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Torsten Slok
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Torsten Slok

Chief economist at Apollo Global Management.

Apollo Global Management's chief economist, whose blunt line on Oracle's widening credit-default-swap spread, 'the trend is certainly not your friend', delivered to CNBC on 26 July 2026, is his own framing rather than the firm's.

Last refreshed: 27 July 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic

Key Question

Why is Oracle's default-risk pricing now flashing 2008-level warning signs?

Timeline for Torsten Slok

#18 25 Jul
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Background

Torsten Slok is chief economist at Apollo Global Management, a US alternative-asset manager, and a closely watched voice on credit-market risk.

His commentary regularly connects corporate disclosures, credit-market pricing and macroeconomic data, translating shifts in debt markets into warnings that reach beyond specialist fixed-income audiences.

His July 2026 comments on Oracle placed a single company's credit spread inside a wider argument about AI capital spending and default risk across the technology-lending sector.

Key Issues
Oracle credit warning

Slok flags Oracle's 2008-level spread

Torsten Slok is the analyst behind the sharpest line in the sector's credit-risk debate: 'the trend is certainly not your friend', his verdict on Oracle's borrowing costs delivered to CNBC on 26 July 2026, days after Oracle's credit-default-swap spread climbed to its highest point since 2008 .

As chief economist at Apollo, a firm that trades credit risk directly, Slok's personal framing carries weight beyond a standard house view: he tied that spread widening explicitly to Oracle's own disclosure to the US Securities and Exchange Commission that AI adoption had driven its workforce reductions, a connection he drew himself rather than leaving implicit.

Common Questions
Who is Torsten Slok?
Torsten Slok is chief economist at Apollo Global Management, tracking credit markets and AI-financing risk.Source: event
Why did Torsten Slok compare Oracle's credit spread to 2008?
He said Oracle's credit default swap spread now sits at its 2008 level, and that hyperscaler spreads are rising off the bottom too.Source: CNBC
What is a credit default swap spread?
A credit default swap prices insurance against a borrower failing to pay, making it the market's live estimate of default risk.Source: event