Skip to content
You can now search across every topic, entity and event.What's new
Russia-Ukraine War 2026
23JUL

Karaj bridge toll rises to thirteen

2 min read
20:33UTC

The US struck an unfinished highway bridge during Iran's most beloved outdoor holiday. Thirteen are dead, 95 wounded, and the toll may still rise.

ConflictAssessed
Key takeaway

Thirteen killed at an unfinished bridge on a national holiday gives Tehran its strongest moral argument.

The death toll from the US strike on the B1 highway bridge in Karaj, Alborz Province, has risen from 8 to 13, with 95 wounded . The bridge was struck during Sizdah Bedar (Nature Day), the 13th and final day of Nowruz, Iran's most significant outdoor holiday. Thousands of families gather near parks and waterways on Sizdah Bedar. The bridge, still under construction and not yet open to traffic, had no claimed military use. 1

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said "striking civilian structures including unfinished bridges will not compel Iranians to surrender." Trump posted video of the collapse on Truth Social, calling it "Iran's biggest bridge."

The B1 strike on a national holiday, killing civilians at a gathering with no military nexus, is the clearest case of civilian harm in the campaign to date. The toll may continue to rise.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Sizdah Bedar is the last day of Iran's spring new year festival. Millions of families go outdoors to parks and riversides. The US struck a bridge in Karaj while people were near it for this holiday. The bridge was still under construction and not yet open to traffic. Thirteen people died. Iran's foreign minister said the strike proved the US was targeting civilians. Trump posted video of the bridge collapsing on Truth Social.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

CENTCOM's targeting framework designates infrastructure used by military logistics as a legitimate dual-use target under IHL. The B1 bridge was described as a supply route to drone and missile units.

The timing on Sizdah Bedar was either a failure of cultural intelligence, a deliberate signal, or operational indifference. Trump's Truth Social post celebrating the collapse rules out the possibility that the civilian context was weighed as a proportionality factor in target selection.

What could happen next?
  • Consequence

    The Sizdah Bedar timing and Trump's celebratory social media post provide Iran with its strongest propaganda asset of the conflict, directly useful in UN and allied diplomacy.

  • Risk

    The UN Fact-Finding Mission's existing warning about conduct potentially amounting to crimes against humanity will be reinvigorated by this incident. European political pressure on the US will increase.

First Reported In

Update #58 · First US aircraft fall over Iran

Washington Post / Iranian state media· 4 Apr 2026
Read original
Causes and effects
This Event
Karaj bridge toll rises to thirteen
Striking civilian infrastructure during Sizdah Bedar, with no military nexus, is the clearest case of civilian harm in the campaign.
Different Perspectives
IAEA (Rafael Grossi)
IAEA (Rafael Grossi)
IAEA inspectors logged Zaporizhzhia's 22nd loss of off-site power, ten of them in the last three months, after a thunderstorm knocked out the plant's sole surviving backup line. Grossi reads the accelerating frequency, not any single outage, as the safety signal now that the plant's redundancy is exhausted.
United States (Treasury/OFAC)
United States (Treasury/OFAC)
Washington has let general licence 134C, its Russian crude waiver, lapse for 36 days with no successor, the longest gap of the war. Treasury has not said whether the non-renewal reflects deliberate policy or administrative delay, leaving buyers to price in compliance risk rather than wait for clarity.
Slovakia
Slovakia
Slovakia dropped its hold-out on the EU's 21st sanctions package only after winning a 2028 guarantee phasing out Russian gas, the exact pipeline dependency, roughly 80% of its crude supply, that gave it leverage. Bratislava's climbdown clears the package but leaves the same single-veto mechanism intact for the next round.
Russia (Kremlin and general staff)
Russia (Kremlin and general staff)
General staff chief Gerasimov claimed Donetsk captures on 18 July that ISW says it cannot corroborate, extending a pattern ISW clocked at a 5:1 exaggeration ratio earlier this year. Moscow is conditioning its public for a possible autumn mobilisation after September's Duma elections rather than acknowledging the front has stalled.
Ukraine (Zelenskyy government)
Ukraine (Zelenskyy government)
Zelenskyy dismissed his commander-in-chief, defence minister and chief of general staff within eight days, replacing Syrskyi with Drapatyi and Hnatov with Skybiuk as protesters demanded Syrskyi go and Fedorov return. Kyiv frames the sweep as a bet on manoeuvre capacity ahead of a feared Russian autumn surge, not the disarray critics read into three changes in a week.
The United Kingdom
The United Kingdom
Starmer pledged £300 million in Kyiv on 16 July toward Ukraine's Gripen E squadron, adding to the PURL expansion Trump and Rutte had announced two days earlier. London is paying into a scheme built around a shortfall NATO's own published $4bn-plus pledge does not close against Zelenskyy's roughly $15bn stated need.