Skip to content
You can now search across every topic, entity and event.What's new
European Energy Markets
15JUN

Pezeshkian apologises; IRGC ignores him

2 min read
12:23UTC

Iran's civilian president filmed a hurried apology to neighbours his military had struck — an address that revealed less about Iran's diplomatic intentions than about who does and does not control its armed forces.

EconomicDeveloping

President Masoud Pezeshkian delivered a prerecorded televised address on Saturday morning — filmed hurriedly, without professional broadcast equipment — in which he apologised to neighbouring countries struck by Iranian missiles and drones. "I should apologise to the neighbouring countries that were attacked by Iran, on my own behalf," he said. The Interim Leadership Council, he announced, had agreed that Iranian forces "should not attack neighbouring countries or fire missiles at them, unless we are attacked" from their territory. In the same address, he rejected Trump's unconditional surrender demand as "a dream that they should take to their grave" — an attempt to signal de-escalation to The Gulf while maintaining defiance toward Washington.

The apology was personal — "on my own behalf" — because Pezeshkian has no institutional authority to offer it on the state's behalf. Under Article 110 of Iran's constitution, command of the armed forces belongs exclusively to The Supreme Leader. Ayatollah Khamenei is dead. Article 111 provides for an interim council to inherit his powers, but this transfer has never been tested, and the IRGC's institutional culture does not recognise civilian substitution. Iran's constitutional architecture contains no redundancy for Supreme Leader succession during active warfare — a gap that did not matter during peacetime because no previous Supreme Leader died while the country was under direct military assault.

The deeper structural failure is that Iran's Mosaic Defence Doctrine and its succession mechanism are fundamentally incompatible. The mosaic doctrine — devolving launch authority to 31 autonomous provincial commands — was designed to sustain operations after the destruction of central command infrastructure. It works. The succession mechanism requires centralised authority to function. The US-Israeli strike that killed Khamenei did not merely remove a leader; it disabled the only constitutional mechanism capable of halting IRGC operations. With Khamenei's funeral postponed indefinitely and the formal announcement of a successor delayed until at least next week , Iran is conducting the most serious military confrontation in the Islamic Republic's 47-year history without a constitutionally empowered commander-in-chief.

For Gulf capitals now weighing the Saudi backchannel and the Egypt-Turkey-Oman mediation bid , Pezeshkian's apology poses a specific question: is there any Iranian interlocutor who can both agree to terms and enforce them on the forces doing the fighting? The intelligence-to-intelligence contact Iran attempted through a third country — promptly exposed and rejected by Trump — suggests Tehran itself knows the diplomatic channel and the military channel are disconnected. Pezeshkian can apologise. He cannot stop the war.

First Reported In

Update #26 · President orders halt; IRGC ignores him

NPR· 7 Mar 2026
Read original
Different Perspectives
Spain's LNG terminal operators
Spain's LNG terminal operators
Spain's 9,145 GWh terminal inventory is the largest single stock in the EU LNG network, an option value that can reroute cargoes wherever the winter strip pays best rather than a cavern gas obligation tied to a fixed date. That flexibility matters more as Germany's cavern shortfall pushes more of the winter security question onto import infrastructure.
European Commission
European Commission
Brussels holds the bloc to 90% on a flexible window while Germany, holding roughly a quarter of EU storage capacity, tracks toward missing its own lower 80% figure by 21 points. A national shortfall this size in the anchor market matters more to bloc security than the flexible timetable alone can absorb.
French power exporters and CRE
French power exporters and CRE
French day-ahead rose in step with Germany but by less, reopening a EUR 7-17 premium that makes northward export flows commercially attractive again after the EUR 43.09 discount evaporated in days. CRE separately authorised RTE and Enedis to buy flexibility locally, betting the coming winter's binding constraint is grid congestion rather than a shortage of firm capacity.
TTF trading desk
TTF trading desk
A visible national shortfall like Germany's 21-point gap is a directional signal, not noise, for a desk holding the summer-winter spread. TTF's flat EUR 58-60 range through this week's German price swings says the market has not yet chosen to reprice refill risk into the front of the curve.
German cavern and CCGT operators
German cavern and CCGT operators
German caverns kept buying prompt gas at TTF near EUR 58-60 through the inversion; the wind collapse to 2.4 GW then flipped the spark spread to plus EUR 29 and put turbines back in the same queue. Every day turbines win that bid, injection at a third of the 877 GWh/day pace needed falls further behind.
Slovakia
Slovakia
Slovakia says it dropped its hold-out on the 21st sanctions package only after Ursula von der Leyen personally signed written gas-price and supply guarantees. The Council of the European Union's own 17,238-character release on the package names neither Slovakia nor any guarantee, leaving Bratislava's account unconfirmed by the institutional record.