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OPEC+
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OPEC+

Expanded oil alliance (~37% of output); Novak chaired its 67th quota-review meeting, 2 August.

On 2 August, OPEC+ agreed a 188,000-barrel-a-day September adjustment, extending its monthly increase sequence and setting 6 September for its next ministerial.

Last refreshed: 22 September 2026 · Appears in 3 active topics

Key Question

Does OPEC+ still matter after the UAE walked out?

Timeline for OPEC+

#171 12 Aug

Reported Iran's crude output flat against a 24 per cent shortfall

Iran Conflict 2026: Iran's wells flat as Iraq adds 665 tb/d
#26 2 Aug

Met Novak separately across seven member states

Russia-Ukraine War 2026: Novak chairs OPEC+; diesel study waits
#22 1 Aug

Confirmed a 188,000 b/d September adjustment for seven countries

European Oil Markets: OPEC release never mentions a pause
#21 27 Jul
#25 23 Jul
View full timeline →

Background

OPEC+ is an expanded alliance of oil-producing states that coordinates output policy. Its ministerial decisions matter because they set the declared supply PATH for a large share of internationally traded crude. The group was still approving monthly production adjustments in August 2026.

the Alliance joins OPEC members with non-OPEC producers, including Russia, around quota decisions. OPEC+ sets production policy without guaranteeing delivery of physical barrels. It sets targets, while members’ capacity, domestic conditions and transport routes determine how much oil can actually be supplied.

That distinction gives OPEC+ lasting importance in oil markets. A quota decision can reshape expectations for Brent even when producers cannot immediately meet the target. The 5 July 2026 increase illustrated that tension: the group added barrels on paper while the market questioned deliverability.

Key Issues
Output policy

OPEC+ keeps raising output targets

On 5 July, OPEC+ approved a 188,000-barrel-a-day increase for August, its fourth consecutive monthly rise. The decision took the planned additions since April to roughly 800,000 barrels a day, while leaving open whether members could deliver the extra supply.

On 2 August, the group’s own release recorded another 188,000-barrel-a-day adjustment for September and fixed 6 September as the next meeting. It did not confirm the reported fourth-quarter pause, making the Secretariat’s communique the clearest record of OPEC+ policy.

Common Questions

Reference

Who controls OPEC+ and how are decisions made?
Saudi Arabia is the de facto leader and largest producer. Decisions on output quotas require consensus among core members and are reviewed at regular ministerial meetings. Russia's presence since 2016 adds a non-Gulf geopolitical layer to every decision.
What did Alexander Novak discuss at the OPEC+ meeting on 2 August 2026?
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak chaired OPEC+'s 67th Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee on 2 August 2026 and met seven OPEC+ member states separately the same day, with his diary focused on production quotas rather than Russia's own domestic fuel shortages.Source: Government of the Russian Federation
Why did the UAE leave OPEC in 2026?
The UAE quit OPEC and OPEC+ effective 1 May 2026, citing the strait of Hormuz blockage by Iran and the failure of Gulf allies to respond to Iranian military action against UAE territory. The decision was made without consulting Saudi Arabia or any GCC member.Source: event
Is OPEC+ increasing oil production during the Iran war?
Yes, and the increases have continued in steps. Seven core OPEC+ members (Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman) agreed a 206,000 bpd rise for June 2026, and the group's 2 August release confirmed a further 188,000 bpd increment for September, with the next meeting set for 6 September. That release is silent on any fourth-quarter pause.Source: OPEC+ ministerial meeting
Why did Brent crude rise when the UAE left OPEC?
Brent rose above $111 on 28 April when UAE departure was confirmed, then settled at $123 on 30 April as markets priced the UAE's 5 million bpd of spare capacity moving outside cartel discipline — removing a coordinated buffer against price spikes.Source: editorial
Why did Brent oil rise above $105 during the Iran conflict?
Iran exports roughly 1.5 million Barrels Per Day; the risk of sustained supply disruption, combined with Strait of Hormuz tensions, pushed Brent to its highest level since the 2022 Ukraine war.Source: event
Why did Iraq consider leaving OPEC+?
Iraq, OPEC's second-largest producer, considered quitting in late June 2026 because it wanted to raise output beyond its assigned quota; Baghdad has since backed a broader quota reassessment instead.
How has the UAE's exit changed OPEC+?
The UAE's departure on 1 May 2026 cut the Alliance's share of world output from around 40% to roughly 37% and took 5 million bpd of spare capacity outside cartel quota discipline.
Why is OPEC+ raising oil production despite falling prices?
OPEC+ is unwinding a 1.65 million bpd supply cut agreed in 2023 in phased 188,000 bpd steps, prioritising market share over price defence even as Brent has fallen back to roughly $72/BBL.
How many countries are in OPEC+ now after the UAE left?
OPEC+ has 22 members after the UAE's departure on 1 May 2026 — 12 OPEC members and 10 non-OPEC producers led by Russia. The UAE's 5 million bpd of spare capacity now operates outside cartel quota discipline.Source: Lowdown
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