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Iran Conflict 2026
29OCT

Tankers run a southern route under US guidance

2 min read
17:49UTC

The Associated Press reported that operators keep moving oil on a southern route near the Omani coast under American guidance, as Lloyd's List Intelligence logged 102 Hormuz transits in a week.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Oil keeps moving through Hormuz on a route one navy directs and the other calls illegal.

Associated Press reported on 3 September that tanker operators are still moving oil through the strait by taking a southern route near the coast of Oman under the guidance of US forces, while Lloyd's List Intelligence logged 102 Hormuz transits in the preceding week⁠1. The week's calendar boundaries were not published, so the count cannot be lined up precisely against any other week's.

That traffic level says something on its own. Shipping had fallen to a single transit on one day in mid-August, recorded by S&P Global. Cargo is moving again, and it is moving because somebody is telling masters where to sail.

Each navy now tells masters where they may sail. The IRGC's own statement called the route its targets were taking "unauthorized", which asserts a right to license traffic through an international waterway. Iran signed the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, which guarantees transit passage through straits used for international navigation, but never ratified it, and that gap sits underneath every Iranian closure claim of this war. Washington runs the mirror image: American forces route the southern shuttle, and the IRGC calls that route unauthorised.

The physical argument runs alongside the legal one. Iran's Khatam al-Anbiya headquarters said it had laid new mines south of the strait by 2 September, in lanes the US Navy had cleared days before. A master on the southern shuttle is steering between a mine risk on one side and a legal claim on the other, with a war-risk premium attached to both.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

the strait of Hormuz is the narrow channel every tanker leaving The Gulf must pass through. The Associated Press reported that operators are still moving oil, but many now take a longer southern route hugging the Omani coast, guided by US forces, rather than the shortest path through the strait. Lloyd's List Intelligence, a shipping-data firm, counted 102 transits of the strait in the week AP reported on. That is not a closed strait; it is oil still moving, just under a different set of instructions than before, and at whatever extra time and cost the longer route adds.

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    Traffic continuing at 102 transits in the reported week shows the strait is not closed, but a fleet routing around the shortest path under naval guidance is not operating normally either; the true state sits between those two extremes.

First Reported In

Update #176 · Three tankers for two warships

AP News· 7 Sept 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
United States (Joint Maritime Information Center)
United States (Joint Maritime Information Center)
The JMIC, the US-led naval reporting cell, rated the Hormuz threat "severe" in its 25 October advisory, as reported by gCaptain, and warned of possible renewed mining. Eight days earlier it found no substantiation for the Guards' mine claims, while US-facilitated transits ran at about 34 a day.
United Kingdom (CPS and Counter Terrorism Policing)
United Kingdom (CPS and Counter Terrorism Policing)
The CPS charged two men under the National Security Act 2023 over the RAF Fairford incident, and Counter Terrorism Policing said it believes the foreign intelligence service involved is Iran's, LBC reported. The case now runs through the courts; both men are charged, not convicted.
Aden and Yemen's recognised government
Aden and Yemen's recognised government
The Houthis told people to leave Aden airport, in the government-held south, before a missile fell there on 28 October, AFP reported, and police reported a second attack that afternoon. The fight between Riyadh and the Houthis is landing on the south's main civilian airport.
Qatar (mediators)
Qatar (mediators)
Qatar-led mediators put new terms to Iran this week, which an Iranian official called "ideas, not a proposal". Riyadh framed the Tehran meeting as support for Qatari and Pakistani mediation, keeping Doha at the centre of the indirect channel.
Korea Shipowners' Association
Korea Shipowners' Association
The association said the ships Iran listed were sub-chartered to an overseas oil company, not owned by Sinokor, carried no South Korean crew, and that Sinokor was unaware of the warning. South Korea's shipowners are contesting whose vessels the notice covers before it takes effect.
Kuwait (foreign ministry)
Kuwait (foreign ministry)
Kuwait summoned Iran's ambassador, Mohammad Toutounji, and handed him a protest note over the embassy's denial that its citizen took part in the alleged plot against Interior Minister Fahad Al-Yousef. Kuwait is answering through its courts and a diplomatic protest, citing international law and the UN Charter.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.