Skip to content
Briefings are running a touch slower this week while we rebuild the foundations.See roadmap
Iran Conflict 2026
4JUN

Mojtaba's first strike at Ben Gurion

1 min read
11:25UTC

Iran aimed its first missile wave under the new Supreme Leader at Israel's primary international airport, claiming one-tonne warheads — the opening act of a doctrine built on destructive weight over volume.

ConflictDeveloping

Iran launched its first missile wave under Mojtaba Khamenei's authority on Day 10, claiming one-tonne warheads targeted Ben Gurion AirportIsrael's primary international aviation hub, 20 kilometres southeast of central Tel Aviv. The Times of Israel reported the claim. The strikes followed IRGC Air and Space Force commander Majid Mousavi's same-day declaration that all future Iranian launches would carry payloads above 1,000 kg.

The political signal is clearer than the military outcome, which remains unconfirmed. The IRGC pledged "complete obedience and self-sacrifice" to Mojtaba within hours of his appointment on Sunday . This strike wave is the first operational expression of that pledge. Under Ali Khamenei's final days, the chain of command fractured visibly: Pezeshkian ordered a halt to Gulf strikes, the IRGC ignored him within hours , and Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf attributed continued operations to the late Supreme Leader's standing directives . Mojtaba's first act reunifies command and escalation into a single signal — the new Supreme Leader does not inherit a war; he owns one.

Ben Gurion Airport carries both military and civilian weight. A successful one-tonne warhead strike would threaten Israel's primary air connection to the outside world. Israel's layered defence — Arrow-3 for exo-atmospheric Ballistic missile interception, David's Sling at medium range, Patriot batteries, Iron Dome for terminal threats — was designed for this scenario. But heavier warheads alter the interception calculus: greater kinetic energy on descent makes a clean kill harder, and even a successful shoot-down scatters heavier debris over a wider footprint. No damage assessment is available from either side. Whether any warheads reached the airport or were intercepted has not been independently confirmed.

First Reported In

Update #31 · Iran moves to heavy warheads; China deploys

JFeed· 10 Mar 2026
Read original
Causes and effects
This Event
Mojtaba's first strike at Ben Gurion
The first military operation under Mojtaba Khamenei's authority establishes the new Supreme Leader's tenure through escalation and tests Israeli air defences against heavier payloads under a new Iranian strike doctrine.
Different Perspectives
Israel
Israel
IDF Chief Eyal Zamir declared on 3 June there was no ceasefire for his forces, and strikes killed at least 10 civilians and one Israeli soldier on 4 June. The IDF killed Hezbollah's chief engineer and warned three south Lebanon villages to evacuate on 5 June, advancing into ground the unsigned Washington framework has not caught.
Hezbollah / Lebanon
Hezbollah / Lebanon
Naim Qassem rejected the Washington Lebanon framework on 4 June as "absurd, humiliating and insulting", blocking a ceasefire instrument that required Hezbollah to withdraw north of the Litani before any Israeli withdrawal. Over one million Lebanese remain displaced; the framework's collapse prolongs that toll.
Iran
Iran
Foreign Minister Araghchi publicly coupled the Lebanon ceasefire to the Iran-US nuclear track on 4 June, carrying IRGC authority rather than his own civilian mandate. The IRGC delegation has sent no HEU counter-proposal since Araghchi confirmed no progress that same day; Mojtaba Khamenei's 21 May order to keep the 440.9 kg stockpile inside Iran remains operative.
United States
United States
Rubio placed the Iran-US deal at 95 per cent complete on 4 June while the administration signed no Iran instrument and OFAC designated only Cuban targets. Trump separately disclosed and rejected an airlift plan to collect Iran's HEU stockpile, claiming the material is "entombed", a claim the IAEA cannot verify.
China
China
Beijing's MOFCOM Blocking Rules constrain OFAC enforcement on the mainland; China has not corroborated Trump's verbal account of any bilateral summit, and the rial's failure to hold its Rubio bounce, combined with the IRGC's stablecoin rail closure, increases Chinese yuan-denominated oil-payment exposure through Hormuz.
Bahrain
Bahrain
The IRGC struck Bahrain on 3 June as its sirens sounded and its PAC-3 magazine neared exhaustion; excluded from Rubio's 2 May emergency resupply, Bahrain received a 50-round Federal Register notice on 1 June on an 18-month delivery timeline, meaning it is defending the US Fifth Fleet headquarters on the last rounds it has.