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Iran Conflict 2026
21SEP

Lavrov and Munir visit Tehran in 2 days

3 min read
15:34UTC

Sergey Lavrov and Pakistan's army chief Asim Munir came to Tehran on consecutive days, and Pezeshkian told Munir that sanctions must be lifted before any talks.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Tehran now demands sanctions relief before any talks, on top of its earlier call for guarantees.

Russia's foreign minister Sergey Lavrov met Abbas Araghchi, Iran's foreign minister, and President Masoud Pezeshkian in Tehran on Monday 19 October and blamed the war on "unprovoked U.S.-Israeli aggression". Araghchi wrote afterwards: "Never in our history have Iran and Russia worked as closely as now"⁠1. Ten days earlier a Western official told Bloomberg that Moscow was supplying Iran with missiles, which the White House rejected.

Pakistan's army chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, arrived on Tuesday 20 October. Pakistan is one of two channels, with Qatar, that carry Iran's indirect contacts with Washington. Pezeshkian told him that "before any negotiations, they must first end the pressure and threats and lift sanctions", Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB) reported⁠2. Mohsen Rezaei, a former commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards, wrote that "not a single gram of enriched uranium will be removed from Iran".

On 17 October Tehran's stated condition was credible guarantees against new attacks; sanctions relief before any talks now sits on top of it. On 21 October Araghchi said the indirect talks continue on Iran's September seven-day plan for reopening Hormuz, with Washington seeking extra clauses: "The negotiating table remains in place."

The same day as Lavrov's visit, Tehran summoned Ireland's ambassador, Aidan Cronin, over a European Union statement criticising its crackdown and its Hormuz threats⁠3.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Iran and the United States do not talk directly. Pakistan and Qatar pass messages between them. Russia is friendly to Iran and sent its foreign minister to Tehran. Iran's president now says that before any talks, the United States must stop its threats and lift economic sanctions. Sanctions are penalties that stop Iran from selling oil and using banks abroad.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Iran's government is split between elected officials who run diplomacy and the IRGC, which runs the war at sea. A precondition stated by the president gives the foreign ministry cover against hardliners who oppose any talks.

Tehran also lacks a guarantor. Russia and China have not offered security guarantees, so Iran asks for relief in advance because it has no third party to enforce a later deal.

What could happen next?
  • Risk

    A demand for up-front sanctions relief makes a quick ceasefire less likely, because it reverses the order of the 2013 interim deal.

  • Meaning

    Pakistan's army chief, not its foreign ministry, is carrying the channel, which ties mediation to Pakistan's military ties with both Riyadh and Washington.

First Reported In

Update #182 · Iran says it mined Hormuz and hit 7 ships

CBS News· 22 Oct 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
Office for Budget Responsibility
Office for Budget Responsibility
The OBR's 28 October forecast assumed $82 oil for 2026 and 2027, from market prices for the ten working days to 19 August, and blamed dearer wholesale energy on the war without naming Iran. It expects CPI inflation close to 4% in early 2027 even at that price.
Hengaw, Kurdish rights group
Hengaw, Kurdish rights group
Hengaw reported the 3 November hangings of Amirhossein Maleki and Amirhossein Ebrahimi in Isfahan, saying Ebrahimi was tortured into confessing and that nine of 12 people sentenced to death in the case have now been hanged. Iran's judiciary holds that the defendants killed members of the security forces.
FINTRAC, Canada's financial intelligence unit
FINTRAC, Canada's financial intelligence unit
FINTRAC worked with the US Treasury on the 6 November designation of eight money services businesses in British Columbia, Ontario and Quebec. Treasury says the businesses still operate, some under new names, so closing them falls to Ottawa.
Abdul Qadir al-Dakhil, Governor of Nineveh
Abdul Qadir al-Dakhil, Governor of Nineveh
Al-Dakhil cancelled three Mosul International Airport contracts on 7 November over alleged links to armed groups, after meeting Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi in Baghdad. He named no group or company, and said the contracts will go to international companies.
Kuwait
Kuwait
Kuwait condemned the Houthi missile fired towards the Madinah region on 5 November and restated its support for Saudi Arabia, the Qatar News Agency reported. Its state tanker company, Kuwait Oil Tankers Company, is among the Gulf state fleets on Iran's expanded Hormuz list.
Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary
Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary
Treasury designated an alleged Chandigarh false-flag network on 4 November and eight Canadian exchangers on 6 November, while State sanctioned alleged MANPADS intermediaries. None of the actions touches an oil buyer; they target the paper, cash and procurement around Iran's trade.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.