Skip to content
You can now search across every topic, entity and event.What's new
Iran Conflict 2026
19JUL

Yemen's front began with a blocked flight

2 min read
14:05UTC

SABA reports at least 17 soldiers killed at Saudi-backed camps in eastern Yemen, and Kpler data shows tankers thinning out of the Bab el-Mandeb.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Both of the war's shipping chokepoints are tightening at the same time.

SABA (Yemen News Agency), the wire of the internationally recognised government in Aden, reported at least 17 soldiers killed at Saudi-backed camps in eastern Yemen 1. Kpler tracking data relayed by the Associated Press shows fewer tankers using the Bab el-Mandeb, the strait between Yemen and Djibouti that carries Red Sea traffic towards the Suez Canal, after the week's attacks.

AP dates the current escalation to Monday 13 July, when a Saudi strike on Sanaa airport stopped an Iranian Mahan Air flight carrying a senior delegation from the Houthis, the Iran-aligned armed movement that has held northern Yemen since 2014; the coalition later let the aircraft land at Hodeida instead 2. Since then the Houthis have struck Abha airport, Saudi shipping and Saudi oil facilities, Saudi-led forces have hit Hodeida and Kamaran, missiles and drones have landed on Yemeni military camps, and Mokha port has been damaged.

Shipping that left the Gulf had been running this way instead. Vessels now avoiding the Bab el-Mandeb have no third route to take, so the two straits tighten together rather than one relieving the other. The 2022 UN-brokered truce that held Yemen's war at a simmer for four years is at risk on AP's account.

Several operational details in that reporting rest on anonymous Yemeni, Gulf and Houthi officials. This movement has also claimed more than has been shown: on 5 August it announced two tanker strikes when UKMTO logged a single explosion , and its July claim against crude transport infrastructure was never independently verified .

Deep Analysis

In plain English

The Houthis are an armed movement that controls much of northern Yemen. Bab el-Mandeb is a narrow waterway between Yemen and Djibouti, used by ships travelling between Asia, Europe and the Red Sea. SABA reported 17 soldiers killed, while shipping data showed fewer tankers using the route. Violence in Yemen can therefore affect trade far beyond the country.

What could happen next?
  • Consequence

    Traffic disruption at Bab el-Mandeb removes part of the alternative route available to Gulf-bound shipping.

  • Risk

    Unverified claims and counter-claims may prompt ships to divert before authorities establish what happened.

First Reported In

Update #168 · Iran replaces the man who set its terms

Associated Press· 11 Aug 2026
Read original
Causes and effects
Different Perspectives
China's foreign ministry
China's foreign ministry
Spokesman Lin Jian rejected Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's 25 August warning that Iranian oil buyers face an "economic D-Day", saying sanctions do not help and that Beijing would safeguard its own rights and interests. China's Iranian crude imports had already halved for unrelated reasons.
Iraq's government and Erbil authorities
Iraq's government and Erbil authorities
Erbil authorities said 10 explosive-laden drones were shot down over the city on 1-2 September with no casualties. Iraq's government condemned the attacks without naming Iran as their source, and neither Washington nor Baghdad confirmed the IRGC's claim to have hit US bases there.
Bahrain Defence Force
Bahrain Defence Force
The General Command said air defences intercepted several Iranian missiles and drones on 1-2 September and called the use of such weapons against civilians and private property a flagrant violation of international humanitarian law.
Kuwait's Fire Force and foreign ministry
Kuwait's Fire Force and foreign ministry
KUNA reported a hostile Iranian drone struck a residential complex in Kuwait City on 2 September; Fire Force spokesman Brigadier General Mohammad Al-Gharib said losses were confined to property. Kuwait's foreign ministry called the attack a clear breach of its sovereignty.
Jordan's Armed Forces
Jordan's Armed Forces
Petra carried a statement that air defences intercepted eight missiles violating Jordanian airspace early on 31 August and 10 of 13 fired on 1 September. The statement named no target and did not address the IRGC's claim to have struck Camp Titin and killed US personnel.
CENTCOM
CENTCOM
CENTCOM's 1 September target list named IRGC air defence, radar, maritime and mine-laying sites in Iran but no tanker, after Axios reported anonymous officials describing a Trump-approved "tanker for tanker" drone policy. A CENTCOM spokesman declined to confirm the policy and referred questions to policymakers.