Skip to content
Briefings are running a touch slower this week while we rebuild the foundations.See roadmap
Iran Conflict 2026
16MAR

IDF opens western front in Hamedan

3 min read
05:08UTC

More than 200 targets struck in Hamedan province, including the air base from which Iran launched its first direct attack on Israel in April 2024.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Striking Hamedan shifts the campaign from IRGC infrastructure to Iran's conventional military architecture.

Over the past 24 hours the IDF concentrated strikes on Hamedan province in western Iran — the first sustained Israeli targeting of the country's western flank. More than 200 targets were hit, described by the IDF as command centres, air defence systems, and weapons storage and production sites 1. Among them: Shahid Nojeh Air Base, a primary Iranian Air Force facility roughly 300 kilometres west of Isfahan.

Nojeh is not a random base. It was one of the launch sites for Iran's April 2024 attack on Israel — Operation True Promise — when Tehran fired over 300 missiles and drones at Israeli territory in its first direct strike from Iranian soil. Hitting Nojeh two years later is the IDF closing an account opened in that exchange. The base housed F-4 Phantom and Su-24 aircraft squadrons; whatever remained of Hamedan's air capability after two weeks of broader degradation is now under direct fire.

The geographic expansion follows a deliberate pattern. Israeli strikes concentrated first on Tehran and surrounding military infrastructure, then moved to Isfahan's nuclear and aerospace facilities. Five days ago the IDF issued an evacuation warning for TabrizIran's fourth-largest city in the northwest, home to a distinct Turkic minority with a separate political relationship to Tehran's central government . Hamedan confirms a parallel westward push. Iran must now defend three axes simultaneously — central, northwest, and west — with an air defence network the IDF has spent two weeks systematically degrading. Each expansion stretches Iran's remaining early-warning and interception capacity thinner across a country roughly seven times the size of the United Kingdom.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

For the first six weeks of strikes, Israel focused on central and eastern Iran. Hamedan is in the west — closer to Iraq, further from Israel — and home to one of Iran's most important conventional air force bases. This is not Revolutionary Guard territory; it is Iran's regular military. By striking there, Israel is widening its target set from Iran's proxy-management apparatus to the national armed forces themselves. Shahid Nojeh was the base from which Iran launched its April 2024 attack on Israel. Israel is now destroying the airfield it was attacked from — and foreclosing its use by anyone else.

Deep Analysis
Synthesis

Nojeh's dual history — used by Russia to project power into Syria in 2016, now struck by an American ally — illustrates how Iranian basing infrastructure has become a contested node in multiple great-power conflicts simultaneously. Iran leveraged the facility to enable Russian operations; Israel is now erasing that projection capacity. The base's destruction forecloses future use by any power seeking to operate from Iranian soil, a structural change extending well beyond this campaign.

Root Causes

The geographic shift to western Iran most likely reflects target-set exhaustion in previously struck regions. After 400 waves, high-value fixed targets in central and eastern Iran may have been destroyed or relocated. Western Iran represents a second ring of strategic depth — its inclusion signals the campaign has entered a deeper-penetration phase, not merely an intensification of prior operations.

Escalation

Moving strikes westward towards Iraq's border risks activating Iran-backed Iraqi militias — Kata'ib Hezbollah and Harakat al-Nujaba — that have remained relatively restrained. A perceived threat to western Iran's military infrastructure may trigger cross-border rocket attacks on US forces at Ain al-Asad or Erbil, a horizontal escalation vector the body does not address.

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    Expanding strikes to IRIAF infrastructure signals Israel is targeting Iran's military reconstitution capacity, not only current threat vectors.

    Immediate · Assessed
  • Risk

    Strikes near Iraq's border may activate Iran-backed Iraqi militias, expanding the conflict's geographic footprint to US forces in theatre.

    Short term · Suggested
  • Consequence

    Destruction of Nojeh forecloses Iranian or third-party use of the facility for future power projection — a lasting structural change independent of war outcome.

    Long term · Assessed
First Reported In

Update #37 · Six more weeks of strikes; Hormuz deal dead

Times of Israel· 16 Mar 2026
Read original
Causes and effects
This Event
IDF opens western front in Hamedan
The first sustained IDF strikes on western Iran open a third geographic axis in the campaign, forcing Tehran to defend a wider perimeter at a time when its central air defences are already degraded.
Different Perspectives
IAEA
IAEA
Director General Rafael Grossi appeared in person at the UNSC on 19 May and warned that a direct hit on an operating reactor 'could result in very high release of radioactivity'. The session produced a condemnation record but no resolution, and the Barakah perimeter was already struck on 17 May.
Hengaw (Kurdish rights monitor)
Hengaw (Kurdish rights monitor)
Hengaw documented three judicial executions and the detention of Kurdish writer Majid Karimi in Tehran on 19 May, establishing Khorasan Razavi province as the newest geography in Iran's wartime judicial record. The organisation's Norway-based operation continues to surface a domestic repression track running in parallel with every diplomatic and military development.
India
India
Six India-flagged vessels conducted a coordinated cluster transit under PGSA bilateral assurances during the 17 May window, paying no yuan tolls. New Delhi's inclusion in Iran's state-to-state passage track insulates Indian energy supply without requiring endorsement of the PGSA's yuan-toll architecture or alignment with the US coalition.
Pakistan
Pakistan
Pakistan is the only functioning diplomatic bridge between Tehran and Washington. Its role is relay, not mediation in the settlement sense: it conveyed Iran's 10-point counter-MOU in early May, relayed the US rejection, and is now passing 'corrective points' in the third documented exchange of this sub-cycle without either side working from a shared text.
UK and France (Northwood coalition)
UK and France (Northwood coalition)
Twenty-six coalition members have published no rules of engagement eight days after the Bahrain joint statement; Lloyd's underwriters have conditioned war-risk reopening on written ROE from either Iran or the coalition. Italian and French mine-countermeasures deployments are operating on the in-water clearance task CENTCOM Admiral Brad Cooper's 90% mine-stockpile claim does not address.
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
Riyadh has not publicly commented on the Barakah strike or the 50-47 discharge vote. Saudi output feeds the IEA's $106 base case; the $5 Brent premium above that model reflects institutional uncertainty no Gulf producer can compress through supply adjustment alone.