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Ipsos
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Ipsos

Global market research and polling firm; conducted Welsh Senedd polling in the 2026 election campaign.

Last refreshed: 15 July 2026 · Appears in 3 active topics

Key Question

How accurate has Ipsos been at predicting Welsh election outcomes, and how does it compare to YouGov's MRP?

Timeline for Ipsos

#128 Jul

Published the national preference poll

UK Local Elections 2026: Clacton by-election set for 13 August
#65 May
#628 Apr

Published Wales Senedd poll confirming approximately 12% Welsh Labour vote share

UK Local Elections 2026: Welsh Labour at 12%, lowest since 1906
View full timeline →
Common Questions
What did Ipsos find about Count Binface and Nigel Farage in the Clacton by-election?
An Ipsos poll fielded 8-9 July 2026 put Count Binface at 33% against Nigel Farage on 21% in a forced national head-to-head preference measure, not a constituency voting-intention poll for the by-election itself.Source: Ipsos
What do Ipsos polls show for the 2026 Welsh election?
Ipsos conducted Welsh voting intention polling for the 2026 Senedd election, with its figures contributing to PollCheck's aggregate alongside YouGov and other pollsters. The aggregate showed Plaid Cymru and Reform UK both at around 28-29%.Source: PollCheck
What is Ipsos and how does it conduct polls?
Ipsos is a global market research company founded in France in 1975, operating in 90+ countries. It conducts voting intention surveys via telephone and online panels. It provides raw voting intention figures rather than MRP-adjusted seat projections.Source: Ipsos

Background

Ipsos is one of the world's largest market research and polling companies, founded in France in 1975, with operations in more than 90 countries. The company conducts public opinion surveys, audience research, and social tracking studies for governments, media organisations, and commercial clients globally. In the UK, Ipsos operates as Ipsos UK and is one of the major polling firms contracted by national newspapers and broadcasters for voting intention research. Ipsos has previously faced scrutiny over accuracy in general election polling, participating in the post-2015 and post-2019 British Polling Council inquiries into polling failures.

During the 2026 Welsh and Scottish election cycle, Ipsos conducted polling on Senedd and Holyrood voting intention cited alongside YouGov and PollCheck as part of the multi-source polling picture. In Wales, Ipsos polling tracked party support under the new closed-list PR system, informing projections for the 7 May result. Ipsos is distinct from Electoral Calculus and More in Common in that it provides raw voting intention polls rather than multi-level regression and post-stratification (MRP) models; its Welsh data contributed to PollCheck's aggregate alongside other pollsters. In July 2026, Ipsos published a light-hearted national preference measure (fieldwork 8-9 July) that put Count Binface at 33% against Nigel Farage on 21% in a forced head-to-head over the Clacton by-election, a novelty preference measure rather than constituency voting intention.

Source Material