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Iran Conflict 2026
9JUN

Radio warnings close a second strait

3 min read
10:36UTC

Yahya Sarea declared Bab al-Mandab shut to Saudi shipping on Monday. Six vessels, among them the Chinese supertanker Xin Long Yang, had turned round inside 48 hours without a shot fired.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

A radio broadcast closed Bab al-Mandab to Saudi shipping inside 48 hours, with no shot fired.

Yahya Sarea, military spokesman for Yemen's Houthis, announced a full maritime embargo on Saudi Arabia on Monday 20 July, effective immediately⁠1. Houthi forces began hailing vessels on open maritime frequencies near Yemen the same day, telling them the Bab al-Mandab was closed to Saudi traffic⁠2.

Bab al-Mandab is the strait between Yemen and Djibouti where the Red Sea meets The Gulf of Aden, and roughly a quarter of global container traffic passes through it. Six vessels had reversed course by Tuesday 21 July, according to Lloyd's List ship-tracking data. Among them was the Chinese Very Large Crude Carrier Xin Long Yang, which turned in the Red Sea rather than continue towards a Saudi port⁠3.

Houthi forces fired nothing, boarded nothing and stopped nothing. Rear Admiral Vasileios Gryparis commands Operation Aspides, the European Union's naval protection mission in the Red Sea. He said the Houthis "remain a threat to navigation despite not having attacked any merchant vessels since September 2025"⁠4. Holding the Strait of Hormuz shut has cost a great deal more: a naval blockade, Marine boarding parties putting armed personnel on foreign decks, and eleven consecutive nights of bombing.

Sarea framed the embargo as retaliation for Saudi Arabia's blockade of Yemeni ports and a Saudi strike on Sanaa airport. The Houthis say that strike was aimed at an Iranian aircraft carrying their leadership home from Ali Khamenei's funeral⁠5. Saudi Arabia's foreign ministry called the declaration false and a distraction from the group's "economic mismanagement and public discontent", and said The Kingdom would take "all necessary measures" to protect its ships⁠6.

Whether the six turnbacks answer the radio calls, the owners' own risk desks or both cannot be separated out from tracking data alone. No war-risk premium specific to Saudi-bound traffic has yet been established either. What can be said is that the traffic changed course within two days of a broadcast, and that nobody had to sail a warship to make it happen.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

The Houthis are an armed group that controls large parts of Yemen. On Monday they announced they would stop Saudi-bound ships from passing through the Bab al-Mandab Strait, a narrow sea gap near Yemen that a huge share of world shipping uses to reach the Suez Canal. They have not fired on or boarded any ship. Instead, Houthi forces have been radioing vessels over open radio channels and warning them to turn back. Six ships did, including the Chinese supertanker Xin Long Yang. No vessel has been attacked, boarded or stopped. Shipping companies are cautious because insurance for sailing through this region has already become far more expensive during the wider war, so a warning alone is often enough to make a captain choose the longer, safer route.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Rerouting on a radio warning only works because the insurance market had already primed shipowners to treat any new threat as decisive. War-risk premiums for the region were running at 3-10% of hull value before this declaration, against roughly 0.25% before the war, according to Lloyd's List reporting; the Lloyd's Market Association has said capacity technically remains available and it is price and crew willingness, not a shortage of cover, that is doing the suppressing.

That pre-existing cost structure means a six-figure premium swing, not a missile, is enough to turn a tanker around; the Houthis are exploiting a market that was already primed to divert rather than demonstrating new military reach.

What could happen next?
  • Risk

    If the Houthis follow the 2023 Galaxy Leader precedent and escalate from radio warnings to an actual boarding or strike, war-risk premiums for the wider Red Sea corridor would likely reprice sharply, compounding the existing Hormuz premium.

  • Precedent

    A second chokepoint closed by declaration rather than force lowers the bar for further non-kinetic threats against shipping elsewhere in the region.

First Reported In

Update #159 · A second strait closes by radio alone

The War Zone· 22 Jul 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
Wang Yi
Wang Yi
China's foreign minister and Djibouti's issued a joint communique on 21 October saying the war should not reach the Horn of Africa and stressing free navigation through Bab al-Mandeb. The text names neither Iran nor the Houthis, and Djibouti hosts China's only overseas military base, opposite the Yemeni coast.
Ministry of External Affairs
Ministry of External Affairs
India's foreign ministry called the attacks on Saudi civilian and energy sites "unacceptable" on 22 October and said they must stop at once. An Indian died at Dammam, Indians were injured there and at Shaybah, and about 4,000 Umrah pilgrims remain stranded by one MP's count.
Iraq
Iraq
Iraq closed the al-Sheeb crossing with Iran to travellers and trucks from 21 October and said other crossings would close gradually. Unlike September's closure, which ended on a staged timetable, this one has none, and Iran's interior ministry said it received no notice.
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Egypt's president said on 21 October that Cairo's support would "defend Saudi territory, and does not include an attack on Yemen". Araghchi warned that Egyptian involvement would further complicate the situation, and Cairo's limit matches the one Ankara set on 8 October against attacking another state's soil.
UK Ministry of Defence
UK Ministry of Defence
The MoD said on 20 October that RAF Typhoons over Saudi Arabia will not strike the Houthis, but extended tanker support to Saudi operations including against Houthi targets in Yemen. The tanker line sets no limit on strikes, so British aircraft may now refuel Saudi jets on bombing runs.
Turkey
Turkey
Ankara sent the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement to parliament around 20 October, and its published text treats an attack on one party as an attack on all. Article 16 brings it into force only on the last ratification, so the 5 October invocation in Riyadh could not yet bind Turkey.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.