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AI: Jobs, Power & Money
27JUL

SAP freezes R&D headcount as others deny AI

4 min read
10:02UTC

SAP told investors its research headcount will not grow for a year because AI agents are absorbing the work. Almost every other employer cutting jobs this fortnight refused the AI label, and one widely relayed German tally turned out to be an American one. UK vacancies rose, US jobless claims hit a 57-year low and Alphabet added 11,830 staff.

Key takeaway

The measurement fight over AI job losses is stalled; the legal fight over AI liability is not.

This briefing mapped
Economic
Regulatory
Domestic

Christian Klein told investors on 23 July that SAP's research organisation will not grow for twelve months, and named AI agents as the reason. No layoffs were announced.

Sources profile:This story draws on centre-left-leaning sources from United States
United States

SAP told investors on 23 July it will not grow research headcount for a year, with chief executive Christian Klein naming AI agents as the reason. Quarterly revenue rose 9% to EUR9.9 billion and cloud backlog climbed 27%.

A freeze, unlike a layoff, needs no works council consultation under German law. It shows nowhere in official job-cut statistics, even as Stanford researchers estimate roughly 34 suppressed hires occur for every declared AI layoff. 

Sources:CNBC

Unions signed off 80 redundancies at Concentrix's A Coruña site on 22 July, and the AI attribution came from the works committee rather than from the company.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

Unions ratified a redundancy deal covering 80 jobs at Concentrix's A Coruna site on 22 July, Europe's first completed AI-attributed collective redundancy. Severance runs 31 days per year worked, capped at 24 months.

The AI attribution comes from the works committee and union president Tania Varela, who point to Microsoft's AI self-service push, not from Concentrix itself, which has not named AI as the cause. 

Monday.com's co-founder denied any AI motive for 630 cuts, Zalando blamed network realignment for 2,100, and a widely relayed German AI tally turned out to be an American one.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

Three AI-jobs stories needed correcting this fortnight. Monday.com's co-founder Eran Zinman denied AI drove 630 cuts on 22 July. Zalando's Erfurt closure, sealed 9 July, came from a merger with About You, not AI.

A widely shared 101,743 figure, thought to be German, is actually Challenger, Gray & Christmas's cumulative American tally. AI attribution is being both oversold and denied at once. 

Spain's Audiencia Nacional sanctioned an employer for concealing how its scheduling algorithm worked, and Brussels closed feedback on a materiality test that would reach the same tools.

Sources profile:This story draws on centre-left-leaning sources from United States
United States

Spain's Audiencia Nacional sanctioned an employer on 4 July for hiding how a scheduling algorithm worked, with legal analysis landing 26 July. The European Commission's Annex III draft guidelines on high-risk workplace AI closed for feedback on 23 July.

The Spanish ruling actually rests on a 2021 national transparency law, not the EU AI Act, whose own employment rules remain delayed to December 2027. 

Sources:DLA Piper·CNBC

Torsten Slok said on 26 July that Oracle's credit default swap spread has reached its 2008 level, with debt-to-equity near 739 times at the smaller AI lenders.

Sources profile:This story draws on centre-left-leaning sources from United States
United States

Oracle's credit default swap spread reached its 2008 crisis level, Apollo Global Management chief economist Torsten Slok said on 26 July. Smaller AI infrastructure lenders like CoreWeave show debt-to-equity ratios as high as 739 times.

Slok called the trend 'not your friend'. Alphabet's own ratio sits near 18 times, showing how concentrated the leverage risk is in smaller AI-focused lenders. 

Sources:CNBC

US initial claims fell to 187,000, the lowest since 1969, and four economists spent the day explaining why the series no longer counts joblessness.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

US initial jobless claims fell 22,000 to 187,000 for the week ending 18 July, the Department of Labor said on 23 July, the lowest level since 1969. Four economists quickly said the measure no longer reliably tracks joblessness.

The reason: claims only count workers with a qualifying payroll job who formally file. Millions of gig and contract workers, plus anyone who has exhausted benefits, never register at all. 

Sources:Marketplace

The Office for National Statistics recorded 712,000 vacancies for April to June, the first quarterly rise this beat has tracked, with no breakdown by AI exposure.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

UK job vacancies rose to 712,000 for April to June, up from 705,000, the Office for National Statistics said on 21 July. It is the first quarterly rise this data series has recorded, though payrolled employment still fell 85,000 over the year.

The Resolution Foundation calls the rise a rebound after two straight five-year lows, not a genuine turn. The Trades Union Congress reads it as employers finally reopening recruitment. 

