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Oxford Economics

Economic forecaster; set the $140 oil recession threshold; tracks both Gulf oil shock and AI labour disruption.

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#6612 Apr
#4522 Mar

Issued recession threshold assessment

Iran Conflict 2026: $140 Brent tips world into recession
#222 Mar

Cited in Orgvue survey on wrong decisions by business leaders

AI: Jobs, Power & Money: 55% of firms regret their AI layoffs
#117 Mar

Referenced in NBER study on LLM adoption and occupational switching

AI: Jobs, Power & Money: NBER: LLMs shift tasks, not headcounts
#117 Mar

Published research finding AI's role in layoffs may be 'overstated'

AI: Jobs, Power & Money: Oxford Economics: AI layoffs overstated
#4016 Mar

Tracked US diesel topping $5 per gallon, up 34% since 28 February

Iran Conflict 2026: US diesel tops $5 a gallon, up 34%
#3815 Mar

Tracked Brent crude at $106.18 — more than 50% above pre-war levels

Iran Conflict 2026: Brent breaks $106, 50% above pre-war
#3715 Mar

Tracked Brent crude closing at $103.14, with Monday futures above $104

Iran Conflict 2026: Oil above $104 as war enters week three
#3311 Mar

Tracked Brent crude closing at $100.46 — 49% above pre-war levels

Iran Conflict 2026: Brent closes above $100 for first time
#3311 Mar

Published recession warning as Dow fell 600 points on Thursday

Iran Conflict 2026: Dow drops 600; stagflation warnings