Skip to content
You can now search across every topic, entity and event.What's new
European Energy Markets
31JUL

Majlis reviews €50m Trump bounty bill

3 min read
09:44UTC

Iran International reported on Friday 15 May that the Iranian Majlis was reviewing a bill proposing a €50 million reward for killing US President Donald Trump, framed as retaliation for the deaths of Iranian leaders.

EconomicDeveloping
Key takeaway

Iran International alone reports a Majlis bill proposing €50m for killing Trump; IRNA, Tasnim and Mehr have not corroborated.

Iran International, the London-based Persian-language opposition outlet, reported that the Iranian Majlis was reviewing a bill proposing a €50 million reward for killing US President Donald Trump, framed as retaliation for the deaths of Iranian leaders 1. The bill has not been corroborated by IRNA, Tasnim, or Mehr News Agency as of Saturday 16 May, and the briefing treats it as opposition-source narrative intelligence on hardliner domestic pressure rather than confirmed legislative action.

Confidence: suggested. Iran International is opposition-aligned and operates from London; its reporting on Majlis proceedings has historically run ahead of state-media confirmation on around two-thirds of items, with the remainder failing to corroborate at all. Cross-checking against IRNA, Tasnim and Mehr News through Saturday 16 May produced no parallel coverage. This story sits in the no-corroboration bucket until that changes.

Contextually, the bill would extend a sequence of hardliner Majlis escalations: the 221-0 IAEA suspension vote, the NPT withdrawal bill, and the Hormuz toll legislation that established the PGSA on 5 May . A bounty bill in this sequence is a domestic-political move aimed less at Trump personally than at Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's bilateral diplomatic track, which depends on Tehran being able to credibly receive American counterparts. A formal Majlis bounty would make that mathematically impossible.

Counter-perspective: Western legal scholars including Ryan Goodman (NYU) have observed that even non-binding parliamentary bounty resolutions can satisfy the predicate threshold for the US 1976 Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act state-sponsor-of-terrorism designation expansion, giving Washington a fresh statutory escalation pathway it has not previously activated against Iran. The White House presidential-actions index reads zero on Iran through last Wednesday ; the Alaskan senator's AUMF remained unfiled , and the constitutional war-powers timer kept running .

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Iran International, a London-based Iranian opposition news outlet, reported that Iran's parliament, the Majlis, was reviewing a bill proposing a €50 million reward for the killing of US President Donald Trump, presented as retaliation for Iranian leaders killed since the conflict began. The report has not been confirmed by IRNA, Tasnim, or Mehr News, Iran's main state media outlets. Significant Majlis legislation is routinely covered by state outlets; the silence suggests this is a hardliner proposal at an early stage, if it exists at all. Iran has historic precedent for state-adjacent bodies attaching monetary bounties to named foreign targets: the 15 Khordad Foundation offered $3 million for Salman Rushdie's killing from 1989 onwards. Those precedents produced murders of translators and associates, not the primary target.

What could happen next?
  • Consequence

    If the bill is confirmed and passed, it would give the Trump administration a domestic political justification for escalating sanctions or strikes that bypasses the congressional AUMF debate and the War Powers Act deadline.

  • Risk

    The bill's publication via an opposition outlet, without state-media corroboration, means it may circulate in Western media in ways that harden US positions in the Pakistan-mediated MOU process regardless of its actual legislative status.

First Reported In

Update #99 · Two Hormuz papers; Washington on neither

Iran International· 16 May 2026
Read original
Causes and effects
This Event
Majlis reviews €50m Trump bounty bill
If confirmed, this would be the first time Iran's parliament formally proposed a bounty on a sitting US president, and would functionally destroy Foreign Minister Araghchi's civilian diplomatic track overnight.
Different Perspectives
Spain's LNG terminal operators
Spain's LNG terminal operators
Spain's 9,145 GWh terminal inventory is the largest single stock in the EU LNG network, an option value that can reroute cargoes wherever the winter strip pays best rather than a cavern gas obligation tied to a fixed date. That flexibility matters more as Germany's cavern shortfall pushes more of the winter security question onto import infrastructure.
European Commission
European Commission
Brussels holds the bloc to 90% on a flexible window while Germany, holding roughly a quarter of EU storage capacity, tracks toward missing its own lower 80% figure by 21 points. A national shortfall this size in the anchor market matters more to bloc security than the flexible timetable alone can absorb.
French power exporters and CRE
French power exporters and CRE
French day-ahead rose in step with Germany but by less, reopening a EUR 7-17 premium that makes northward export flows commercially attractive again after the EUR 43.09 discount evaporated in days. CRE separately authorised RTE and Enedis to buy flexibility locally, betting the coming winter's binding constraint is grid congestion rather than a shortage of firm capacity.
TTF trading desk
TTF trading desk
A visible national shortfall like Germany's 21-point gap is a directional signal, not noise, for a desk holding the summer-winter spread. TTF's flat EUR 58-60 range through this week's German price swings says the market has not yet chosen to reprice refill risk into the front of the curve.
German cavern and CCGT operators
German cavern and CCGT operators
German caverns kept buying prompt gas at TTF near EUR 58-60 through the inversion; the wind collapse to 2.4 GW then flipped the spark spread to plus EUR 29 and put turbines back in the same queue. Every day turbines win that bid, injection at a third of the 877 GWh/day pace needed falls further behind.
Slovakia
Slovakia
Slovakia says it dropped its hold-out on the 21st sanctions package only after Ursula von der Leyen personally signed written gas-price and supply guarantees. The Council of the European Union's own 17,238-character release on the package names neither Slovakia nor any guarantee, leaving Bratislava's account unconfirmed by the institutional record.