in the United States. Its large-load interconnection queue, standing at 438 GW as of 18 June 2026 with roughly 90% attributable to data centres, is close to five times current peak demand of about 85 GW . FERC reported in May 2026 that ERCOT alone had added approximately 26 GW of new summer generating capacity since 2025, the largest single-grid contribution nationally, yet that build has not cleared the queue backlog .

Texas's HB 1500 (2024) requires large-load disclosure, and the state's Public Utility Commission approved ERCOT's first formal Batch Zero interconnection study process on 18 June 2026, with a final transmission plan not due until autumn 2027.

Key Issues
Interconnection queue

Texas queue nearly doubles again

ERCOT's large-load queue swelled to 438 GW on 18 June 2026, roughly 90% of it data centres, after standing at 410 GW only weeks earlier in April . The queue is now nearly five times the grid's current 85 GW peak demand. Texas's Public Utility Commission responded by approving ERCOT's first formal Batch Zero interconnection study process the same day, with transmission providers required to file load information forms by 24 July.

The growth outpaces the physical constraint behind it: large power transformers take up to four years to deliver, so most of the queued load cannot be powered before 2028 even if fully approved . Batch Zero's final transmission plan is not due until autumn 2027, with a second application batch opening only in summer 2027, leaving operators needing power sooner to build their own gas generation instead.

Grid-load rulemaking

FERC delays a binding load standard

FERC set a 20 July 2026 Deadline for its six regional grid operators, ERCOT among them, to file generation-adequacy reports under docket RM26-4-000 . The filing is the evidence-gathering step in a slower rulemaking process FERC chose in June over a binding rule, pushing any real large-load connection standard to 2027 at the earliest.

FERC had already committed in April to rule by June 2026 on how loads above 20 MW connect to the interstate grid, covering study bypass, behind-the-meter treatment, and who pays for upgrades . For ERCOT, the outcome matters directly: a favourable bypass ruling could ease pressure on its own 438 GW queue, while a slow federal timeline leaves the state process, Batch Zero, as the only near-term lever.

Common Questions
What is Texas doing about the data centre power demand surge?
On 18 June 2026, the Texas Public Utility Commission approved ERCOT's first formal Batch Zero large-load interconnection study process. A final transmission plan is not due until autumn 2027, with Batch 1 applications opening summer 2027.Source: Texas PUC
How big is ERCOT's data centre connection queue?
ERCOT's large-load interconnection queue stood at 438 GW as of 18 June 2026, approximately 90% attributable to data centres, around five times Texas's current peak demand of 85 GW.Source: Texas PUC / ERCOT
Can ERCOT's isolated grid handle the data-centre demand surge?
ERCOT added ~26 GW since 2025, but its queued large-load demand of 233 GW still dwarfs its current peak of ~85 GW. The grid's isolation from the wider US network means excess load cannot be balanced across regions.Source: ERCOT / FERC
Why does Texas have so many data centre and AI facility applications on the grid?
Texas's relatively light regulatory environment, competitive power markets, and abundant land have attracted data centres, AI facilities, and industrial loads. ERCOT's large-load interconnection queue reached 233 GW in early 2026, more than twice current peak demand.Source: ERCOT / Lowdown data-centres
Why is ERCOT isolated from the rest of the US grid?
ERCOT was designed to avoid interstate commerce regulation by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). Texas's grid operates largely independently, with limited interconnection to neighbouring systems. This isolation means Texas cannot easily import power during supply shortfalls.Source: ERCOT
Has ERCOT's Batch Zero large-load process actually started?
Yes. Batch Zero, approved by the Texas Public Utility Commission on 18 June 2026, took effect on 11 July. Interconnecting large-load entities had to file forms with their transmission provider by 10 July, and providers must submit Batch Zero Load Information Forms to ERCOT by 24 July. A final transmission plan is not due until autumn 2027.Source: ERCOT / Texas PUC
Why does ERCOT come up in coverage of European gas and power markets?
ERCOT is not a European grid; it operates only within Texas. Analysts occasionally cite it as a comparative case study for how generation switches in and out of merit on the fuel-versus-power price spread, most notably during the February 2021 Winter Storm Uri crisis, when a fuel and equipment shortage rather than a lack of generation capacity drove the blackout.Source: Lowdown analysis
Source Material