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Iran Conflict 2026
1MAY

Hengaw: two more 'Israel spy' hangings

3 min read
10:38UTC

Hengaw reported the executions of Naser Bakrzadeh and Yaqoub Karimpour in Iran on Saturday 2 May, both charged with spying for Israel; April's monthly total was revised upward to 26.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

April's revised total of 26 executions runs ahead of any diplomatic motion to slow it.

Hengaw, the Norway-based Kurdish human rights organisation, reported two executions in Iran on Saturday 2 May: Naser Bakrzadeh and Yaqoub Karimpour, both charged with spying for Israel 1. Hengaw simultaneously revised April's monthly execution total upward to at least 26, including 14 political prisoners 2. The previous topic figure was 22 political executions in the six weeks since 19 March ; the April aggregate revises that count upward and tightens the window.

The 'spying for Israel' charge category links the executions directly to the war narrative. Iran's judiciary has been processing politically sensitive cases under that classification at speed since February 28. Bakrzadeh and Karimpour are the latest names attached to a category Hengaw has stopped publishing as a single rolling figure, because the monthly aggregate is now the only way the trajectory remains legible. The diplomatic track that might end the war-spy charge category is still stuck on sequencing.

The three Pakdasht mosque-fire defendants whose Supreme Court appeals were upheld on 27 April remain at imminent risk. Ehsan Hosseinipour Hesarloo, Matin Mohammadi and Erfan Amiri were aged 17 to 18 when arrested; their case files have moved to the implementation office, the administrative step before execution. Masoumeh Azhini, detained in early April, is still missing per Hengaw's 2 May report, with no information from authorities for a month.

Iran's judicial-execution rate during the 2026 conflict is outpacing diplomatic motion in either direction across both the war-spy and Pakdasht categories. The figures Hengaw publishes monthly arrive faster than the briefing cadence, and the next scheduled briefing (#87) will already be running behind a register that is still moving.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Iran has been executing political prisoners at an accelerating rate since the war began in February. Two more people, Naser Bakrzadeh and Yaqoub Karimpour, were hanged on 2 May, charged with spying for Israel. A human rights group called Hengaw, based in Norway, counted at least 26 executions in April alone, including 14 people classified as political prisoners. Three more men, who were teenagers when they were arrested for allegedly setting fire to a mosque, remain at a pre-execution holding facility and have not yet been killed. Human rights organisations say their convictions were based on confessions extracted under torture.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Iran's wartime execution rate has a structural driver the body does not fully surface: the IRGC's political-security apparatus, which controls the Evin Prison intelligence ward and the Ministry of Intelligence's detention facilities, has a documented interest in eliminating opposition figures before a ceasefire creates an accountability window.

The 1988 massacres followed a ceasefire negotiation, not a victory; internal opposition was liquidated while the leadership had emergency authority that a peace settlement would curtail.

The three Pakdasht mosque-fire defendants remain at the implementation office (the documented precursor location to execution) more than two weeks after the Supreme Court upheld their sentences. Their non-execution on 2 May may reflect tactical sequencing of execution batches rather than any change in their status.

What could happen next?
  • Risk

    At the current rate of 14 political executions per month, a two-month ceasefire negotiation period would see roughly 28 more political prisoners executed before any peace agreement could create accountability pressure, deaths that cannot be reversed by any post-war process.

  • Consequence

    The three Pakdasht mosque-fire defendants remain at imminent execution risk despite international attention; their cases have become a visible test of whether external pressure influences Iran's execution pace during wartime.

First Reported In

Update #86 · Trump signs paper. The paper ends the war.

Hengaw Human Rights Organisation· 2 May 2026
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Different Perspectives
International human rights monitors (NetBlocks, IHR, Hengaw)
International human rights monitors (NetBlocks, IHR, Hengaw)
NetBlocks recorded 1,704 cumulative hours of near-total internet blackout for roughly 90 million Iranians on Day 74, while IHR documented ongoing executions under emergency provisions. These organisations are the only active monitoring windows into a civilian population cut off from the global internet for 71 consecutive days.
UK / France coalition
UK / France coalition
The Royal Navy confirmed HMS Dragon's Hormuz deployment on its own website on 11 May, converting a press-reported presence into declared force posture; UK and French defence ministers hosted a coalition meeting the same day. Britain and France are now the only named contributors to a Hormuz escort mission all five allies Trump originally asked had declined.
Saudi Aramco / Gulf producers
Saudi Aramco / Gulf producers
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser warned on 11 May that a Hormuz closure could remove 100 million barrels of weekly supply from global markets (roughly 15 million barrels per day for a week), a figure that dwarfs any OPEC+ swing capacity. The warning functions as both a price-floor signal and a public pressure on Washington to protect transit.
Beijing / Chinese Government
Beijing / Chinese Government
China has not publicly acknowledged the four Hong Kong-registered entities designated on 11 May or extended MOFCOM's Blocking Rules cover to HK-domiciled firms. Xi Jinping hosts Trump on 14–15 May having already de-risked state-bank balance sheets via NFRA's quiet loan halt, entering the summit partially compliant before any negotiation.
Tehran / Iranian Government
Tehran / Iranian Government
Foreign Minister Araghchi described Iran's 10-point counter-proposal as 'reasonable and responsible' via spokesman Baqaei on 11 May, and widened the mediator pool by meeting Turkish, Egyptian, and Dutch counterparts in a single day. Tehran is buying procedural runway while Trump's verbal rejection went unmatched by any written US counter.
Trump White House
Trump White House
Trump called the ceasefire 'on massive life support' and dismissed Iran's 10-point counter-proposal as 'a piece of garbage' on 11 May, while departing for Beijing two days later with no signed Iran instrument to show Congress. The verbal maximum and the paper void coexist: the administration is running a legal pressure campaign through Treasury while the president free-lances the rhetoric.