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Cook Political Report
Non-partisan US race-rating service; 11 September snapshot held House at 206D-208R with 21 tossups.
40 of 40 entries (35 events, 5 interactions)
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#19 30 Sept
Moved Texas governor's race to Lean Republican
US Midterms 2026: Texas PAC's Senate spending hits $131.5m#19 29 Sept
Moved Florida's governor's race to Lean Republican
US Midterms 2026: Florida Rising loses an exact-match case#19 29 Sept
Mentioned in: Sabato's 11 moves include Kiggans's seat
US Midterms 2026#19 25 Sept
Moved 15 House races towards Democrats
US Midterms 2026: Cook's 15 House shifts all aid Democrats#18 23 Sept
Moved Kansas and South Carolina Senate ratings towards Democrats
US Midterms 2026: Sabato and Cook widen Democrats' map#18 23 Sept
Moved Georgia's Senate race to Likely Democrat
US Midterms 2026: YouGov puts Ossoff 10 points clear#18 22 Sept
Mentioned in: Marist poll puts Turek ahead in Iowa
US Midterms 2026#18 22 Sept
Mentioned in: Sabato moves Michigan Senate to Leans D
US Midterms 2026#18 20 Sept
Mentioned in: NRSC spends $45.9m, DSCC takes cash lead
US Midterms 2026#18 20 Sept
Mentioned in: NRCC keeps House cash lead over DCCC
US Midterms 2026#18 15 Sept
Moved New Hampshire's Senate race to Toss Up
US Midterms 2026: Cook moves New Hampshire towards Sununu#17 15 Sept
Rated the seat Leans Republican despite the fundraising gap
US Midterms 2026: $85m of Texas ads, no donor named#17 11 Sept
Published an 11 September ratings snapshot with zero changes
US Midterms 2026: Cook moves nothing, ballot stays flat#16 11 Aug
Moved six House ratings toward the Democrats
US Midterms 2026: Cook moves six seats, all one way#12 29 Jun
Moved Alaska Senate from Lean Republican to Toss-up
US Midterms 2026: Two Dan Sullivans, one Alaska toss-up#11 27 Jun
Mentioned in: Letlow routs Fleming by 13.6 points
US Midterms 2026#10 20 Jun
Mentioned in: Pollsters split eight points on the House
US Midterms 2026#10 18 Jun
Moved seven House seats toward Democrats with none moving the other direction
US Midterms 2026: Cook moves seven seats, none back#9 10 Jun
Updated House baseline to 206D/211R/18 toss-ups after absorbing Louisiana and Alabama maps
US Midterms 2026: Florida locks its map for November#9 3 Jun
Moved Iowa Senate from Likely Republican to Lean Republican on 3 June
US Midterms 2026: An Iran War price shock hits Iowa#8 2 Jun
Mentioned in: NJ-7 moves to Toss-up as cash gap holds
US Midterms 2026#7 27 May
Moved Texas Senate from Likely Republican to Leans Republican
US Midterms 2026: Texas Senate, TX-35 both slip to Leans Republican#7 26 May
Mentioned in: Paxton routs Cornyn despite nine-to-one spend
US Midterms 2026#7 21 May
Mentioned in: Sabato moves six House seats toward Democrats
US Midterms 2026#6 12 May
South Carolina Senate blocks post-Callais redraw
US Midterms 2026#6 8 May
Voided its conditional five-seat shift toward Democrats after SCOVA ruling
US Midterms 2026: Virginia court kills Democrats' last 2026 track#6 1 May
Mentioned in: DCCC flips committee lead; super PACs diverge
US Midterms 2026#5 30 Apr
Mentioned in: Trump signs TrumpIRA.gov order before midterms
US Midterms 2026#4 27 Apr
Mentioned in: SAVE Act loses reconciliation route, 48-50
US Midterms 2026#4 27 Apr
Moved five Virginia House districts toward Democrats based on voided referendum map
US Midterms 2026: Cook moves 5 Virginia seats on a voided map#4 17 Apr
Mentioned in: Daines exits; Bodnar leads Montana race
US Midterms 2026#3 13 Apr
Mentioned in: Q1 GDP contracts under tariff drag
US Midterms 2026#3 13 Apr
Shifted four Senate race ratings toward Democrats
US Midterms 2026: Cook shifts four Senate races to Dems#3 13 Apr
#3 13 Apr
#3 13 Apr
#2 7 Apr
Scranton's Bellwether District Moves to Toss-up
US Midterms 2026#2 7 Apr
#2 7 Apr
#2 30 Mar