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Iran Conflict 2026
4APR

Hormuz toll system carried 20 transits per day before ceasefire

1 min read
09:24UTC

Eleven flag states had paid the toll to transit by 5 April; the ceasefire ratifies the operating model.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

The toll system Iran built was already running before the ceasefire; the ceasefire just labelled it.

The 20 daily transits across 11 flag states are the operational reality the ceasefire's 'coordinated passage' clause now ratifies. Iran's permanent customs authority over the strait, legislated in late March , turned out to be the architecture both sides have now signed onto.

The recovery from near-zero transits in late March to 20/day by 5 April happened through individual bilateral toll deals, not through any US enforcement action. Trump's Truth Social formulation that the US 'will be helping with the traffic buildup in the strait of Hormuz' aligns the rhetoric with the operating reality.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Eleven countries had already been paying Iran for permission to send ships through the Strait of Hormuz before the ceasefire was signed. Twenty ships went through per day on 5 April, compared to about 138 a day before the war. The deal Trump just signed says Iran will keep doing exactly this for two weeks.

What could happen next?
  • Precedent

    The toll system is operating practice and now codified in the ceasefire.

First Reported In

Update #62 · Two victories, two different lists

Seatrade Maritime· 8 Apr 2026
Read original
Different Perspectives
Gulf shipping and insurance markets
Gulf shipping and insurance markets
With Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb both hostile at once, war-risk underwriters face their first dual-chokepoint pricing problem; the rerouting hedge that absorbed one closure is gone for Israeli-linked hulls. Any deal that reopens Hormuz without a Houthi stand-down clause delivers only partial shipping relief.
Russia and China
Russia and China
Russia and China met IAEA chief Grossi jointly in Geneva on 5 June to coordinate an advance blocking position against Washington's censure resolution, the first documented instance of proactive pre-session obstruction rather than reactive post-vote dissent. Beijing's move came four days after OFAC designated Shanghai Qianye Energy under Iran energy sanctions.
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia was left out of the emergency $4.01 billion Patriot waiver Qatar received on 2 May as its own PAC-3 stocks ran near-empty from intercepting Iranian salvoes over Aramco facilities. Riyadh is on a standard 18-month FMS queue behind a production line booked through 2030, with no equivalent priority to Qatar's Al Udeid basing role.
Houthis (Ansar Allah)
Houthis (Ansar Allah)
The Houthis declared a complete ban on Israeli Red Sea navigation on 8 June and struck Jaffa, their first attack on Israeli territory since April, seven days after the Tasnim authorisation to activate other fronts including Bab el-Mandeb. The declaration put both chokepoints under hostile authority simultaneously.
Iran
Iran
Iran agreed the 9 June mutual halt after the Mahshahr exchange and coordinated with Russia and China to block Washington's IAEA censure resolution, using the Board as a second front while the bilateral pause held on the military one. Tehran's acceptance of the Lebanon carve-out contradicts the linkage position it stated on 1 June.
Benjamin Netanyahu and the IDF
Benjamin Netanyahu and the IDF
Israel struck the Karun Petrochemical plant at Mahshahr on 8 June over Trump's explicit objection, then agreed a halt with Iran the following day scoped on Israeli terms with Lebanon carved out. Netanyahu's posture is that the IDF will not accept Iranian missile factories as off-limits regardless of US diplomatic timelines.