Key Question
Why did Kansas move off Likely Republican for the first time this cycle?
Timeline for Roger Marshall
#18 23 Sept
Sabato and Cook widen Democrats' map
US Midterms 2026Background
Roger Marshall is a Republican US senator representing Kansas. He entered the Senate in 2021 and is seeking another term in 2026.
His national relevance rests on Kansas’s Senate representation and his place in the Republican caucus. The 2026 contest determines whether he remains the state’s senator after his first term.
On 23 September, Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Cook Political Report moved the Kansas Senate race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. The ratings change made Marshall’s re-election contest a closer national midterm race.
Common Questions
Who is Roger Marshall?
Roger Marshall is the Republican US senator from Kansas, in office since 2021 and seeking re-election in 2026.
Is Roger Marshall's Senate seat competitive?
An Emerson poll had Democrat Hamilton ahead of Marshall 45-43, and both Sabato's Crystal Ball and Cook Political Report moved Kansas from Likely to Lean Republican on 23 September.Source: Emerson
Which Senate ratings moved on 23 September 2026?
Sabato and Cook moved Kansas and South Carolina one step toward Democrats and left their seven core Toss Ups unchanged.Source: event
How the World Sees Them
Harmeet Dhillon, Justice Department
the biggest DOJ election observer effort in history
Cook Political Report
the amount of money national Republicans have dedicated to this race is a flashing red light for Democrats
Department of Justice
we are in active litigation against regarding their failure to provide the full (statewide voter registration lists) as required by federal law
Francisco Aguilar
This is all an effort to really force Nevada to fold, we're not going to fold in any way whatsoever until a judge demands that I have to conform.
Missouri Supreme Court
disingenuous
National Republican Senatorial Committee
a decisive First Amendment victory
Supreme Court of Missouri
This Court reverses the circuit court's judgment.
Senate Republican leadership
prepared to serve