OECD

The OECD is tracking the labour-market impact of artificial intelligence more closely than any other multilateral body. Its Employment, Labour and Social Affairs directorate runs ongoing monitoring of AI-driven job displacement and reskilling, and its April 2024 Employment Outlook devoted a major analytical chapter to AI at work, finding that jobs with high AI exposure are concentrated in higher-wage, higher-skill occupations in ways that upend earlier displacement assumptions. The organisation has also modelled war-economy scenarios linking energy-price shocks to recession risk: an Oxford Economics assessment cited in OECD-adjacent research found Brent Crude at $140/BBL would push global GDP to negative 0.7%.

Founded in 1961 as successor to the OEEC (the body established in 1948 to administer the Marshall Plan), the OECD has grown from 20 founding members to 38 as of 2026, headquartered at the Château de la Muette in Paris. Its flagship outputs include the OECD Economic Outlook (twice-yearly), the Employment Outlook (annual), and Education at a Glance. Unlike the IMF or World Bank it has no lending function; its power lies in data, peer review, and the normative weight of its policy recommendations on tax, trade, migration, and labour markets. Gartner's finding that half of companies which cut customer-service staff for AI will rehire by 2027 echoes the OECD's own caution about overestimating short-run displacement.

The OECD sits at the intersection of almost every live policy debate. On AI and jobs it is the primary intergovernmental source tracking whether reskilling commitments from firms such as JPMorgan translate into measured outcomes; the Goldman Sachs analysis showing workers displaced early in their careers face earnings 10 percentage points lower over the following decade is precisely the kind of finding the OECD's Employment Outlook is designed to synthesise for policymakers. On fiscal policy, energy security, and chip supply chains the organisation publishes the peer-reviewed data that finance ministries use to justify domestic decisions. Its 38 members collectively represent roughly 60% of global GDP and virtually all advanced-economy governments.