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No Europeans on the guest list

2 min read

10:16UTC

Iran left every European government off Ali Khamenei's funeral guest list, a 30-nation roster led by Russia's Dmitry Medvedev and Pakistan's Shehbaz Sharif, accusing Europe of the 'wrong side of history'.

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Key takeaway

Iran barred Europe from Khamenei's funeral while welcoming Russia, Pakistan, China and 30 other governments.

Iran's foreign ministry excluded every European government from the guest list for Ali Khamenei's funeral, a roster of more than 30 governments led by Russia and Pakistan, accusing Europe in public of standing "on the wrong side of history" during the war ¹.

Dmitry Medvedev, the former Russian president who now serves as deputy chairman of Russia's Security Council, travels as Vladimir Putin's personal envoy, and Pakistan's prime minister Shehbaz Sharif attends in person, alongside delegations from China, India, Georgia and Cuba ².

Europe had tried to write itself into the war's endgame in April, when 40 leaders under France's Emmanuel Macron and Britain's Keir Starmer stood up a Strait of Hormuz freedom-of-navigation mission in Paris and drafted its rules at the Northwood military headquarters, both without Washington in the room. Tehran has now answered that bid by leaving its authors off the one gathering every major non-Western power will attend. The delegations that did make it, Moscow and Islamabad in front, are the capitals Iran expects to lean on when reconstruction money starts to move.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Iran invited more than 30 countries to Ali Khamenei's funeral, including Russia, whose former president Dmitry Medvedev is attending as Vladimir Putin's personal envoy, and Pakistan, whose prime minister Shehbaz Sharif is also going. Every European government, including EU member states and the UK, was left off the list. Iran's foreign ministry said Europe stood 'on the wrong side of history'. That traces back to April, when France and the UK led a European naval mission through the Strait of Hormuz that Iran saw as taking the US side without asking Tehran first.

Deep Analysis

Root Causes

Iran's exclusion of Europe traces to the collapse of the Northwood-drafted Hormuz coalition: the same European governments Iran now snubs, led by Emmanuel Macron and Keir Starmer, co-chaired an April freedom-of-navigation mission through the Strait of Hormuz that Tehran read as a hostile multilateral framework built without its consent.

Russia and Pakistan hold functioning bilateral channels Iran still needs. Medvedev's presence formalises Moscow's role as an arms and satellite-intelligence supplier through the war, and Pakistan's Sharif chairs the Doha mediation channel that both Washington and Tehran still use.

What could happen next?

Meaning
The guest list confirms Iran is consolidating around Russia, China and Pakistan rather than seeking to repair relations with Europe.
Precedent
Formally snubbing Europe at a state funeral sets a precedent for how Tehran treats European involvement in any post-war reconstruction or sanctions-relief negotiation.

Source Landscape

This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

Primary parallel: North Korea permitted only a small unofficial South Korean delegation, and barred official Western dignitaries, at Kim Jong Il's December 2011 funeral, using the guest list itself to signal continued hostility despite years of prior rapprochement attempts.

Counter-parallel: Nelson Mandela's December 2013 memorial drew leaders from every side of the Cold War's old divides, including a handshake between US President Obama and Cuba's Raul Castro, because South Africa deliberately used the event to project reconciliation rather than exclusion, the opposite use of the same occasion.

Consensus view: The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace reads Iran's exclusion of Europe as a deliberate bilateral pivot, using the funeral guest list to reward the states materially engaged in ending the war, Russia and Pakistan, while punishing the European governments Tehran blames for the failed Hormuz freedom-of-navigation push Macron and Starmer co-chaired in April.

Counter-view: Russia's Valdai Discussion Club argues the guest list is less about punishing Europe than about consolidating the non-Western bloc, Russia, China, Pakistan, India, Georgia and Cuba, that Iran will need for post-war reconstruction financing and sanctions relief, with Europe's absence a side effect of that consolidation rather than its purpose.

Key tension: Whether the guest list is retaliation against European Hormuz diplomacy or the visible first step in building Iran's post-war financial and political bloc.

First Reported In

Update #143 · Diplomacy pauses for a funeral under threat

Press TV· 2 Jul 2026

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Causes and effects

This Event

No Europeans on the guest list

Iran is signalling which powers it expects to court after the war, and Europe is not among them.

Led to

Iran claims 100 nations, confirms two

Iran's exclusion of Europe from the 30-nation delegation list is the baseline the claimed 100-country turnout is measured against.

Occurred 3 Jul 2026

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Iraq to host Khamenei funeral rites

Iraq's confirmed attendance extends the recognition-map dynamic set by Europe's exclusion from the delegation list.

Occurred 4 Jul 2026

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Medvedev likens Hormuz to nuclear arms

Medvedev's alignment statement follows Iran's decision to exclude Europe from the funeral delegation entirely.

Occurred 4 Jul 2026

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Different Perspectives

Belarus

Minsk announced completion of its own 37th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade near Gomel, under plans dating to August 2025 rather than a response to any single frontline event this window, keeping its hedge of hosting the war without formally joining Russia's mobilisation drive.

European Union / Operation IRINI states

Italy, Greece and Poland boarded the sanctioned tanker Toa Payoh off Pantelleria under a standing EU mandate rather than a national decision, extending enforcement from the Channel and Baltic and the Black Sea and Azov into the Mediterranean. Italian Defence Minister Guido Crosetto praised the crew; the captain's refusal to produce documentation left detention unconfirmed.

Poland and the NATO eastern flank

Warsaw's Coordination Team said explicitly its forces tracked the 30 July missile incursion and were ready to shoot it down, then flew air cover for an EU tanker interdiction three days later. Poland is simultaneously the war's nearest spillover victim and a contributor to enforcing sanctions against the state causing that spillover.

Ukraine (government, defence establishment and civilians)

Kyiv runs its manpower crisis through acting Defence Minister Yevhen Khmara, whose formal appointment waits for parliament's 18 August return, and a fortnight-old Commander-in-Chief, Mykhailo Drapatyi. Reported attacks on enlistment officers rose from 5 cases in 2022 to 341 in 2025, reaching Odesa's Territorial Recruitment Centre staff directly on 2 August.

Kremlin and Russian domestic economic voices

Moscow has not addressed July's advance-rate collapse or Sberbank's OFZ warning; Novak's diary ran to OPEC+ quota diplomacy with no diesel item logged since 15 July. Economist Nikolai Korzhenevsky calls the Central Bank's RUB 2.3tn in bank lending effectively deficit monetisation, a framing Sberbank's Skvortsov, with his own institutional interest, has not disputed.

IAEA (Rafael Grossi)

IAEA inspectors logged Zaporizhzhia's 22nd loss of off-site power, ten of them in the last three months, after a thunderstorm knocked out the plant's sole surviving backup line. Grossi reads the accelerating frequency, not any single outage, as the safety signal now that the plant's redundancy is exhausted.