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Iran Conflict 2026
11MAY

Thousands march in Tehran under blackout

2 min read
14:01UTC

Thousands rallied in Tehran chanting 'no compromise, no surrender' hours before President Pezeshkian's televised apology to Gulf neighbours — an apology his own political system then repudiated.

ConflictDeveloping

Thousands marched through Tehran on Friday waving Iranian flags and images of the late Ayatollah Khamenei, chanting 'We'll fight, we'll die, we won't accept humiliation' and 'No compromise, no surrender, destruction of Israel.' The demonstrations occurred hours before President Pezeshkian's televised apology to Gulf neighbours — an address whose conciliatory tone was contradicted within hours when IRGC forces struck Dubai, Saudi oil facilities, and Bahrain .

Whether the marches were spontaneous or IRGC-organised is impossible to verify. Iran's internet blackout, now in its ninth consecutive day, has severed the independent reporting channels — social media, encrypted messaging, citizen journalism — that made verification possible during the January 2026 protests . Both readings produce the same operational conclusion. If spontaneous, the war has genuinely mobilised popular sentiment against any form of capitulation. If organised, the IRGC is manufacturing the public mandate it needs to override a president who has twice attempted de-escalation — first with the apology to Gulf States, then by announcing that forces 'should not attack neighbouring countries' — and been ignored both times.

The marchers' slogans track precisely with the hardliner statements that followed Pezeshkian's address. Conservative media activist Meisam Nili declared 'any ceasefire is treason.' Qom lawmaker Mohammad Manan Raeisi called the president's remarks 'humiliating.' The alignment between street chants and elite rhetoric — whether coordinated or coincidental — leaves Pezeshkian isolated between Trump's unconditional surrender demand, which he explicitly rejected , and a domestic political and military establishment that treats his attempt to de-escalate with neighbours as betrayal.

For foreign ministries assessing Iran's internal dynamics, the picture is a system in which the elected president lacks the authority to deliver on any diplomatic commitment he might make. Pezeshkian can neither accept Washington's terms nor persuade his own security apparatus to honour the more modest restraint he has publicly promised. The January crackdown , for which Pezeshkian later apologised , demonstrated that Iran's security forces operate independently of presidential authority in domestic matters. The current war is demonstrating the same independence in external affairs.

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Update #27 · Israel kills 41 on failed 1986 airman raid

TRT World· 7 Mar 2026
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Causes and effects
This Event
Thousands march in Tehran under blackout
The demonstrations — whether spontaneous or IRGC-organised — show the visible Iranian public face of the war is not ready for de-escalation, narrowing the political space for any diplomatic off-ramp Pezeshkian might attempt.
Different Perspectives
International human rights monitors (NetBlocks, IHR, Hengaw)
International human rights monitors (NetBlocks, IHR, Hengaw)
NetBlocks recorded 1,704 cumulative hours of near-total internet blackout for roughly 90 million Iranians on Day 74, while IHR documented ongoing executions under emergency provisions. These organisations are the only active monitoring windows into a civilian population cut off from the global internet for 71 consecutive days.
UK / France coalition
UK / France coalition
The Royal Navy confirmed HMS Dragon's Hormuz deployment on its own website on 11 May, converting a press-reported presence into declared force posture; UK and French defence ministers hosted a coalition meeting the same day. Britain and France are now the only named contributors to a Hormuz escort mission all five allies Trump originally asked had declined.
Saudi Aramco / Gulf producers
Saudi Aramco / Gulf producers
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser warned on 11 May that a Hormuz closure could remove 100 million barrels of weekly supply from global markets (roughly 15 million barrels per day for a week), a figure that dwarfs any OPEC+ swing capacity. The warning functions as both a price-floor signal and a public pressure on Washington to protect transit.
Beijing / Chinese Government
Beijing / Chinese Government
China has not publicly acknowledged the four Hong Kong-registered entities designated on 11 May or extended MOFCOM's Blocking Rules cover to HK-domiciled firms. Xi Jinping hosts Trump on 14–15 May having already de-risked state-bank balance sheets via NFRA's quiet loan halt, entering the summit partially compliant before any negotiation.
Tehran / Iranian Government
Tehran / Iranian Government
Foreign Minister Araghchi described Iran's 10-point counter-proposal as 'reasonable and responsible' via spokesman Baqaei on 11 May, and widened the mediator pool by meeting Turkish, Egyptian, and Dutch counterparts in a single day. Tehran is buying procedural runway while Trump's verbal rejection went unmatched by any written US counter.
Trump White House
Trump White House
Trump called the ceasefire 'on massive life support' and dismissed Iran's 10-point counter-proposal as 'a piece of garbage' on 11 May, while departing for Beijing two days later with no signed Iran instrument to show Congress. The verbal maximum and the paper void coexist: the administration is running a legal pressure campaign through Treasury while the president free-lances the rhetoric.