Alphabet employed 198,933 people at the end of June, its fourth straight quarterly rise, while holding severance charges at group level where no segment breakdown reaches them.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

Alphabet employed 198,933 people on 30 June, up 11,830 year-on-year and 2,865 on the quarter, its fourth straight quarterly rise. Google Cloud revenue grew 82% over the same period.

Analysts are split. Some call rising headcount proof AI isn't cutting jobs at Alphabet; others note the company won't say which Teams are actually growing. 

Amazon eliminated roles in model customisation and post-training inside its AGI unit on 22 July, disclosing no number, while committing roughly USD200 billion to AI infrastructure.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

Amazon cut jobs on 22 July inside its Artificial General Intelligence unit, in model-customisation and post-training Teams, without disclosing a number. The company is separately committing roughly USD200 billion to AI infrastructure.

The cuts land as the unit pivots from frontier research toward enterprise deployment. Even Amazon's own AI division is losing roles while its AI spending keeps rising. 

Three Italian union federations pulled call-centre workers out for a fortnight from 13 July, banning overtime rather than demanding employers drop the technology.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

Three Italian unions, SLC CGIL, Fistel CISL and UILFPC UIL, called call-centre workers out from 13 to 27 July using end-of-shift stoppages and an overtime ban. It is the sector's first coordinated national action against AI-driven job cuts.

Unions say nearly 2,000 jobs are at risk in Piedmont alone. Italy's call-centre contracts have no clause requiring retraining when AI cuts call volume, unlike Spain's court-tested disclosure rules. 

Anthropic's USD1.97 million second-quarter lobbying bill beat Nvidia's, and neither its filings nor OpenAI's mention labour-market policy at all.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

Anthropic spent USD1.97 million on federal lobbying in the second quarter, up 26% and more than Nvidia. OpenAI spent USD1.2 million, up almost 18%, disclosed to Congress on 21 July as a combined record.

The spend rose while Anthropic's own models faced a Commerce Department suspension order over foreign-national access, giving it direct regulatory exposure Nvidia, a chip supplier, does not share. 

Infosys reported 328,062 staff on 23 July, down 532 on the quarter, with attrition at 13% and nothing in the headcount line attributed to automation.

Sources profile:This story draws on neutral-leaning sources

Infosys reported 328,062 staff on 30 June, down 532 on the quarter but up 4,274 on the year, results published 23 July. That places it between TCS's annual cut of 19,271 and Wipro's net addition of 888.

Attrition rose to 13% from 12.6% even as headcount held roughly flat, a pattern consistent with a shrinking bench rather than a declared AI-linked layoff programme. 

Closing comments

Sideways on the statistics fight, up on the legal one. The mechanism is Spain's expected first AI-scoring dismissal rulings within weeks, which would extend Ruling 101/2026 from disclosure to termination and hand every EU works council a template Concentrix's A Coruña committee has already tried to use without one.

Different Perspectives
Comisiones Obreras, UGT and Concentrix's A Coruña works committee
Comisiones Obreras, UGT and Concentrix's A Coruña works committee
Comisiones Obreras, UGT and Concentrix's A Coruña works committee blamed Microsoft's push toward AI self-service for the 80 redundancies unions signed off on 22 July, not unavoidable business cause. A second Coruña procedure covering 80 more jobs runs to a 31 August deadline, and the unions want the state, not the employer, setting the pace of AI-driven cuts.
Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan
Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan
Betsey Stevenson argued that the 187,000 jobless-claims reading describes a market that hires little and fires little, not one AI is emptying. She said the real damage hides in eligibility rules and suppressed job postings, not in the headline layoff counts employers keep denying.
Christian Klein, SAP
Christian Klein, SAP
Christian Klein told investors on 23 July that SAP's research headcount will not grow for twelve months because AI agents and their token costs are absorbing the work, not because SAP is cutting jobs. He frames it as commercial arithmetic: the cost of AI-assisted coding tokens plus the salaries specialist AI hires command, not people being replaced by machines.
Office for National Statistics
Office for National Statistics
The Office for National Statistics recorded UK vacancies rising to 712,000 on 21 July, the first quarterly increase this beat has tracked, with payrolled employment down 85,000 on the year against May's 210,000 fall. The bulletin names no AI cause anywhere, and that is the point: nothing in the release confirms the displacement story it gets cited to support.
European Commission
European Commission
The European Commission's draft Annex III guidelines, closed for comment on 23 July, treat algorithmic scoring in recruitment, pay and termination as high-risk regardless of whether a human signs off, echoing Spain's Audiencia Nacional ruling 101/2026 on concealed scheduling algorithms. Brussels is shifting the fight from counting AI job losses to assigning legal liability for the tools themselves.