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Iran Conflict 2026
16MAY

IRGC fires on two Indian tankers after clearance

3 min read
12:41UTC

IRGC gunboats opened fire on the Sanmar Herald and Jag Arnav in the Strait of Hormuz on 18 April after Iranian authorities had granted both vessels prior radio clearance to transit.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Radio clearance from Iranian authorities now carries no insurable protection value for Hormuz-bound shipping.

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) gunboats fired on the Indian-flagged very large crude carrier Sanmar Herald and the tanker Jag Arnav in the strait of Hormuz on 18 April, after both vessels received prior radio clearance from Iranian authorities to transit 1. No warning preceded the fire. Both ships reversed course back through the strait.

An intercepted bridge transmission captured one crew's response in a single radio line: "You gave me permission to go... you are firing now!" 2. The IRGC is Iran's ideological parallel military force, commanding proxy networks, domestic security and Hormuz naval operations alongside the conventional armed forces; gunboat encounters with commercial shipping in the strait are its signature. the strait of Hormuz is the 33-kilometre maritime chokepoint through which roughly a fifth of global seaborne oil passes.

The pattern repeats an earlier fire. On 17 April, Iran's joint military command declared Hormuz reopened for 24 hours, and the IRGC fired on an Indian-flagged vessel the same day after granting clearance . Iran reversed the opening on 18 April, declaring the strait "returned to its previous state under strict management and control", and the Sanmar Herald and Jag Arnav attacks followed inside hours.

For shipping insurers, the IRGC's grant-and-fire sequence prices Iranian radio clearance at zero protection value. Underwriters had been pricing a carve-out in which vessels carrying Iranian permission could transit safely; two incidents inside 24 hours, both on Indian hulls, both preceded by clearance, remove that assumption. The question that replaces it is whether any transit through Hormuz now carries insurable status while IRGC targeting decisions are made at gunboat level rather than by Tehran's foreign ministry.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Imagine a toll booth operator waves you through, then a guard 100 metres down the road opens fire on your car. That is what happened to two Indian tanker ships in the Strait of Hormuz on 18 April. The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow waterway ; only 33 kilometres wide at its tightest ; between Iran and Oman. About 20% of the world's oil used to pass through it every day before this conflict started. Iranian military forces called the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) now control who goes through. On 18 April, two Indian oil tankers ; the Sanmar Herald and the Jag Arnav ; received radio permission from Iranian authorities to transit. Then IRGC gunboats fired on them anyway. A recorded transmission from the Sanmar Herald's bridge crew captured the crew's shock: 'You gave me permission to go... you are firing now!' Both the Sanmar Herald and the Jag Arnav reversed course and retreated. This matters because it shows Iran can deny passage even after granting radio clearance; the IRGC has done this on two consecutive days.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Iran's 1982 domestic maritime law, updated in 2024, claims jurisdiction over 'hostile-linked vessels' transiting Hormuz ; a category defined broadly enough to cover any flag state that has sanctioned Iran. India has not formally sanctioned Iran, but its state refiners were the primary buyers of GL-U-covered cargoes.

IRGC naval doctrine under the Decentralised Mosaic Defence delegates launch authority to 31 autonomous provincial units; the disconnect between the radio operator granting clearance and the gunboat commander firing suggests the two functions may sit in separate command chains.

The broader structural root is Iran's contested legal position at Hormuz: Tehran has never ratified the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), which grants transit passage through international straits. By operating outside UNCLOS, Iran can claim domestic maritime law governs passage terms ; meaning clearance granted under Iranian domestic procedures can be revoked under the same domestic authority without reference to international law.

Escalation

The grant-and-fire pattern across two consecutive days (17 April on one vessel, 18 April on two) suggests an emerging tactical norm rather than isolated incidents. It converts Indian tankers ; previously partially protected by India's non-aligned status and direct India-Iran diplomatic engagement ; into targets, widening the range of nations directly confronting Iran's Hormuz interdiction.

What could happen next?
  • Risk

    India's diplomatic protest creates pressure on New Delhi to join multilateral Hormuz escort arrangements ; a step that would convert India from non-aligned observer to active participant in the maritime confrontation.

    Short term · 0.72
  • Consequence

    The clearance-then-fire pattern voids the value of direct India-Iran diplomatic channel as a vessel-protection mechanism, which had functioned since March 2026 (ID:1060).

    Immediate · 0.82
  • Precedent

    Firing on vessels after issuing radio clearance sets a documented pattern that European navies drafting Hormuz rules of engagement at Northwood must account for ; any escort mission assumes clearance means something.

    Medium term · 0.78
First Reported In

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Different Perspectives
India (BRICS meeting host, grey-market beneficiary)
India (BRICS meeting host, grey-market beneficiary)
New Delhi hosted the BRICS foreign ministers' meeting on 14 May that Araghchi attended under the Minab168 designation, giving India a front-row seat to Iran's diplomatic positioning. India's state refiners have been absorbing discounted Iranian crude through grey-market routing since April; Brent at $109.30 means every barrel sourced outside the formal market generates a structural saving.
Hengaw / Kurdish human rights monitors
Hengaw / Kurdish human rights monitors
Hengaw's daily reports from Iran's Kurdish provinces remain the sole independent cross-check on Iran's judicial activity during the conflict. Two executions across Qom and Karaj Central prisons on 15 May and five Kurdish detentions on 15-16 May indicate the wartime judicial pipeline is operating independently of military tempo.
Pakistan (mediator and bilateral partner)
Pakistan (mediator and bilateral partner)
Islamabad spent its diplomatic capital as the US-Iran MOU carrier to secure LNG passage for two Qatari vessels through a bilateral Pakistan-Iran agreement, spending its mediation credit for direct economic gain. China's public endorsement of Pakistan's mediatory role on 13 May is the structural reward.
China and BRICS bloc
China and BRICS bloc
Beijing endorsed Pakistan's mediatory role on 13 May, one day after the BRICS foreign ministers' meeting in New Delhi. Chinese state banks are processing PGSA yuan toll payments; China has not commented on its vessels' continued Hormuz passage, but benefits structurally from a non-dollar toll system it did not design.
Iraq (bilateral passage partner)
Iraq (bilateral passage partner)
Baghdad negotiated a 2-million-barrel VLCC transit without paying PGSA yuan tolls, offering political alignment in lieu of cash. Iraq's position inside Iran's adjacent bloc makes it the natural first bilateral partner and a template for how Tehran structures passage deals with states that cannot afford Western coalition membership.
Bahrain and Qatar (Gulf signatories)
Bahrain and Qatar (Gulf signatories)
Both signed the Western coalition paper while hosting US Fifth Fleet and CENTCOM's Al Udeid base, respectively. Qatar occupies the sharpest contradiction: it is on coalition paper while simultaneously receiving LNG passage through the bilateral Iran-Pakistan track, a position Doha has tacitly accepted from both sides.