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John Swinney
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John Swinney

Scottish First Minister; SNP leader seeking independence referendum despite missing his own 65-seat trigger.

On 22 September 2026 Holyrood backed John Swinney's right-to-decide motion 84 to 18; all 17 Scottish Labour MSPs supported it once Labour had added its own child-poverty wording.

Last refreshed: 7 October 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic

Key Question

Can Swinney assemble a working government without an independence mandate?

Timeline for John Swinney

#18 22 Sept

Moved the right-to-decide motion

UK Local Elections 2026: Marra's MSPs vote for right to decide
#11 7 Jul

Burnham rules out a Scottish vote

UK Local Elections 2026
#9 14 May
View full timeline →

Background

John Swinney has been First Minister of Scotland and leader of the Scottish National Party since May 2024, when he succeeded Humza Yousaf. He served as Deputy First Minister under Nicola Sturgeon and as Finance Secretary for over a decade. He represents Perthshire North.

The SNP won 58 seats at the Holyrood election of 7 May 2026 and governs with 58 of 129 seats. Swinney's referendum plan depends on a Section 30 order, which only the UK Government can make under the Scotland Act 1998. Downing Street refused one on 26 May 2026, and Andy Burnham ruled one out on 7 July.

Key Issues
Right to decide

Swinney wins Labour votes for self-determination

Swinney's motion of 22 September 2026 asserted Scotland's right to choose its own future. Before the main vote Michael Marra, Scottish Labour's new leader, amended it to make child poverty "an immediate national priority", and MSPs accepted that change 91 to 12. They then approved the motion 84 to 18: SNP, Labour and Green members in FAVOUR, Scottish Conservatives and Scottish Liberal Democrats opposed. None of Reform UK's 17 MSPs took part in any of the five divisions.

The wording echoes the Claim of Right and does not commit Labour to an independence referendum. Burnham told Scottish Labour MPs in July that a Section 30 order would not be granted under him, and offered enhanced devolution.

Independence referendum

Swinney seeks a Section 30 order

On 7 May 2026 the SNP won 58 of Holyrood's 129 seats, seven below the 65-seat threshold Swinney had named as his trigger for a 2028 independence referendum. Sworn in on 14 May, he confirmed a Section 30 request and a draft referendum bill within 100 days.

On 26 May Holyrood voted 72 to 55 for his motion demanding the order. It rested on "the largest pro-independence majority ever elected", the combined SNP and Green bloc. Downing Street rejected it the same day through a spokesperson, saying its focus was "delivery, not division". Swinney has conceded he has no "secret plan" if Westminster refuses.

Common Questions

Reference

How long has John Swinney been in Scottish politics?
Swinney has been a Holyrood MSP since the Scottish Parliament's founding in 1999, serving as Finance Secretary for over a decade under Nicola Sturgeon before becoming First Minister in May 2024.Source: Scottish Government
Who is John Swinney and when did he become Scottish First Minister?
John Swinney became SNP leader and Scottish First Minister in May 2024, succeeding Humza Yousaf. He was re-sworn in on 14 May 2026 after the SNP won 58 Holyrood seats. He previously served as Finance Secretary and Deputy First Minister under Nicola Sturgeon.Source: Scottish Government
Who is John Swinney?
John Swinney has been First Minister of Scotland since May 2024, succeeding Humza Yousaf. He previously served as SNP Deputy First Minister and Finance Secretary for over a decade.Source: uk-elections-2026 briefing

Recently resolved

Did Andy Burnham refuse John Swinney a second independence referendum?
Yes. Burnham told Scottish Labour MPs on 7 July 2026 he would not grant a Section 30 order, offering enhanced devolution instead and hardening the refusal Keir Starmer's government had already given.Source: Lowdown
Will Scotland get an independence referendum in 2028?
Unlikely. The SNP missed the 65-seat majority Swinney linked to a referendum mandate. Westminster has refused a Section 30 order in advance. Swinney formally requested one on 14 May 2026, but the UK Government says it remains opposed.Source: Lowdown uk-elections-2026
Why did Swinney request a Section 30 order despite missing the 65-seat target?
Swinney had committed before polling day to requesting a Section 30 order on the first sitting day regardless of the seat count. He argued the SNP's 58 seats still represented a mandate, even though he had publicly named 65 seats as the trigger for a 2028 referendum.Source: Lowdown uk-elections-2026
What happened to John Swinney in the 2026 Scottish election?
The SNP won 58 seats on 7 May 2026, seven below the 65-seat threshold Swinney had named as the trigger for a 2028 independence referendum. He was re-sworn as First Minister on 14 May and formally requested a Section 30 order from Westminster despite the shortfall.Source: Lowdown uk-elections-2026