Skip to content
Briefings are running a touch slower this week while we rebuild the foundations.See roadmap
Iran Conflict 2026
18APR

Iran: three secret hangings, 11-13 May

3 min read
14:57UTC

Hengaw documented three secret executions between 11 and 13 May: aerospace researcher Shakourzadeh at Qezel Hesar, Baloch detainee Abduljalil Shahbakhsh at Zahedan 55 days after arrest, and political prisoner Ehsan Afrashteh at Urmia on espionage charges.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Hengaw recorded three secret Iran hangings between 11 and 13 May, including Baloch detainee Shahbakhsh.

Hengaw, the Norway-based Kurdish human rights monitor, documented three secret executions across 11-13 May 2026: aerospace researcher Shakourzadeh at Qezel Hesar on 11 May , Baloch detainee Abduljalil Shahbakhsh at Zahedan on 12 May (55 days after his arrest), and political prisoner Ehsan Afrashteh at Urmia on 13 May on espionage charges 1. Three in two days exceeds the 13 secret political executions Hengaw documented across the prior six weeks. The wartime espionage-charge pipeline has compressed from roughly one execution per week to one every 16 hours, even as the Norway-based monitor's reporting cadence has not kept up.

Iran's wartime espionage charge sequence runs from arrest through Revolutionary Court conviction to secret execution at a non-Tehran prison, with families notified after the fact. The IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) provides the charging framework: the wartime moharebeh ("enmity against God") variant treats domestic dissent in occupied or contested geography as constructively in service of the Israeli operational map, collapsing the evidentiary threshold that pre-war espionage cases required. Najmeh Amini, charged in Mashhad on 9 May for a 2022-era social media post , was the first case under this framing the briefing tracked.

Shahbakhsh's 55-day arrest-to-execution interval matches the window observed in the Bakrzadeh and Karimpour cases , suggesting the Revolutionary Court system is now processing wartime moharebeh files on a fortnightly cadence. The Baloch-Kurdish profile of the new cluster indicates ethnic-minority political prisoners are being processed faster than ethnic-Persian cases. Hengaw's wartime register now exceeds 30 documented secret political executions, the threshold beyond which UN special procedures have historically opened formal investigations.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Iran has been secretly executing political prisoners during the war. "Secret" here means the family is only told after the execution: they have no warning, no chance to say goodbye, and often no confirmation of where the body is. Hengaw is a human rights monitoring group based in Norway that tracks what happens to people arrested in Kurdish and Baloch regions of Iran. Between 11 and 13 May, they documented three such executions across roughly 36 hours: an aerospace researcher, a Baloch man arrested 55 days earlier, and a political prisoner on espionage charges. By comparison, in the six weeks before this cluster, Hengaw had documented 13 such cases, roughly one every three days. Three executions across roughly 36 hours compresses the rate from one per week to one every 12 hours. International human rights bodies like the United Nations have previously begun formal investigations when secret political executions from a single country pass 30 documented cases, which Iran has now exceeded.

First Reported In

Update #96 · Hegseth: no AUMF needed. Trump flies east

Hengaw· 13 May 2026
Read original
Different Perspectives
Lloyd's of London underwriters
Lloyd's of London underwriters
Lloyd's held its Hormuz war-risk rate at $10-14 million per voyage; underwriters need a UN Security Council resolution or formal PGSA de-listing before repricing, not a Senate testimony. The PGSA remains on the SDN list under EO 13224, so any vessel transiting a nominally reopened strait still deals with a sanctioned counterparty.
Saudi Arabia and Gulf states
Saudi Arabia and Gulf states
Brent crude at $95-97 on 2-3 June reflects Gulf producers benefiting from the conflict premium; a genuine Hormuz deal would likely cut that premium by $10-15 per barrel. Riyadh's $87 per barrel budget breakeven means the current price is comfortable, reducing the Gulf's urgency to push for a rapid settlement.
China
China
OFAC's Nobitex designation leaves China's informal bilateral currency-swap lines with Iran as the CBI's remaining rial-defence mechanism; Chinese financial institutions face secondary-sanctions risk if they interact with successor wallets. Beijing's MOFCOM Blocking Rules protect mainland refineries from direct designation but do not shield informal swap-line counterparties.
Lebanon / Hezbollah
Lebanon / Hezbollah
Lebanon's Washington delegation demanded full Israeli withdrawal and the return of 1.2 million displaced; Hezbollah deployed an FPV drone that killed an Israeli soldier at Yohmor while talks ran, demonstrating it can impose costs even at Israel's deepest penetration point. Lebanon's government cannot deliver the Hezbollah disarmament guarantee Israel demands.
Israel / Benjamin Netanyahu
Israel / Benjamin Netanyahu
Israeli forces seized Beaufort Castle above the Litani on 1-2 June and advanced to within 10 km of the Zaharani river while ceasefire delegations sat in Washington; the advance ran entirely outside the Beirut-only truce Netanyahu accepted on 1 June. Each kilometre taken raises Israel's withdrawal price before any permanent text is signed.
Iran: Foreign Ministry and domestic population
Iran: Foreign Ministry and domestic population
Araghchi rang six capitals in 48 hours to reopen talks the SNSC had suspended, calling the IRGC line 'speculation'; at home, 37 political prisoners were executed since 19 March while students marched in Tehran, Mashhad and Hamadan. The diplomatic thaw has not eased the state's wartime repression tempo.