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Windward
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Windward

Israeli maritime AI company tracking AIS evasion, dark-fleet movements, and sanctions breaches at scale.

On 30 July, Windward found Bab el-Mandeb tanker crossings had fallen 39% since 20 July, showing how maritime risk had narrowed another vital oil route.

Last refreshed: 22 September 2026 · Appears in 4 active topics

Key Question

Why does Windward's vessel data diverge from what governments claim about Hormuz?

Timeline for Windward

#171 16 Aug

Recorded four outbound vessels going AIS-dark on 14 August

Iran Conflict 2026: Five ships crossed Hormuz in a day
#21 29 Jul

Assessed Bab el-Mandeb transit collapse to about 7.5 Saudi-linked tankers a day

European Oil Markets: Bab el-Mandeb thins to 7.5 tankers a day
View full timeline →

Background

Windward is an Israeli maritime intelligence company that tracks vessel movements, location-signal manipulation and sanctions-evasion patterns. Its work is useful where official claims about a SEA route or blockade conflict with observed traffic. On 15 April, its data recorded 117 dark-fleet vessels in The Gulf and 15 Hormuz transits, contradicting a US claim that Iran's sea trade had stopped completely.

Founded in 2011 by Ami Daniel and Matan Peled, Windward combines Automatic Identification System data with satellite imagery and behavioural analysis. It listed on London's AIM market in December 2021. Its practical significance lies in testing what vessels report about themselves against what their movements indicate.

That role is durable because shipping restrictions create incentives to hide routes, identities and cargoes. Windward documented 136 navigation-denial zones in The Gulf on 6 March, illustrating the limits of vessel signals alone during conflict.

Key Issues
Maritime risk

Windward measures the Red Sea retreat

On 30 July, Windward reported that total Bab el-Mandeb crossings had fallen 22% since 20 July. Tanker transits fell 39%, while Saudi-flagged traffic nearly halved to an average of about 7.5 vessels a day. The figures made Windward's vessel data a measure of whether the route remained usable for commercial shipping.

The retreat followed the 22 July attack on the Saudi tanker Encelia, whose bow caught fire after Houthi missiles and drones struck it. For Windward, the episode extended its role beyond counting ships: its data showed the commercial effect of violence after insurers and operators reassessed the route.

Sanctions evasion

Windward exposes tanker location fraud

On 4 July, Windward identified a US-sanctioned, Guyana-flagged tanker broadcasting a false anchor-swing track while loading Iranian crude near Kharg Island. Its analysts found the deception by comparing satellite imagery with the vessel's Automatic Identification System signal, rather than trusting the broadcast location.

The finding showed why Windward's work matters to sanctions enforcement. On 12 April, it had also documented active tankers using the identities of scrapped ships in Hormuz, where 14 State Department-sanctioned shadow-fleet vessels were tracked. Each case turns a ship's public signal into evidence that must be tested against other sources.

Common Questions

It caught a tanker faking anchor

How does Iran's dark fleet evade sanctions in the Strait of Hormuz?
Windward has documented tactics from AIS transponder deactivation and scrapped-ship identity spoofing to, most recently, faking an anchored-ship AIS track to disguise a tanker loading Iranian crude at Kharg Island.Source: event
How are sanctioned tankers getting through the Hormuz blockade?
Windward documented 14 State Department-sanctioned dark-fleet vessels near Hormuz on 12 April using the identities of scrapped ships to evade enforcement. The vessels exploit CENTCOM's carve-out for non-Iranian-port traffic.Source: Windward

Reference

What is Windward maritime intelligence?
Windward is an Israeli maritime intelligence company that fuses AIS tracking, satellite imagery and machine learning to flag sanctions evasion and anomalous vessel behaviour, listed on London's AIM since 2021.
Why does Windward say the Strait of Hormuz is not really open?
After General Licence X on 22 June, only 12 cargoes cleared Hormuz, down from 55 on 20 June. Windward described the 22 June figure as a 'late-blockade baseline' rather than a reopening.Source: Lowdown event 4450
How does Windward's data differ from official US government claims about Hormuz?
On 21 June, CENTCOM logged 55 transits and JD Vance said he saw 'no evidence the strait is closed'. Windward said the IRGC closure claim and the vessel data were 'pointing in different directions', stopping short of either government narrative.Source: Lowdown event 4425
Who supplied the evidence behind the EU's 2026 shadow fleet sanctions?
Windward's registry analysis, which found Sovcomflot had reflagged 56 per cent of its fleet to Russia's own registry, underpinned the EU's March 2026 shadow-fleet sanctions package.
What has Windward found about Hormuz traffic during the 2026 conflict?
Windward documented 92 AIS denial zones and 44 GPS jamming zones in The Persian Gulf by March 2026. On 19 April it logged only 3 Hormuz transits, the lowest since the blockade, with 7 VLCCs clustered near Chabahar. On 23 April it confirmed the first completely AIS-blank transit day in the strait's history.Source: Windward
Did Windward find evidence the Strait of Hormuz was really closed?
On 21 June 2026 Windward said its vessel transit data and the IRGC's closure declaration were 'pointing in different directions', undercutting the claim that the strait was sealed.Source: event
How much AIS spoofing is happening in the Persian Gulf?
Windward identified 92 AIS denial zones and 44 GPS jamming zones in The Persian Gulf as of 5 March 2026, mapping the electronic warfare environment affecting commercial navigation.Source: Windward
Source Material