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Office for National Statistics
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Office for National Statistics

The UK's official statistics agency, publishing economic, labour market and population data.

UK job vacancies rose for the first time in over a year on 21 July 2026, to 712,000, the Office for National Statistics reported, even as payrolled employment fell 85,000 over the same twelve months and youth joblessness sits at a 12-year high.

Last refreshed: 20 August 2026 · Appears in 3 active topics

Key Question

UK youth unemployment is at a 12-year high — is AI driving it or just hiding in the numbers?

Timeline for Office for National Statistics

#1 26 Jul
#1 20 Jul

Reported PSND at 94.9% of GDP and revised May's figure

Is Britain Actually Broke?: Britain owes 95p for every £1 it makes
#18 20 Jul

Published a labour market bulletin recording the first quarterly vacancy rise in the series

AI: Jobs, Power & Money: UK vacancies rise for the first time
View full timeline →

Background

The Office for National Statistics is the UK's largest independent producer of official statistics, responsible for the census, labour-market surveys, inflation indices and GDP estimates. Based in Newport, Wales, it reports to Parliament through the UK Statistics Authority and operates independently of government departments. Its monthly labour-market bulletin is the primary data source for UK employment policy and the Bank of England's rate decisions.

As with the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the ONS carries no AI-specific attribution layer in its reporting. That absence means policymakers, the Bank of England and organised labour are all reading the same blunt aggregate instrument with no explanatory framework for technology-driven displacement, a gap that has persisted through a year of frozen vacancies and a 12-year-high youth jobless rate .

The agency's numbers have become the reference point both government optimists and union sceptics cite in the same argument: the UK's own projection of 3.9 million AI jobs by 2035 is published against the identical evidence base the ONS's monthly releases keep failing to reconcile.

Key Issues
Labour market data

Its data show a jobs slowdown

The Office for National Statistics reported UK vacancies frozen at 721,000 across six consecutive publications through March 2026, then falling to a five-year low of 705,000 by 19 May, with payrolled employment down 210,000 over the year and youth unemployment at 14.7%, a 12-year high, in its June bulletin . None of its releases carry an AI-specific breakdown, leaving the Bank of England and organised labour to read the same aggregate numbers with no tool to separate cyclical loss from AI-driven displacement.

On 21 July the agency recorded the series' first quarterly rise, vacancies up to 712,000 for April to June, though payrolled employment still fell 85,000 over the year; the Resolution Foundation called it a rebound rather than a genuine turn .

AI jobs claim

Its numbers undercut a government promise

The government's projection of 3.9 million AI jobs by 2035 sits against the same evidence base the Office for National Statistics publishes each month; in March 2026 the agency recorded vacancies down 9.5% year on year and unemployment at 5.2%, with real wage growth of just 0.4 to 0.5% .

By 10 April its count had fallen further, payrolled employees down 96,000 year on year, still with no AI-specific attribution layer in any release. The gap between the promise and the agency's own aggregate numbers has not narrowed since, because the ONS still measures no mechanism the Bank of England now treats as a systemic financial risk .

Common Questions

Reference

What is the Office for National Statistics?
The UK's largest independent producer of official statistics, responsible for the census, labour market data, inflation indices, and GDP estimates. Based in Newport, Wales, it operates independently of government.

Recently resolved

What is the UK unemployment rate in 2026?
ONS data for early 2026 showed payrolled employees down 96,000 year on year, real wage growth at 0.4%, and vacancies frozen at 721,000 for six consecutive publications — signalling a structurally stalled labour market.Source: ONS
Does ONS track AI job losses in the UK?
No. ONS has no AI-specific breakdown in its labour market reporting, a measurement gap that mirrors the BLS's in the United States. Six consecutive months of flat vacancy counts at 721,000 give no explanatory framework for what is driving the stall.Source: ONS
How many job vacancies are there in the UK in 2026?
ONS reported 721,000 vacancies in March 2026 — unchanged for the sixth consecutive publication. Payrolled employees fell 96,000 year on year; real wage growth was 0.4% against 3.8% nominal.Source: ONS
Why are UK job vacancies falling in 2026?
Vacancies fell from a six-month plateau of 721,000 to 705,000 by the June 2026 bulletin, but the ONS's next release, on 21 July 2026, put vacancies at 712,000 -- the first quarterly increase in the recent run. The ONS still publishes no AI-specific attribution for either the fall or the rebound.Source: Office for National Statistics
What is the current UK youth unemployment rate?
The Office for National Statistics reported UK youth unemployment (aged 16 to 24) at 14.7% in January-March 2026, the highest since 2014. Some 22.7% of young jobseekers had been out of work for more than a year.Source: Office for National Statistics
How many jobs does the UK government expect AI to create by 2035?
The UK Government has projected 3.9 million AI-related jobs by 2035. The projection is made against ONS data that contains no AI attribution layer, making it impossible to verify against current labour market trends.Source: UK Government / ONS
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