Skip to content
Welcome, thoughtbot's Giant Robots listeners!Start here
Drones: Industry & Defence
25JUN

Iran demands guarantees before US talks

2 min read
14:23UTC

Iran's foreign minister told the OIC in Baghdad on 17 October that Tehran will talk only with credible guarantees against new attacks.

TechnologyDeveloping
Key takeaway

Tehran answered Washington's reply with a new condition: credible guarantees against fresh attacks.

Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi addressed the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation, the main bloc of Muslim-majority states, in Baghdad on 17 October. He said Iran will talk only with "credible guarantees" against new attacks⁠1. He said Iran "does not accept coercion, threats and intimidation". He pointed back to the Hormuz plan Qatar carried for Tehran. Washington's written answer came back through Doha on 29 September. Tehran has answered it so far only with this new condition.

Araghchi said Iran could help broker dialogue on Yemen, and met the Turkish and Egyptian foreign ministers, Hakan Fidan and Badr Abdelatty, on the sidelines⁠2⁠3. In the same week Mohammad Mokhber, an adviser to the Supreme Leader, called the war with Yemen "nothing but fratricide", state-affiliated Mehr reported⁠4. Tehran is offering itself as a Yemen broker while a Leader's adviser calls the war fratricide.

Foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei denied on 4 October that Iran had offered International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspections for sanctions relief⁠5. "Iran has not put forward any issue in exchange for sanctions relief," he said. Inspectors have reached only certain operations at the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant since the 2025 strikes. The Wall Street Journal, citing officials it does not name, reports that Iran is strengthening defences around sensitive sites, nuclear ones included⁠6.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Iran and the US are not talking face to face. Messages pass through mediators, chiefly Qatar and Oman. In September Washington sent a written answer to an Iranian plan for reopening the strait of Hormuz. Iran has not replied in public. Now its foreign minister says Iran wants firm promises it will not be attacked again before it negotiates. The OIC (Organisation of Islamic Cooperation) is a body of 57 mostly Muslim-majority states. Its foreign ministers met in Baghdad.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Iran's demand rests on a record: Oman-mediated nuclear talks with Washington were still scheduled when Israel struck on 13 June 2025. Tehran argues that negotiating without protection invites attack mid-process.

US law gives the president wide room to withdraw from executive agreements without Congress. Any guarantee short of a Senate-ratified treaty can be undone, which is why Tehran keeps asking for something Washington struggles to give.

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    A guarantees demand moves the bargaining from Hormuz terms to US conduct, which lengthens any path to a deal.

  • Opportunity

    Iraq's OIC chair and Turkish and Egyptian contacts give Tehran forums outside Qatar and Oman to shop its position.

First Reported In

Update #181 · Houthi missiles kill 13 at Riyadh's airport

Middle East Monitor· 17 Oct 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
Nigerian Air Force
Nigerian Air Force
The air force listed 12 Turkish Aksungur and two Chinese CH-4D armed drones on 25 October. No contract has been published, so these are plans.
Civilians in Western Sahara
Civilians in Western Sahara
A UN report of October 2023 records allegations of Moroccan drone strikes east of the berm. An aerial strike there in November 2022 reportedly killed six civilians, the UN said, citing Polisario and local media.
Thunder Tiger
Thunder Tiger
The Taichung company said on 16 October that all 1,520 of its Gauntlet I attack drones passed inspection. Its MoU with AeroVironment covers fitting Switchblade to its uncrewed boats and ground vehicles and exploring joint production in Taiwan.
EDGE Group
EDGE Group
The Emirati group said on 9 October it will supply glide bombs and guidance kits for the Royal Moroccan Air Force's armed drones. A separate memorandum explores making small arms and aero engines in Morocco.
Rajnath Singh
Rajnath Singh
India's Defence Acquisition Council, which he chairs, approved about Rs 2.12 lakh crore of proposals on 26 October, including kamikaze drones and tank-mounted counter-drone systems. About 82 per cent of the value is to go to Indian industry, by the ministry's account.
Kongsberg
Kongsberg
The Norwegian group said on 13 October it will invest more than 200m zlotys in a Pomeranian plant to build and maintain SAN counter-drone systems. It expects series output to begin in the first half of 2028.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.