Skip to content
Welcome, thoughtbot's Giant Robots listeners!Start here
European Tech Sovereignty
22OCT

Murkowski's Iran AUMF still unfiled before recess

3 min read
17:24UTC

Senator Lisa Murkowski confirmed on 9 May her Iran AUMF was still not filed; she will introduce it the week of 11 May absent a White House credible plan. None had arrived.

TechnologyDeveloping
Key takeaway

An Article I authorisation effort sharpens as the executive's verbal-only Iran posture enters its third month.

Senator Lisa Murkowski confirmed on 9 May that her Iran authorisation for use of military force (AUMF) had not been filed. The Alaska Republican stated she would introduce it the week of 11 May absent a White House credible plan⁠1. No plan was delivered by 9 May. The Senate returns from recess on the same week the Trump-Xi summit opens on 14 May, compressing the legislative timeline to a single working week before the next forcing event.

The last signed Iran-adjacent presidential instrument was the 1 May OFAC General Licence W; the verbal track running on top of it (the carrier escort announcement, the EPIC FURY conclusion, the MOU claim) has produced no signed counterpart. The Murkowski AUMF acquires argumentative force from that gap. The constitutional argument has shifted from "is this a war the President can wage alone?" to "is this a war the President can run on Truth Social alone?".

Murkowski has voted with the bipartisan War Powers caucus through six prior unsuccessful WPR motions in this Congress; her AUMF route is the inverse approach, granting Article I authority on conditions rather than denying it. The Murkowski conditions, requiring a White House plan with verifiable benchmarks before any vote, would force the executive to sign something rather than say something. Without Susan Collins or Rand Paul signing on as co-sponsors, the bill enters a Senate where the Republican leadership has not yet conceded that 71 days of unsigned Iran posture amount to an Article I deficit. The White House has the working week before the 14 May summit to produce a written counter-text or accept the legislative pressure.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

In the US, only Congress has the power to formally declare war. But the President can deploy troops and conduct military operations using emergency powers for up to 60 days without Congress voting. After 60 days, Congress is supposed to either authorise the action formally or the troops must come home. That is what the War Powers Resolution, passed in 1973, requires. Senator **Lisa Murkowski** of Alaska wants to introduce an **authorisation for use of military force (AUMF)**, a formal congressional permission slip for the Iran war, but with conditions attached. She says she will file it the week of 11 May unless The White House produces a credible written plan for the conflict first. This matters because it would force the President to either produce signed documents or face a congressional vote. The war has run for 71 days without a single signed presidential legal instrument (no executive order, no formal authorisation). Murkowski's move is an attempt to force written accountability onto a war that has been run entirely through social media posts.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

The Murkowski AUMF's structural logic rests on a constitutional asymmetry that the 71-day verbal-only track has exposed.

**Article I** of the US Constitution assigns Congress the power to declare war. The War Powers Resolution operationalises this through the 60-day clock, but the clock has never been successfully enforced because the Supreme Court has avoided ruling on its constitutionality, and every administration has argued that ongoing operations authorise themselves by Congress's failure to cut off funding.

The verbal-only Iran track has produced a new factual basis for the Article I argument: the President is waging a conflict without any signed presidential instrument visible in the Federal Register (no executive order, no published CENTCOM operations order, no Treasury designation with Iran specifically in scope since GL-U lapsed). An AUMF in this context would force the executive to choose between accepting conditions it has refused to commit to, or actively rejecting congressional authorisation, which produces a clean Article I test that courts could rule on.

Murkowski's specific leverage derives from her position as a centrist Republican whose vote is needed for several other White House legislative priorities. Her threat to file the AUMF functions as a negotiating instrument against an administration that needs her vote elsewhere in the same legislative session, separate from any constitutional outcome.

What could happen next?
  • Consequence

    Without Susan Collins or Rand Paul as co-sponsors, the Murkowski AUMF enters a Senate where Republican leadership has not conceded that 71 days of unsigned Iran posture constitute an Article I deficit; the bill may not reach a floor vote.

    Short term · 0.72
  • Precedent

    If the White House produces a written plan in response to Murkowski's threat without the AUMF being filed, it would confirm that the threat of legislation is more effective than WPR enforcement mechanisms that have failed six times in this Congress.

    Immediate · 0.68
  • Risk

    The Senate returning from recess the same week as the 14 May Trump-Xi summit creates a compressed window: if the summit produces a diplomatic framework, the AUMF loses political oxygen; if the summit fails, the AUMF filing would coincide with a new escalation phase.

    Immediate · 0.78
First Reported In

Update #92 · An MOU asking Iran to surrender what nobody can count

White House· 9 May 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
European Centre for International Political Economy
European Centre for International Political Economy
ECIPE found nine states gave about 97% of awarded cloud lots to home providers from 2018 to 2025, and every sovereignty-framed lot went to a domestic supplier. The think tank reads sovereignty clauses as a home-bias tool that narrows competition, with a 46% sole-bidder rate on a small sample.
Mistral AI
Mistral AI
Mistral opened a Munich industrial AI hub on 28 September with BMW and Siemens Energy work, and Germany's digital minister Karsten Wildberger praised it on the launch page. The French lab gains a German ministerial endorsement while its 21 October Nvidia partnership ties the work to US accelerators.
AWS European Sovereign Cloud
AWS European Sovereign Cloud
AWS will run its Brandenburg region for several hours on 24 October cut off from the AWS global backbone, with an EU-resident team. AWS says the test follows BSI's C3A criteria and will give regulators and customers verifiable evidence of separation.
Greenland government
Greenland government
Greenland signed a joint declaration with the EU and Denmark in September and received Virkkunen on 24 and 25 September. The Arctic Strategy now backs a cable linking Greenland directly to Europe, an alternative to Greenland Connect, which lands in Canada and Iceland.
Greek government
Greek government
Kyriakos Mitsotakis inaugurated DAEDALUS at Lavrion on 19 October, a €36m machine on Nvidia GH200 chips that anchors the PHAROS AI Factory. Athens paid 65% through Greece 2.0, making national recovery money the main funder of an EU AI Factory.
ASML
ASML
ASML reported record quarterly sales of €11.66bn and said planned supply for 2027 and 2028 will not fully meet demand. It plans about 30% more capacity in 2027, and some customers want to book for 2029 and 2030.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.