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Iran Conflict 2026
19JUN

Houthis widen their strikes to Yanbu

2 min read
12:07UTC

Aramco-linked sites on Saudi Arabia's Red Sea coast were struck on 25 July, after Reuters recorded IRGC personnel and equipment flying into Yemen on 13 July.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Iranian personnel in Yemen give Tehran a hand in a Saudi escalation it cannot fully control.

Houthi forces struck Aramco-linked sites at Yanbu and Jazan on 25 July, widening a target set that had reached only Jazan's industrial city the previous day 1. CNN's geolocated video showed large fires in the Jazan industrial district; Saudi Arabia issued security alerts for both cities without confirming the strikes 2.

Yanbu sits on the Red Sea north of Jeddah and handles crude arriving by pipeline from the Eastern Province, the route Saudi exports take when the Gulf is unsafe. Striking it reaches the workaround rather than the chokepoint, and it puts a Houthi weapon on the far side of The Kingdom from Yemen. The analyst Mohammed Basha said the strikes end a "recent restraint in targeting strategic infrastructure inside Saudi Arabia" 3.

Between 10 and 21 Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps personnel, including senior commanders, flew from Tehran into Yemen on 13 July along with missile and drone-related equipment, Reuters reported citing four sources 4. A Houthi media official who said he was aboard the flight denied any military experts were on it. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the Houthis had been "snookered" by Iran into joining the war 5.

Tehran has treated the Houthis as a deniable instrument since the group took Sanaa in 2015, supplying matériel from a distance. Personnel physically embedded with Houthi forces narrows that deniability, and it cuts both ways: Washington and Riyadh acquire a sourced Iranian hand to point at, while Iran acquires a front it can neither disown convincingly nor call off on demand. The sequence already ran once this week, from the strike on the Saudi tanker NCC Masa to Saudi air strikes near Hodeidah . If Aramco damage is confirmed at Yanbu, the pressure on Riyadh to answer at a scale beyond Hodeidah becomes the war's next moving part.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

The Houthis, a Yemen-based armed group aligned with Iran, widened the list of places they attack on 25 July, hitting oil-industry sites at Jazan and Yanbu inside Saudi Arabia. Reuters reports Iran flew somewhere between 10 and 21 military personnel and equipment into Yemen on 13 July, shortly before this escalation, suggesting Iranian involvement even though Iran does not directly control the Houthis. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the Houthis had been "snookered", tricked, into joining a war on Iran's behalf.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Iran's use of the Houthis as a deniable front rests on a structural feature of the relationship: Tehran supplies personnel, equipment and targeting expertise without exercising direct operational command, letting it escalate pressure on Saudi Arabia while retaining plausible deniability if the strikes draw a direct US or Saudi response.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio's characterisation of the Houthis as "snookered" inverts that logic, casting them as the party losing agency rather than Iran's instrument, which matters for whether any retaliation lands on Tehran or on Sanaa.

What could happen next?
  • Consequence

    A documented Iranian personnel presence in Yemen gives Washington grounds to attribute Houthi escalation to Tehran when deciding on any response.

  • Risk

    Targeting Aramco-linked infrastructure directly, rather than shipping, raises the stakes for Saudi Arabia's own restraint, which had held since March.

First Reported In

Update #162 · Munitions, not Iran, halted US bombing

CNN· 26 Jul 2026
Read original
Different Perspectives
Lloyd's Market Association
Lloyd's Market Association
War-risk underwriters price the Houthis' Red Sea attacks because the group announces its targets in advance, but the unclaimed Damietta drone gives insurers a hit with no author to price against. An attack nobody claims costs shipping more than one that is claimed, since premiums are set against a known pattern, not raw damage.
US Central Command
US Central Command
CENTCOM has announced no strike on Iran since resuming bombing on 30 July within hours of an IRGC salvo on Jordan, and centcom.mil did not respond to requests to confirm any pause. The command has gone quiet before while a larger operation was being weighed, so silence alone proves nothing about what it has or has not done.
Hengaw
Hengaw
Hengaw recorded at least 67 executions in Iran during July, of which the state acknowledged only eight, and reported the 1 August execution of protest detainee Arvin Kheirkhahan at Shahrud with no advance notice to his family. A family's first notice of a death sentence is now usually the instruction to collect a body.
Egypt
Egypt
Egypt's government asked media on 2 August to report the Damietta attack accurately, named no author, and said no findings will be published before its own investigation concludes. Cairo holds the debris and jurisdiction over an attack on its own soil, and naming a culprit now would pull it into a dispute it has avoided for five months.
Iran's Foreign Ministry
Iran's Foreign Ministry
Araghchi called the Hormuz talks with Oman final-stage on 2 August, four days after his own deputy rejected Oman's lane proposal, and denied the Damietta drone strike as an Israeli false flag while two Iranian officials privately claimed it for Tehran. Iran's public position now contradicts itself on both files at once.
Bahrain and Kuwait
Bahrain and Kuwait
Bahraini and Kuwaiti aircraft flew their own strikes on Iranian depots in July with Emirati air cover behind them, and Ynetnews reports some Gulf capitals wanted the 2 August strike to proceed rather than stop. States that have already taken fire see a closing window on Iranian weakness, not a reason to pause.