Skip to content
Welcome, thoughtbot's Giant Robots listeners!Start here
US Midterms 2026
24SEP

DOJ stakes voter-data fight on appeal

3 min read
11:45UTC

The Justice Department has appealed all eight voter-data dismissals it lost, folding a string of trial-court defeats into a single bet on the circuit benches. Roughly 22 states and DC remain in active litigation.

PoliticsDeveloping
Key takeaway

The DOJ has consolidated a losing trial record into one appellate gamble on the 9th and 6th Circuits.

The Department of Justice has appealed all eight of the voter-data dismissals it has lost, in California, Oregon, Michigan, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Arizona, Wisconsin and Maine, per the University of Wisconsin State Democracy tracker dated 16 June⁠1. On 2 June the count stood at six appeals alongside a dropped national case; the department has since folded the rest into one appellate effort. Roughly 22 states and DC remain in active litigation, and a Georgia judge recused on 15 June, sending that case to reassignment.

The trial courts dismissed these suits for failing to state the statutory authority behind the DOJ's demands, reasoning narrow enough that any active-litigation state could cite it. By appealing every loss rather than refiling, the Department of Justice converts a scattered defensive position into a single offensive one. A favourable circuit ruling would revive the whole programme; an adverse one would turn portable trial-court reasoning into binding precedent across multiple states.

Two forums hold the leverage. The 9th Circuit heard the Oregon appeal on 19 May and the 6th Circuit heard Michigan on 13 May. Neither has handed down a decision, and either could be the ruling that sets the precedent for the rest. The DOJ has chosen to wager its remaining record on those benches rather than keep litigating state by state in courts that have already ruled against it.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

The Department of Justice has been suing states to force them to hand over their complete voter registration files. The legal basis is a 1960 law called the Civil Rights Act of 1960, not the more recent Voting Rights Act. Federal district courts in eight states, including California, Oregon and Michigan, dismissed these lawsuits using the same legal reasoning: the DOJ's complaints did not specify which provision of that 1960 law gave them the authority to demand the data. The DOJ has now appealed all eight of those dismissals rather than fight each state separately. Two federal appellate courts heard arguments in May 2026, one in Oregon and one in Michigan, and neither has issued a ruling yet. If the appellate courts uphold the dismissals, the DOJ's voter-data programme effectively ends in those states and potentially nationwide if the Supreme Court does not intervene. About 22 other states are still in active court battles over the same question. The outcome of the Oregon and Michigan appeals will give those states a preview of which way the law is leaning.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Eight district courts applied the Massachusetts portable dismissal reasoning against the DOJ in California, Oregon, Michigan, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Arizona, Wisconsin and Maine, leaving the department no district-level path forward. Each appeal presents the same legal question: whether the Civil Rights Act of 1960 authorises the DOJ's voter-data demands. The department cannot fix this at the district level; it must either win at the appellate level or reach the Supreme Court.

The Georgia recusal on 15 June adds a complication specific to that case: a recusal-driven reassignment can delay scheduling by several months, potentially pushing the Georgia case into 2027 regardless of the appellate outcome. With 22 states plus DC still in active litigation, the strategic value of winning one or two circuits is limited to the geographic scope of those circuits' binding authority.

The University of Wisconsin Law School State Democracy Research Initiative tracker confirms the SAVE Act amendment also failed its third Senate vote on 5 June, foreclosing the legislative path. The DOJ's appeal bet is now the sole remaining federal mechanism for advancing the voter-data collection programme.

What could happen next?
  • Risk

    A 9th Circuit ruling upholding the portable dismissal reasoning would establish binding precedent covering California, Oregon, Arizona and Nevada, where roughly 30% of the DOJ's remaining active cases are concentrated, effectively foreclosing those states absent Supreme Court review.

    Short term · Assessed
  • Opportunity

    A 9th Circuit reversal would give the DOJ a viable theory to refile corrected complaints in all previously dismissed states and would accelerate its appellate consolidation strategy by providing a favourable circuit precedent to present to the Supreme Court.

    Short term · Suggested
  • Consequence

    With the Georgia case delayed by a 15 June recusal-driven reassignment, the SAVE Act failed a third Senate vote on 5 June, and the appellate path now bearing the full weight of the voter-data programme, a dual circuit loss in Oregon and Michigan would effectively end the programme before November 2026.

    Medium term · Assessed
First Reported In

Update #10 · Wave or grind: the measure splits

University of Wisconsin Law School State Democracy Research Initiative· 21 Jun 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
University of Florida Election Lab
University of Florida Election Lab
The lab, run by Michael McDonald, estimates about 124.3 million ballots, a raw midterm record, and turnout of about 49.4% of eligible voters, second to 2018's 50.05%. The raw record reflects population growth more than a record rate, so the late count is working through a near-2018 electorate.
Thune's critics on the right, including Senator Ron Johnson
Thune's critics on the right, including Senator Ron Johnson
Ron Johnson backed the failed 31-15 motion to delay Thune's re-election, after activists such as Mike Cernovich blamed the leader for the defeat. Their complaint is that Republicans could have passed the SAVE Act; in January it meets a Democratic Senate instead.
Senator John Thune
Senator John Thune
Thune was re-elected Senate Republican leader by acclamation on 10 November after a motion to delay failed 31-15. He kept the filibuster that stopped the SAVE Act, the choice his critics on the right blame for the defeat.
House Republicans under Jim Jordan
House Republicans under Jim Jordan
House Republicans elected Jordan minority leader by 106 votes to 73 over Steve Scalise on 10 November, after Speaker Mike Johnson declined to run. They replaced the leadership that lost the majority, while Senate Republicans kept theirs.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Trump asked on Truth Social on 9 November whether anybody believed the election "was honest" and blamed the machines, having told The New York Times on polling night he would accept the results. No Republican campaign had sued over a 2026 result by 10 November, so the claim has no case behind it.
Judge David O. Carter
Judge David O. Carter
Carter closed the Justice Department's suit over about 20,000 California mail ballots on 10 November after the department withdrew it, writing that the suit "attempted to disrupt an ongoing election". The closure leaves the department with no court order touching a 2026 California ballot.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.