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Iran Conflict 2026
8JUN

Zelenskyy ties elections to a ceasefire

2 min read
09:58UTC

After Trump said Ukraine should get a new leader, Zelenskyy set his terms: a total 60-day ceasefire, then elections.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Zelenskyy will hold elections only after a full 60-day ceasefire.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on 9 October that letting Russia sell petroleum products was "an investment in a war that must be ended, not prolonged"⁠1. On the same day he named a price for halting Ukraine's deep-strike campaign of long-range drone attacks inside Russia: no strikes on Russian refineries if Russia stops destroying Ukraine's energy system.

Donald Trump went further on 10 October. Newsweek reported him telling reporters outside The White House: "I suggest they get a new leader who can make a deal"⁠2. Zelenskyy replied on 11 October on ABC's Sunday programme This Week that the choice is "up to our people". He named terms: "Total ceasefire, 60 days, and we will organize elections."

Ukrainian law bars elections under martial law, in force since February 2022, so a vote needs Moscow to stop firing first. Zelenskyy's answer moves the burden of an election onto the Kremlin. Mykhailo Fedorov, whose sacking as defence minister in July set off three days of protests across eight Ukrainian cities, was already pressing in August for a way round the ban.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Ukraine has been under martial law, a set of emergency wartime rules, since Russia's full invasion in February 2022. Those rules ban national elections. On 10 October President Trump said Ukraine should find a new leader who can make a deal with Russia. President Zelenskyy replied that the choice belongs to Ukrainians. He said Ukraine would hold elections if there were a complete ceasefire lasting 60 days. The day before, Zelenskyy also offered to stop attacking Russian oil refineries if Russia stopped attacking Ukraine's power plants and lines.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Martial law has been in force since February 2022, and Ukrainian law forbids presidential and parliamentary elections while it lasts. Zelenskyy's five-year term began in May 2019, so the question of his mandate has run since May 2024 and gives Moscow and now Washington an argument to press.

A vote also needs conditions Ukraine cannot create alone: millions of citizens abroad or displaced, soldiers at the front, and occupied territory where no ballot can be held. Only a ceasefire makes those conditions possible, so Zelenskyy tied the two together.

The pressure for a new leader follows a familiar pattern. Trump and Putin last spoke at length on 29 April, when Moscow proposed a short Victory Day truce ; each call has been followed by US demands on Kyiv rather than on Moscow.

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    Kyiv has set out its first concrete sequence for a wartime vote: ceasefire, then 60 days, then elections.

    Short term · Assessed
  • Risk

    Open US calls for a new Ukrainian leader give Moscow a public argument against negotiating with Zelenskyy.

    Medium term · Reported
  • Opportunity

    A refinery-for-grid strike halt is a narrow deal both sides could test without settling territory.

    Short term · Suggested
First Reported In

Update #28 · US licenses Russian diesel and turns on Kyiv

LIGA.net· 12 Oct 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
Wang Yi
Wang Yi
China's foreign minister and Djibouti's issued a joint communique on 21 October saying the war should not reach the Horn of Africa and stressing free navigation through Bab al-Mandeb. The text names neither Iran nor the Houthis, and Djibouti hosts China's only overseas military base, opposite the Yemeni coast.
Ministry of External Affairs
Ministry of External Affairs
India's foreign ministry called the attacks on Saudi civilian and energy sites "unacceptable" on 22 October and said they must stop at once. An Indian died at Dammam, Indians were injured there and at Shaybah, and about 4,000 Umrah pilgrims remain stranded by one MP's count.
Iraq
Iraq
Iraq closed the al-Sheeb crossing with Iran to travellers and trucks from 21 October and said other crossings would close gradually. Unlike September's closure, which ended on a staged timetable, this one has none, and Iran's interior ministry said it received no notice.
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Egypt's president said on 21 October that Cairo's support would "defend Saudi territory, and does not include an attack on Yemen". Araghchi warned that Egyptian involvement would further complicate the situation, and Cairo's limit matches the one Ankara set on 8 October against attacking another state's soil.
UK Ministry of Defence
UK Ministry of Defence
The MoD said on 20 October that RAF Typhoons over Saudi Arabia will not strike the Houthis, but extended tanker support to Saudi operations including against Houthi targets in Yemen. The tanker line sets no limit on strikes, so British aircraft may now refuel Saudi jets on bombing runs.
Turkey
Turkey
Ankara sent the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement to parliament around 20 October, and its published text treats an attack on one party as an attack on all. Article 16 brings it into force only on the last ratification, so the 5 October invocation in Riyadh could not yet bind Turkey.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.