Skip to content
You can now search across every topic, entity and event.What's new
Russia-Ukraine War 2026
13MAY

Trump calls off the Sunday strike

3 min read
20:00UTC

Trump billed the strike as "Military Terror, Strength, and Power not seen since World War II", then dropped it after Mohammed bin Salman argued the Gulf would wear Iran's answer.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

A Saudi phone call stopped an American strike that Congress and the Pentagon could not.

Donald Trump cancelled a strike on Iran set for Sunday 2 August, hours after posting on Truth Social that the United States was "locked and loaded and ready to go against the Islamic Republic of Iran, at levels of Military Terror, Strength, and Power not seen since World War II" 1. He held off at the request of Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, according to the Associated Press account carried by Al Jazeera 2. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman made the case himself, telling Trump that an Iranian answer landing on Gulf states would reach the global economy 3. By Trump's own telling, unnamed Iranian officials asked for the halt as well 4.

Every previous brake on this campaign came from inside the American government. General Dan Caine, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, warned Trump about munitions stocks in late July and the bombing stopped . The Senate then refused to bind the President under the War Powers Resolution , the 1973 statute that gives a president two days to notify Congress he has sent forces into hostilities and 60 days to bring them home without its authorisation. This halt carries a foreign head of state's name instead, which changes who a shipowner, an insurer or a Gulf Finance Ministry has to lobby to move an American strike calendar.

Trump set out his terms in capitals: "immediate, complete, and total OPENING OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT" and an end to Iran's nuclear threat 5 6. Wire accounts put the American side of that trade as lifting the naval blockade and letting Iran sell oil again, which is the reporting's reading of an implied exchange rather than a term Trump is quoted offering 7. He told reporters negotiations resume at the start of the week, naming neither the venue nor the parties 8.

Tehran has matched none of that in public. Iran's security chief was promising attacks until "total surrender" days before the cancellation , and Bahraini and Kuwaiti aircraft had already flown their own runs at Iranian depots earlier in July with Emirati intelligence behind them . The Gulf states now credited with stopping an American strike are not bystanders to the war they asked Washington to slow down.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Donald Trump is the US President. He said he was ready to bomb Iran on Sunday 2 August, then called it off hours later. He did not change his mind on his own. Three Gulf countries, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, asked him to stop, worried that Iran would hit their oil and gas facilities in response and drive up costs for everyone. Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman made the case to Trump personally. Nothing was signed to make the halt official, so it could be reversed as quickly as it was agreed.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Qatar hosts Al Udeid Air Base, the forward headquarters CENTCOM has run this air campaign from, and Bahrain hosts the US Fifth Fleet; both arrangements rest on renewable basing agreements rather than a permanent legal guarantee, which gives the host government a practical veto that a home-territory ally could never exercise.

Saudi Arabia carries no equivalent basing leverage since Riyadh removed US combat aircraft from its soil after 2003, so Mohammed bin Salman's intervention worked through the economic argument alone, oil and gas exposure, rather than through infrastructure Washington depends on operationally.

Escalation

De-escalatory in the near term but reversible within hours, since nothing prevents the halted strike from being rescheduled once Gulf mediation ends.

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    Gulf capitals have shown they can move a specific American strike date; broader US Iran policy remains Washington's alone to set.

    Immediate · Assessed
  • Risk

    Because the halt rests on verbal assurances, a single Iranian strike on a Gulf target could collapse the arrangement without warning.

    Short term · Reported
  • Precedent

    This is at least the second time in the war a Gulf-brokered call has stopped a scheduled US strike, following the 18 May cancellation (ID:3431).

    Medium term · Assessed
First Reported In

Update #165 · Gulf capitals talk Trump out of a strike

Al Jazeera· 3 Aug 2026
Read original
Different Perspectives
Belarus
Belarus
Minsk announced completion of its own 37th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade near Gomel, under plans dating to August 2025 rather than a response to any single frontline event this window, keeping its hedge of hosting the war without formally joining Russia's mobilisation drive.
European Union / Operation IRINI states
European Union / Operation IRINI states
Italy, Greece and Poland boarded the sanctioned tanker Toa Payoh off Pantelleria under a standing EU mandate rather than a national decision, extending enforcement from the Channel and Baltic and the Black Sea and Azov into the Mediterranean. Italian Defence Minister Guido Crosetto praised the crew; the captain's refusal to produce documentation left detention unconfirmed.
Poland and the NATO eastern flank
Poland and the NATO eastern flank
Warsaw's Coordination Team said explicitly its forces tracked the 30 July missile incursion and were ready to shoot it down, then flew air cover for an EU tanker interdiction three days later. Poland is simultaneously the war's nearest spillover victim and a contributor to enforcing sanctions against the state causing that spillover.
Ukraine (government, defence establishment and civilians)
Ukraine (government, defence establishment and civilians)
Kyiv runs its manpower crisis through acting Defence Minister Yevhen Khmara, whose formal appointment waits for parliament's 18 August return, and a fortnight-old Commander-in-Chief, Mykhailo Drapatyi. Reported attacks on enlistment officers rose from 5 cases in 2022 to 341 in 2025, reaching Odesa's Territorial Recruitment Centre staff directly on 2 August.
Kremlin and Russian domestic economic voices
Kremlin and Russian domestic economic voices
Moscow has not addressed July's advance-rate collapse or Sberbank's OFZ warning; Novak's diary ran to OPEC+ quota diplomacy with no diesel item logged since 15 July. Economist Nikolai Korzhenevsky calls the Central Bank's RUB 2.3tn in bank lending effectively deficit monetisation, a framing Sberbank's Skvortsov, with his own institutional interest, has not disputed.
IAEA (Rafael Grossi)
IAEA (Rafael Grossi)
IAEA inspectors logged Zaporizhzhia's 22nd loss of off-site power, ten of them in the last three months, after a thunderstorm knocked out the plant's sole surviving backup line. Grossi reads the accelerating frequency, not any single outage, as the safety signal now that the plant's redundancy is exhausted.