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Iran Conflict 2026
22OCT

Burnham blames IRGC for suspected plot

2 min read
17:22UTC

Britain's prime minister said the RAF Fairford plot was almost certainly directed by the IRGC, sanctioned its counter-espionage chief and summoned Iran's envoy; nobody has been charged.

ConflictDeveloping
Key takeaway

London blamed the IRGC for the suspected Fairford plot and sanctioned an IRGC chief, with no charges yet.

On 12 October Prime Minister Andy Burnham told Parliament the plot against RAF Fairford was "almost certainly directed by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard"⁠1. Fairford, in Gloucestershire, had hosted US bombers flying strikes on Iran since the war's opening days. Britain sanctioned Ruhollah Bazghandi, who it says heads IRGC counter-espionage, and a facilitator for the already-sanctioned Zindashti network. Iran sanctions amendments Britain published in September took effect on 29 September.

Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband summoned Iran's ambassador, Seyed Ali Mousavi, who said "Tehran has had no involvement" and asked for evidence⁠2. Almost 30 governments, among them France, Germany and the United States, condemned Iran's "use of violent attacks". Nobody has been charged, and at least seven of the men arrested have been released. London's attribution rests on intelligence it has not published.

The bombers had already gone. US B-52 and B-1 aircraft left Fairford on 5 October, a Pentagon official told the Associated Press⁠3. Police had arrested British men near the base days earlier and released them on bail. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the move had no direct link to the suspected plot.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

RAF Fairford is an air base in Gloucestershire, England, used by US heavy bombers. Police arrested several men near it in late September on suspicion of preparing attacks. The UK government now says Iran's Revolutionary Guard was almost certainly behind the plot. It has sanctioned two people and called in Iran's ambassador to complain. No one has been charged in court, so the evidence has not been tested publicly.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Britain ties the case to an existing network: besides Ruhollah Bazghandi, it sanctioned a facilitator for the already-sanctioned Zindashti network. Police found petrol but no viable explosive in the 27 September arrests. Nobody has been charged, and at least seven of the men arrested have been released.

RAF Fairford hosted the US bombers used against Iran since the war's first days. A base on British soil supporting strikes makes Britain a target in Tehran's eyes, whatever London says about its own role.

What could happen next?
  • Risk

    Tehran may answer with consular pressure on British or dual nationals held in Iran.

  • Consequence

    A charge or trial would put the attribution on the record; failure to charge would weaken London's case abroad.

First Reported In

Update #181 · Houthi missiles kill 13 at Riyadh's airport

The Times of Israel· 17 Oct 2026
Read original →
Causes and effects
This Event
Burnham blames IRGC for suspected plot
Britain has formally blamed the IRGC for a suspected plot on its soil without charging anyone or publishing its evidence.
Different Perspectives
Wang Yi
Wang Yi
China's foreign minister and Djibouti's issued a joint communique on 21 October saying the war should not reach the Horn of Africa and stressing free navigation through Bab al-Mandeb. The text names neither Iran nor the Houthis, and Djibouti hosts China's only overseas military base, opposite the Yemeni coast.
Ministry of External Affairs
Ministry of External Affairs
India's foreign ministry called the attacks on Saudi civilian and energy sites "unacceptable" on 22 October and said they must stop at once. An Indian died at Dammam, Indians were injured there and at Shaybah, and about 4,000 Umrah pilgrims remain stranded by one MP's count.
Iraq
Iraq
Iraq closed the al-Sheeb crossing with Iran to travellers and trucks from 21 October and said other crossings would close gradually. Unlike September's closure, which ended on a staged timetable, this one has none, and Iran's interior ministry said it received no notice.
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Egypt's president said on 21 October that Cairo's support would "defend Saudi territory, and does not include an attack on Yemen". Araghchi warned that Egyptian involvement would further complicate the situation, and Cairo's limit matches the one Ankara set on 8 October against attacking another state's soil.
UK Ministry of Defence
UK Ministry of Defence
The MoD said on 20 October that RAF Typhoons over Saudi Arabia will not strike the Houthis, but extended tanker support to Saudi operations including against Houthi targets in Yemen. The tanker line sets no limit on strikes, so British aircraft may now refuel Saudi jets on bombing runs.
Turkey
Turkey
Ankara sent the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement to parliament around 20 October, and its published text treats an attack on one party as an attack on all. Article 16 brings it into force only on the last ratification, so the 5 October invocation in Riyadh could not yet bind Turkey.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.