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Russia-Ukraine War 2026
12OCT

OFAC quietly extends Russia crude waiver

4 min read
10:59UTC

OFAC issued General License 134B on 17 April, one day after Bessent killed GL 134A, keeping pre-loaded Russia-origin crude legal through 16 May at roughly $150 million a day.

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ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Treasury's 16 April announcement looked like a kill; the 17 April licence kept Russian cargoes flowing for another month.

The Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) issued General License 134B on 17 April 2026, one day after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced the non-renewal of GL 134A and the redesignation of Rosneft and Lukoil as Specially Designated Nationals. GL 134B authorises continued transactions in Russia-origin crude oil and petroleum products loaded onto vessels by 12:01 a.m. EDT on 17 April, with the authorisation valid through 12:01 a.m. EDT on 16 May 2026. Ancillary services covered include docking, bunkering, emergency repairs and maritime insurance. The licence carves out any cargo touching Iran, North Korea, Cuba, Crimea, Donetsk or Luhansk-linked entities, which remain under their separate sanctions architecture.

GL 134A had run since November 2025 and was scheduled to expire on 11 April. Bessent's 16 April statement was read by wires including Reuters and Semafor as a hard kill of the at-sea cargo channel. The licence Treasury's own sanctions desk signed the next day kept that channel running for any cargo already on the water. The real cliff is 16 May, not 11 April.

At Urals $106.81/bbl in early May, every day of legal at-sea liquidation translates to roughly $150 million in cargoes Moscow's shadow fleet can sell with insurance and port access. The four-week extension therefore covers cargoes worth roughly $4.5bn that the 16 April press release had implied were stranded.

The instrument resembles the 2022 price-cap architecture more than the 2014 Crimea designations: a cliff-extension licence designed to prevent disorderly liquidation rather than to reduce Russian revenue immediately. At $121/bbl, an at-sea waiver would subsidise Moscow at 2.6 times the price-cap design rate; at $106 the multiple is lower but the legal-cargo flow is unbroken. The press-release moment moved one direction. The licence moved the other.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

OFAC, the US Treasury's sanctions office, quietly issued a new licence on 17 April 2026, one day after Treasury Secretary Bessent announced that an earlier licence allowing Russia to sell oil had not been renewed. The new licence, called General License 134B, allows Russian oil that was already loaded onto ships before 17 April to continue being sold until 16 May. In plain terms: Bessent's announcement sounded like a hard stop. The licence issued the next day kept Russian oil revenues flowing for another month. The difference between the two is worth roughly $4.5 billion to Moscow over the four-week window.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

The structural cause of the GL 134A-to-134B gap is the shadow fleet architecture that Russia built between 2022 and 2025. Approximately 300 to 400 tankers operating outside Western insurance frameworks loaded Russian crude in the weeks before GL 134A's 11 April expiry, knowing a non-renewal announcement was possible.

Those tankers were at sea when the Bessent statement dropped. OFAC's operational constraint was straightforward: it could not simultaneously enforce a hard cut-off and avoid stranding hundreds of laden tankers in international waters without clear port destinations, which would have created a humanitarian and environmental liability larger than the revenue denial.

The second structural cause is the $106/bbl Urals price environment. GL 134A was defensible at $73/bbl as a market-stabilisation measure issued during the Iran war's early supply shock. At $106/bbl the waiver is worth approximately $150 million per day to Moscow, and the political cost of each extension day has risen proportionally.

OFAC's 16 May hard cliff reflects an internal Treasury assessment that the at-sea cargo can realistically clear port by that date at current shipping speeds, making a GL 134C issuance operationally unnecessary.

What could happen next?
  • Consequence

    GL 134B establishes a precedent that OFAC will issue a same-day extension whenever a publicly announced sanctions cliff would strand at-sea cargo at scale, creating a structural market expectation of rolling extensions.

    Immediate · 0.82
  • Risk

    If OFAC issues GL 134C before 16 May at above-$100/bbl Urals, the credibility of all future Treasury sanctions announcements on Russian crude is materially reduced, affecting allied governments' willingness to coordinate.

    Short term · 0.75
  • Consequence

    Russia's RNRC capitalisation gap means Moscow has a structural interest in another OFAC extension after 16 May; without it, the shadow fleet faces underinsured voyages or Chinese P&I cover at higher cost.

    Medium term · 0.72
Sources:Baker McKenzie Sanctions News·Baker McKenzie Sanctions News·Reuters
Mentions:Kremlin →Moscow →Cuba →Reuters →Iran →North Korea →Urals →Donetsk →Crimea →Semafor →Libya →OFAC →General License 134B →Scott Bessent →Rosneft →Lukoil →US Treasury →Russia →Luhansk →Baker McKenzie →Western P&I clubs →
First Reported In

Update #15 · Hardware-free parade; crude waiver lives on

Baker McKenzie Sanctions News· 3 May 2026
Read original →
Causes and effects
Caused by
Treasury kills $150M-a-day Russian oil waiver
GL 134B was issued one day after Bessent announced GL 134A non-renewal and Rosneft/Lukoil SDN redesignation on 16 April
Occurred 16 Apr 2026
Read story →
GL 134A lapses toward quiet extension
GL 134A's 11 April expiry created the legal gap that GL 134B bridged, extending the at-sea crude waiver by one month
Occurred 11 Apr 2026
Read story →
This Event
OFAC quietly extends Russia crude waiver
First post-Iran-war narrative extension beyond a published cliff date; reframes the 16 April press release as optics rather than enforcement.
Led to
OFAC GL 134B expires 16 May, no successor
OFAC issued GL 134B on 17 April as a one-day reflexive extension after 134A lapsed; its 16 May expiry is the direct target of the current cliff.
Occurred 16 May 2026
Read story →
Different Perspectives
Government of Latvia
Government of Latvia
Latvia abstained on 22 September when the EU renewed its individual sanctions for 36 months at the price of delisting Alisher Usmanov and Mikhail Fridman, and promised national sanctions of its own. Riga's abstention marks how far a frontline member state will go to keep listed names listed.
India's Ministry of External Affairs
India's Ministry of External Affairs
After the House passed the Graham bill on 16 September, India's foreign ministry said it would keep buying energy on market terms and protect its trade. Russia supplied 30.3% of India's crude imports in fiscal 2026, so the tariff decision due around 18 October falls directly on New Delhi.
Kaja Kallas, EU foreign policy chief
Kaja Kallas, EU foreign policy chief
Kallas answered the US licence on 10 October by saying Europe would not ease pressure, and EU ministers adopted a 22nd package of nearly 1,600 listings two days later. Brussels is tightening as Washington loosens, though TASS reported the package adds no significant new trade restrictions.
Donald Trump and the US Treasury
Donald Trump and the US Treasury
The Treasury licensed Russian diesel imports until 7 April 2027 on the day of Trump's call with Putin, and Trump then told reporters Ukraine should find a new leader. Washington is trading sanctions relief for fuel supply while pressing Kyiv to halt the refinery strikes behind the shortage.
Kremlin and Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak
Kremlin and Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak
After the 9 October call the Kremlin said Russia was ready to supply oil and petroleum products to American and global markets, and Novak brought forward the end of diesel export curbs. Moscow is selling the shortage back as goodwill, with volumes that Decree No. 686 now hides from outside checks.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine
Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine
Zelenskyy called GL 135 an investment in prolonging the war and offered to stop striking Russian refineries if Russia stops destroying Ukraine's energy system. Answering Trump's call for a new leader, he set a total 60-day ceasefire as the condition for elections, which puts the next move on Moscow.