Skip to content
Welcome, thoughtbot's Giant Robots listeners!Start here
European Tech Sovereignty
16JUL

Budget revenue rises as oil and gas receipts fall

1 min read
09:32UTC

Russia's Finance Ministry reported 25.93tn roubles of federal budget revenue for January to August, up 9.2% year on year. Oil and gas revenue fell 16.7% over the same period.

TechnologyDeveloping
Key takeaway

Budget revenue rose 9.2% on non-oil receipts while oil and gas income fell 16.7%.

Russia's Ministry of Finance reported federal budget revenue of 25.93tn roubles for January to August, up 9.2% year on year, with oil and gas revenue down 16.7% to roughly 5.02tn roubles. Non-oil-and-gas receipts rose 18.1% and carried the whole increase. The ministry said it is drawing on the National Wealth Fund, the sovereign reserve built from past oil windfalls, to hold the budget steady.

The deficit moved the other way. Anadolu Agency put the January to July federal deficit at 6.46tn roubles, more than 32% above a year earlier, against the 5.7tn roubles half-year figure Sberbank put on the record in July. Russia's largest lender said then that it can no longer buy government bonds, which leaves a deficit of that size to be financed by a banking system that has named its own limit. Russia posted a June budget surplus two months before that.

Import figures show where the refinery damage lands. Russia bought a record 172,000 tonnes of fuel in August, more than seven times the previous monthly high, including petrol refined in India from Russian crude and sold back. The Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air separately estimates the Hormuz price spike handed Russia around €31bn in extra export revenue over six months, a windfall from a war Moscow never fought.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Russia's government collected more money overall this year, but not from oil and gas, which is normally its biggest earner. Oil and gas income fell by nearly a sixth. The rest of the rise came from other taxes, and the government is dipping into its savings fund to cover a deficit that is a third bigger than last year.

First Reported In

Update #27 · Russia's rate hold names the fuel shortage

Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air· 13 Sept 2026
Read original →
Causes and effects
This Event
Budget revenue rises as oil and gas receipts fall
The headline rise came entirely from non-oil receipts, up 18.1%, while the ministry drew on the National Wealth Fund to hold the budget steady. Ukraine's campaign is squeezing one revenue stream, not the whole budget.
Different Perspectives
ESMC (TSMC-majority joint venture)
ESMC (TSMC-majority joint venture)
ESMC's president said construction remains on schedule after the Dresden fab's topping-out ceremony on 14 September, reported by Focus Taiwan with first process equipment still targeted for the second half of 2027. No first-party ESMC or TSMC statement independently confirms the claim, and the fab remains 70% TSMC-owned inside a project Europe cites as its semiconductor sovereignty case.
Civo
Civo
Civo sold out its Navigate London sovereignty conference on 22 September, drawing about 800 attendees including a sitting MP, a former defence procurement minister and sponsors led by Nokia. Companies House confirms chief executive Mark Boost as Civo's sole person with significant control, British and UK-resident, which answers the ownership question the conference itself is arguing matters.
United States Trade Representative
United States Trade Representative
USTR opened its 2027 National Trade Estimate comment window on 14 September, naming the EU among markets with restrictive technology requirements and inviting submissions on cross-border data rules. The window follows Trump's 24 July Section 301 order into EU digital rules by seven weeks, and unused comments are kept, in USTR's own wording, for future negotiations.
Cohere
Cohere
Cohere published the deal on 16 September without naming a regulator, running the merged company globally under its own brand from dual Toronto and Berlin headquarters. It pledges the combined company will deliver sovereign AI on STACKIT, the Schwarz Group's German platform, aimed at government buyers weighing that offer against Berlin's own anchor-customer signal.
Germany (Federal Government)
Germany (Federal Government)
Digital Minister Karsten Wildberger called the Cohere talks "a very strong signal" and signalled Berlin's readiness to become an anchor customer, now its main lever since equity sits with Cohere. The German side secured a co-headquarters and two Cohere C-suite seats, but the protective-rights terms it pressed for in July remain undisclosed.
Poland
Poland
Poland leads a self-announced AI Gigafactory consortium with a EUR 100 million phase-one commitment, matched by Czechia and joined by Hungary at EUR 25 million. EuroHPC has confirmed no consortium for the call closing 12 November, so the bloc exists only in national announcements so far.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.