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Iran Conflict 2026
26JUL

140 US sorties, zero signed paper

3 min read
12:01UTC

CENTCOM flew its third strike wave in a week, hitting roughly 140 targets and taking the total past 300, then declared the Strait of Hormuz open even as Washington signed no new Iran instrument.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Washington's Iran week ran to 140 sorties and zero signatures, its open-strait claim resting on statements.

CENTCOM (US Central Command), the US military command responsible for the Middle East, launched its third strike wave of the week within hours of Iran's closure declaration, hitting roughly 140 targets: missile batteries, air-defence sites, IRGC fast-attack boats and positions on Qeshm Island 1. The wave took the week's running total past 300, and CENTCOM called the strait open to all vessels seeking to lawfully transit the international waterway 2. Iranian Navy Lieutenant Hamidreza Dehghani was reported killed at Jask port, per Iranian state media 3.

Those figures and the open-strait line reached us through Al Jazeera and Iran International secondary readouts; CENTCOM's own release was unreachable 4. President Donald Trump, who days earlier had called the interim US-Iran agreement over , told Meet the Press the strait was open as far as he was concerned. Iran, firing missiles and posting a formal notice, calls the water shut; Washington, flying sorties and issuing a sentence, calls it open.

CENTCOM's third wave extends a cadence already run twice this week, 90 targets on 8 July and more than 80 on 7 July . The only signed US instrument on Iran across that whole sequence remains the Treasury's 7 July revocation of the oil waiver General License X, replaced by a wind-down-only General License X1 . A revocation withdraws relief; it does not create a new authority, so no War Powers Resolution clock attaches to this week's strikes and Congress gains no fresh signed record to grip.

Between 11 and 13 July Washington flew about 140 sorties and signed no new Iran instrument 5. The Federal Register carries no fresh Iran document, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), Treasury's sanctions bureau, logged its last Iran action on 10 July, and The White House presidential-actions register stops at a 9 July aircraft-tariff proclamation 678. Allies and insurers reading for a durable US position on Hormuz have statements to plan against, not a signed framework.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

CENTCOM (US Central Command, the American military headquarters for the Middle East) launched its third major bombing run of the week, hitting about 140 targets just hours after Iran said it had shut the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway ships use to move Gulf oil to the rest of the world. The targets included missile launchers and small attack boats belonging to the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, an elite branch of Iran's military). One Iranian naval officer, Lieutenant Hamidreza Dehghani, was reported killed in Jask, a town on Iran's south-east coast near the mouth of the strait. The US military says the strait remains open for ships that follow international law, directly contradicting Iran's closure claim. For now neither side can prove the other wrong, because commercial ships are staying away regardless of who is technically right.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Sustaining three strike waves in a single week depends on munitions already forward-positioned at Gulf and Indian Ocean bases such as Al Udeid and Diego Garcia; standoff missile stocks are not manufactured at wartime tempo, so a campaign at this pace draws down a finite pre-positioned inventory rather than an open production line.

Congress supplies a second, separate constraint only if it chooses to invoke one: because the campaign has proceeded without a formal war authorisation, there is no legislative mechanism forcing a pause, so the practical ceiling on strike tempo is munitions supply, not Congress.

First Reported In

Update #153 · Iran declares Hormuz closed; US says open

Gulf News· 13 Jul 2026
Read original
Different Perspectives
Hormuz shipping and insurance market
Kpler, Lloyd's List and S&P Global each independently put Strait of Hormuz transits at a seventh to a sixth of pre-war levels, against CENTCOM's own position that the strait remains open for transit. War-risk premiums rose from 0.25% to 3-10% of hull value in mid-July and have held steady since.
Pakistan (with China)
Pakistan (with China)
Iran's interior minister met Pakistan's army chief in Islamabad on 25 July, his second visit in ten days, with China separately pushing the same track; Islamabad's stated precondition, a halt to Gulf attacks, broke within hours when the Houthis struck Yanbu and Jazan. The channel inherits Baghdad's opening without yet fixing what broke it.
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia absorbed Houthi strikes on Aramco-linked sites at Jazan and Yanbu on 25 July without confirming them, while holding a 30-year civil nuclear agreement Trump made conditional on joining the Abraham Accords two days after signing it. Riyadh is fighting on one front while being asked to concede on another.
Iran (state security leadership)
Iran (state security leadership)
Iran's security chief said strikes continue until the enemy's "total surrender", and no IRNA, Tasnim or Fars report carries any stand-down language to match Washington's pause. Tehran reads the halt as "strategic decision-making fatigue", not a restraint it needs to reciprocate.
Washington (Pentagon and White House)
Washington (Pentagon and White House)
A Defense Department source called the bombing halt "on a hold", Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell insisted the US "retains a deep arsenal of capabilities", and the White House credited "successful sanctions" and thirteen days of strikes for the same pause. Three explanations from one government suggest none of them is the whole one.
Oil traders
Oil traders
Sent Brent down 2.29 per cent to $98.38 a barrel on reports that mediation was reviving, moving the price on CENTCOM's quiet night rather than on Trump's same-day promise of a bigger operation with no deadline attached.