Armenia
Landlocked South Caucasus republic between Turkey, Azerbaijan and Iran; lost Nagorno-Karabakh to Azerbaijan in 2023.
Last refreshed: 28 March 2026
If Iran collapses, does Armenia lose its last open border?
Timeline for Armenia
Mentioned in: Helsing HX-2 confirmed in Ukraine combat
Drones: Industry & DefenceMentioned in: Rosatom evacuation done; 24 volunteers remain
Iran Conflict 2026Mentioned in: CSIS: Russia's AI drones run mostly on US chips
Drones: Industry & DefenceMentioned in: Fourth Bushehr Strike Kills Guard; Rosatom Evacuates
Iran Conflict 2026Watched as IRGC drones struck neighbouring Nakhchivan airport
Iran Conflict 2026: IRGC drones strike Nakhchivan airportBackground
The Iran war has placed Armenia in an acutely precarious position. Iranian drone strikes on Azerbaijan's Nakhchivan exclave on 5 March 2026 hit territory that borders Armenia on two sides. Armenia's geographic corridor through Iran, the Meghri-Norduz crossing, is its only trade route not controlled by hostile or unreliable neighbours. Iranian instability or an Azerbaijani-Turkish corridor through southern Armenia (the "Zangezur corridor" Baku demands) would sever this lifeline.
Armenia is a landlocked republic of roughly 3 million people in the South Caucasus, bordered by Turkey, Azerbaijan, Iran and Georgia. It lost the Nagorno-Karabakh enclave to Azerbaijan in September 2023 after a 44-day war in 2020 and a final Azerbaijani offensive that displaced the region's entire Armenian population. The defeat prompted a strategic reorientation away from Russia, whose CSTO security guarantee proved hollow, toward the EU and France.
Yerevan has maintained studied neutrality on the Iran conflict, unable to condemn an Iranian regime whose territory provides Armenia's economic oxygen, or to endorse strikes that could destabilise its last reliable border.