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Iran Conflict 2026
25JUN

140 US sorties, zero signed paper

3 min read
14:30UTC

CENTCOM flew its third strike wave in a week, hitting roughly 140 targets and taking the total past 300, then declared the Strait of Hormuz open even as Washington signed no new Iran instrument.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

Washington's Iran week ran to 140 sorties and zero signatures, its open-strait claim resting on statements.

CENTCOM (US Central Command), the US military command responsible for the Middle East, launched its third strike wave of the week within hours of Iran's closure declaration, hitting roughly 140 targets: missile batteries, air-defence sites, IRGC fast-attack boats and positions on Qeshm Island⁠1. The wave took the week's running total past 300, and CENTCOM called the strait open to all vessels seeking to lawfully transit the international waterway⁠2. Iranian Navy Lieutenant Hamidreza Dehghani was reported killed at Jask port, per Iranian state media⁠3.

Those figures and the open-strait line reached us through Al Jazeera and Iran International secondary readouts; CENTCOM's own release was unreachable⁠4. President Donald Trump, who days earlier had called the interim US-Iran agreement over, told Meet the Press the strait was open as far as he was concerned. Iran, firing missiles and posting a formal notice, calls the water shut; Washington, flying sorties and issuing a sentence, calls it open.

CENTCOM's third wave extends a cadence already run twice this week, 90 targets on 8 July and more than 80 on 7 July. The only signed US instrument on Iran across that whole sequence remains the Treasury's 7 July revocation of the oil waiver General License X, replaced by a wind-down-only General License X1. A revocation withdraws relief; it does not create a new authority, so no War Powers Resolution clock attaches to this week's strikes and Congress gains no fresh signed record to grip.

Between 11 and 13 July Washington flew about 140 sorties and signed no new Iran instrument⁠5. The Federal Register carries no fresh Iran document, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), Treasury's sanctions bureau, logged its last Iran action on 10 July, and The White House presidential-actions register stops at a 9 July aircraft-tariff proclamation⁠6⁠7⁠8. Allies and insurers reading for a durable US position on Hormuz have statements to plan against, not a signed framework.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

CENTCOM (US Central Command, the American military headquarters for the Middle East) launched its third major bombing run of the week, hitting about 140 targets just hours after Iran said it had shut the strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway ships use to move Gulf oil to the rest of the world. The targets included missile launchers and small attack boats belonging to the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, an elite branch of Iran's military). One Iranian naval officer, Lieutenant Hamidreza Dehghani, was reported killed in Jask, a town on Iran's south-east coast near the mouth of the strait. The US military says the strait remains open for ships that follow international law, directly contradicting Iran's closure claim. For now neither side can prove the other wrong, because commercial ships are staying away regardless of who is technically right.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Sustaining three strike waves in a single week depends on munitions already forward-positioned at Gulf and Indian Ocean bases such as Al Udeid and Diego Garcia; standoff missile stocks are not manufactured at wartime tempo, so a campaign at this pace draws down a finite pre-positioned inventory rather than an open production line.

Congress supplies a second, separate constraint only if it chooses to invoke one: because the campaign has proceeded without a formal war authorisation, there is no legislative mechanism forcing a pause, so the practical ceiling on strike tempo is munitions supply, not Congress.

First Reported In

Update #153 · Iran declares Hormuz closed; US says open

Gulf News· 13 Jul 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
Office for Budget Responsibility
Office for Budget Responsibility
The OBR's 28 October forecast assumed $82 oil for 2026 and 2027, from market prices for the ten working days to 19 August, and blamed dearer wholesale energy on the war without naming Iran. It expects CPI inflation close to 4% in early 2027 even at that price.
Hengaw, Kurdish rights group
Hengaw, Kurdish rights group
Hengaw reported the 3 November hangings of Amirhossein Maleki and Amirhossein Ebrahimi in Isfahan, saying Ebrahimi was tortured into confessing and that nine of 12 people sentenced to death in the case have now been hanged. Iran's judiciary holds that the defendants killed members of the security forces.
FINTRAC, Canada's financial intelligence unit
FINTRAC, Canada's financial intelligence unit
FINTRAC worked with the US Treasury on the 6 November designation of eight money services businesses in British Columbia, Ontario and Quebec. Treasury says the businesses still operate, some under new names, so closing them falls to Ottawa.
Abdul Qadir al-Dakhil, Governor of Nineveh
Abdul Qadir al-Dakhil, Governor of Nineveh
Al-Dakhil cancelled three Mosul International Airport contracts on 7 November over alleged links to armed groups, after meeting Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi in Baghdad. He named no group or company, and said the contracts will go to international companies.
Kuwait
Kuwait
Kuwait condemned the Houthi missile fired towards the Madinah region on 5 November and restated its support for Saudi Arabia, the Qatar News Agency reported. Its state tanker company, Kuwait Oil Tankers Company, is among the Gulf state fleets on Iran's expanded Hormuz list.
Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary
Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary
Treasury designated an alleged Chandigarh false-flag network on 4 November and eight Canadian exchangers on 6 November, while State sanctioned alleged MANPADS intermediaries. None of the actions touches an oil buyer; they target the paper, cash and procurement around Iran's trade.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.