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Iran Conflict 2026
1JUN

Iran's strait authority opens to silence

4 min read
08:32UTC

The Persian Gulf Strait Authority opened registration via info@pgsa.ir on 6 May, requiring vessels to email destination, flag history, cargo value and crew nationalities; not one of the 2,000-vessel stranded fleet has registered.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Iran built a permitting body the US has prohibited paying for, and zero vessels have tested either side.

Iran's Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA), the permitting body Tehran created on 5 May , opened registration through info@pgsa.ir on Wednesday 6 May 2026. Vessels must email ship destination, flag history, cargo value and crew nationalities to enter the queue 1. The PGSA has recorded interest from 0.0 per cent of the 2,000-vessel stranded fleet, despite the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy (IRGC Navy) posting a same-day X statement promising "safe, stable passage through SOH" 2.

Fearnleys Shipbrokers told the trade press that owners need observable evidence of actual transits before they will file a registration email, citing previous false starts. BIMCO, the global shipping association whose safety guidance underwrites most commercial routing decisions, has not updated its Hormuz advisory and will not until rules of transit are officially confirmed 3. Protection and Indemnity (P&I) cover, the war-risk insurance layer that determines whether tankers can lawfully enter The Gulf, remains unchanged.

The PGSA collides head-on with the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) General Licence W, the 1 May instrument that prohibits toll payments to Iranian authorities , . Any vessel that pays the PGSA registration fee crosses an OFAC enforcement line; any vessel that transits without paying establishes the converse precedent that the Iranian permitting body is theatre. The MOU now in Tehran proposes a phased reopening over 30 days but does not name the PGSA, which leaves the document caught between two unenforceable readings: it either ignores Iran's domestic-law mechanism, or it implicitly accepts it and breaches GL-W.

Maritime permitting bodies live or die on insurance. Without a P&I club willing to write war-risk cover for vessels carrying a PGSA certificate, the Authority has no commercial existence regardless of how many emails it can send. Marco Rubio's 4 May Fox News rejection of any Iranian transit fee set the US enforcement floor; Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has pressed Beijing publicly on Hormuz cooperation but has named no mechanism that would let Chinese refiners pay the PGSA without triggering OFAC action. The first vessel to file with info@pgsa.ir would set the market precedent, and at zero registrations, the file is empty.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Iran set up a new office called the Persian Gulf Strait Authority and opened an email address on 6 May, inviting ships to register before using the Strait of Hormuz. The idea is that ships would email in their details, get permission, and then transit safely. The Iranian navy also posted on social media saying it would ensure safe passage. By 7 May, zero vessels from the 2,000-strong stranded fleet had registered. Ship owners need two things before they will move their vessels: insurance that covers them if something goes wrong, and certainty that paying Iran's registration fee will not get them sanctioned by the US government. The US Treasury specifically banned paying fees to Iranian maritime authorities under a 1 May order, and the major shipping insurance bodies have not changed their guidance. BIMCO, the global shipping association, said it will wait for official confirmation of new transit rules before advising any vessels to proceed.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

The PGSA's zero-registration result on its first operational day reflects two overlapping structural constraints. First, OFAC General Licence W, issued on 1 May, explicitly prohibits toll payments to Iranian authorities, and any Western-insured vessel whose owner pays a PGSA fee becomes an OFAC enforcement target .

The fee-payment prohibition is not an advisory; it is a designated violation under Executive Orders 13902 and 13846. The PGSA registration form, as seen by Bloomberg, does not disclose a toll or fee structure, which may be deliberate: the authority may intend to collect the fee at a separate stage, maintaining the registration-only appearance to avoid triggering immediate OFAC scrutiny.

Second, Fearnleys Shipbrokers cited 'previous false starts' as the reason owners need observable evidence of actual transits before registering. Iran declared the strait 'completely open' on 17 April, with IRGC gunboats firing on an Indian-flagged tanker the next day . That episode established a trust deficit that a single-day IRGC Navy X posting cannot overcome, regardless of its content.

What could happen next?
  • Consequence

    The first vessel to pay the PGSA fee and transit successfully will set the precedent that breaks the deadlock, but that vessel's owner faces simultaneous OFAC enforcement exposure and reputational risk from Western counterparties.

    Short term · 0.75
  • Risk

    The MOU delivered to Tehran on 7 May does not name the PGSA, leaving Iran's domestic-law permitting framework in place regardless of what the ceasefire agreement says about Hormuz reopening.

    Short term · 0.8
  • Precedent

    If the PGSA accumulates even a single successful registered transit, Iran establishes the precedent that domestic strait-state permitting bodies can operate in international waters without UNCLOS authorisation, regardless of what a subsequent peace agreement says.

    Medium term · 0.6
First Reported In

Update #90 · Pakistan carries paper; Brent below $100

Insurance Journal· 7 May 2026
Read original
Different Perspectives
Human rights monitors (Hengaw, Amnesty International, Iran HRM)
Human rights monitors (Hengaw, Amnesty International, Iran HRM)
Monitors documented a second death sentence for Zahra Tabari, 68, reported cemetery record deletions at Behesht-e Zahra, and a poll showing 81.5% of medical residents want to emigrate, against a background of 200+ confirmed executions since February. Iran's security courts operate at uninterrupted wartime tempo regardless of the diplomatic track.
Pakistan (mediator)
Pakistan (mediator)
Islamabad carried Trump's revised MOU demanding HEU destruction to Iranian negotiators, formally inheriting the role of sole active mediator after Oman's forced withdrawal. Pakistan lacks Oman's banking infrastructure for frozen-asset routing and carries its own regional stakes, making it a less structurally neutral broker.
Kuwait
Kuwait
Kuwait intercepted Iranian missiles and drones for a second time in days on 1 June, with air-raid sirens sounding nationwide, after invoking Article 51 self-defence on 28 May following the Ali Al Salem ballistic-missile strike. The repeated interceptions test whether Kuwait's domestic politics can sustain hosting US forces as a de facto co-belligerent.
China (PRC)
China (PRC)
Beijing sent scholars to Shangri-La rather than its defence minister and addressed Taiwan without mentioning Iran, maintaining bilateral energy corridor protection with Tehran while refusing diplomatic exposure at multilateral forums. Trump barred China as an HEU custodian on 27 May, removing Beijing from the deal architecture while China continues supplying DPI hardware that caps Iran's internet.
Lloyd's of London / war-risk underwriters
Lloyd's of London / war-risk underwriters
Lloyd's held its Hormuz war-risk designation at $10-14 million per voyage while Brent recovered to $93.91, maintaining the structural divergence from futures pricing that has persisted since late May. Underwriters require a UN Security Council resolution or government certification letter, not diplomatic optimism.
Gulf Cooperation Council states (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar)
Gulf Cooperation Council states (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar)
Five Gulf states wrote to the IMO on 21 May rejecting Iran's PGSA transit authority over international waters; Saudi Arabia and the UAE have not confirmed participation in the European Hormuz mission. The GCC is navigating between US security guarantees and exposure to Iranian fire, with no Gulf state formally co-belligerent except Kuwait.