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US Midterms 2026
24SEP

Democrats win the Senate and the House

3 min read
11:45UTC

NBC News projected 54 Senate seats for Democrats to 44 for Republicans at 5:34pm Eastern on 4 November, after Democrats took seven Republican-held seats.

PoliticsDeveloping
Key takeaway

Democrats took both chambers, flipping seven Senate seats and at least 35 House seats on NBC projections.

Democrats won both chambers of Congress in the Tuesday 3 November midterms, taking seven Republican-held Senate seats. At 5:34pm Eastern time on Wednesday, on unofficial counts, NBC News projected 54 Senate seats for Democrats and 44 for Republicans, with Mississippi and Alaska still uncalled⁠1. The seven flips came in Iowa, Kansas, Maine, North Carolina, the Ohio special election, South Carolina and Texas. Republicans went in holding 53 seats; if the Democratic leads in Mississippi and Alaska survive their counts, the chamber ends 56-44.

The House moved further. NBC's tally at 5:37pm stood at 242 Democrats to 151 Republicans with 42 seats uncalled, after 35 seats flipped to Democrats and one to Republicans⁠2. The Cook Political Report, a non-partisan newsletter that rates every race, had put the likeliest Democratic gain at 12 to 22 seats on 23 October; the net gain of 34 already runs 12 seats past the top of that range. Sabato's Crystal Ball, the University of Virginia's ratings newsletter, listed five Republican-held Senate seats as Toss Ups in mid-October. Democrats took seven, South Carolina among them, a race both raters had called only Lean Republican. Democrats also took governorships from Republicans in Georgia, with Keisha Lance Bottoms, and Nevada, with Aaron Ford⁠3.

CBS News exit polls found Donald Trump's job approval underwater, with more voters disapproving than approving, in nearly all Senate battlegrounds⁠4. Trump told CNBC that fuel prices cost his party ("Not the war, the price") and that he would veto Democratic bills⁠5. John Thune, the Senate Majority Leader, wrote at 1:06am: "Thankfully, we still have President Trump in The White House"⁠6. Chuck Schumer said on Wednesday morning that Democrats would "entangle him in legislative razor wire" whenever Trump defies the will of the people or the law, CBS reported⁠7.

Every count here is unofficial, taken from election-night feeds and network tallies as of Wednesday 4 November. The 42 uncalled House seats and two uncalled Senate seats can still move the final margins, though not control of either chamber.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Congress, the US national legislature, has two chambers. The Senate has 100 members serving six-year terms; The House of Representatives has 435 members elected every two years. A party needs 51 senators or 218 House members for control. Midterm elections fall halfway through a president's four-year term. On 3 November Democrats won a majority in both chambers, according to projections by US television networks on unofficial counts. That matters because laws need both chambers to agree. Donald Trump stays president until January 2029, but his programme now needs votes from a Congress his party does not control.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Party spending, not super PAC reserves, set where Republican nominees stood alone in October. The NRSC spent nothing with its nominees in Iowa, New Hampshire, Kansas, Texas, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina from 1 to 14 October; five of those Senate seats then flipped.

The Republican map advantage in Missouri never came into play. The US Supreme Court kept Missouri on its 2022 lines for this election, so the 2025 redraw aimed at the Democratic-held 5th District was not on the ballot as a map, only as a referendum.

What could happen next?
  • Consequence

    Legislation now needs Democratic votes in both chambers, while Trump has pledged to veto Democratic bills.

    Short term · Reported
  • Consequence

    The Senate's confirmation power over judges and cabinet nominees passes to Democrats when the new Congress sits in January.

    Medium term · Reported
  • Risk

    The 42 uncalled House seats and two uncalled Senate seats can shift final margins, though not control of either chamber.

    Immediate · Assessed
First Reported In

Update #23 · Democrats take the Senate and the House

NBC News· 5 Nov 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
University of Florida Election Lab
University of Florida Election Lab
The lab, run by Michael McDonald, estimates about 124.3 million ballots, a raw midterm record, and turnout of about 49.4% of eligible voters, second to 2018's 50.05%. The raw record reflects population growth more than a record rate, so the late count is working through a near-2018 electorate.
Thune's critics on the right, including Senator Ron Johnson
Thune's critics on the right, including Senator Ron Johnson
Ron Johnson backed the failed 31-15 motion to delay Thune's re-election, after activists such as Mike Cernovich blamed the leader for the defeat. Their complaint is that Republicans could have passed the SAVE Act; in January it meets a Democratic Senate instead.
Senator John Thune
Senator John Thune
Thune was re-elected Senate Republican leader by acclamation on 10 November after a motion to delay failed 31-15. He kept the filibuster that stopped the SAVE Act, the choice his critics on the right blame for the defeat.
House Republicans under Jim Jordan
House Republicans under Jim Jordan
House Republicans elected Jordan minority leader by 106 votes to 73 over Steve Scalise on 10 November, after Speaker Mike Johnson declined to run. They replaced the leadership that lost the majority, while Senate Republicans kept theirs.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Trump asked on Truth Social on 9 November whether anybody believed the election "was honest" and blamed the machines, having told The New York Times on polling night he would accept the results. No Republican campaign had sued over a 2026 result by 10 November, so the claim has no case behind it.
Judge David O. Carter
Judge David O. Carter
Carter closed the Justice Department's suit over about 20,000 California mail ballots on 10 November after the department withdrew it, writing that the suit "attempted to disrupt an ongoing election". The closure leaves the department with no court order touching a 2026 California ballot.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.